RRosternomics
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Mariners SEA

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GM: Jack Zduriencik

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.89× league · TAB -14.0
-14.0TAB — talent above budget28th/30
-19.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/30
-11.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag30th/30
47%dead money %25th/30
0.377win %29th/30
18.9roster fWAR27th/30
-37surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$82Mpayroll $M15th/30

Roster

CFFranklin Gutierrez 146GMichael Saunders 14GGreg Halman 4G
LFMichael Saunders 77GMilton Bradley 39GRyan Langerhans 30G
RFIchiro Suzuki 160GRyan Langerhans 8GMilton Bradley 1G
SSJosh Wilson 98GJack Wilson 60GChris Woodward 7G
2BChone Figgins 161GJosh Wilson 2GMatt Tuiasosopo 2G
3BJose Lopez 142GMatt Tuiasosopo 12GMatt Mangini 7G
1BCasey Kotchman 116GJustin Smoak 94GRussell Branyan 51G
STARTERSFélix Hernández 6.6WARDoug Fister 3.3WARJason Vargas 3.2WARDavid Pauley 0.2WARLuke French 0.1WAR
CRob Johnson 61GAdam Moore 59GJosh Bard 39G
DHRussell Branyan 53GMilton Bradley 28GKen Griffey Jr. 25G
BULLPEN★ David Aardsma 31svBrandon League 13hJamey Wright 9hSean White 5hShawn Kelley 3hGarrett Olson 1hBrian Sweeney 1hChris Seddon 0h
CRob Johnson 61 · Adam Moore 59 · Josh Bard 39
1BCasey Kotchman 116 · Justin Smoak 94 · Russell Branyan 51
2BChone Figgins 161 · Josh Wilson 2 · Matt Tuiasosopo 2
3BJose Lopez 142 · Matt Tuiasosopo 12 · Matt Mangini 7
SSJosh Wilson 98 · Jack Wilson 60 · Chris Woodward 7
LFMichael Saunders 77 · Milton Bradley 39 · Ryan Langerhans 30
CFFranklin Gutierrez 146 · Michael Saunders 14 · Greg Halman 4
RFIchiro Suzuki 160 · Ryan Langerhans 8 · Milton Bradley 1
DHRussell Branyan 53 · Milton Bradley 28 · Ken Griffey Jr. 25
SPFélix Hernández 6.6 · Doug Fister 3.3 · Jason Vargas 3.2 · David Pauley 0.2 · Luke French 0.1
BP★ David Aardsma 31 · Brandon League 13 · Jamey Wright 9 · Sean White 5 · Shawn Kelley 3 · Garrett Olson 1 · Brian Sweeney 1 · Chris Seddon 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Félix Hernández 24 arb 346.6 7.2 +8.4
Ichiro Suzuki 36 FA-elig 1624.7 18.0 -6.9
Cliff Lee↔ TEX 31 FA-elig 134.1 4.2 +5.5
Doug Fister 26 pre-arb 283.3 0.4 +7.3
Jason Vargas 27 arb 313.2 0.4 +7.2
Franklin Gutierrez 27 arb 1522.2 2.3 +2.8
Chone Figgins 32 FA-elig 1611.3 8.5 -5.4
Russell Branyan↔ CLE 34 FA-elig 570.8 0.8 +1.0
Ryan Langerhans 30 FA-elig 600.7 0.5 +1.1
Michael Saunders 23 – 1000.6 0.4 +0.9
Mike Sweeney↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 300.5 0.3 +0.9
Josh Bard 32 – 390.4 – –
Jose Lopez 26 FA-elig 1500.4 3.0 -2.1
Brandon League 27 FA-elig 700.4 1.1 -0.2
David Aardsma 28 FA-elig 530.3 2.8 -2.1
Kanekoa Texeira↔ KCR 24 pre-arb 160.2 0.1 +0.2
Dan Cortes 23 – 40.2 – –
David Pauley 27 – 190.2 – –
Luke French 24 – 160.1 – –
Milton Bradley 32 FA-elig 730.1 11.0 -10.8
Jesus Colome 32 – 120.1 – –
Jamey Wright↔ CLE 35 FA-elig 280.1 0.5 -0.4
Guillermo Quiroz 28 – 20.0 – –
Jack Wilson 32 FA-elig 610.0 5.0 -5.0
Mark Lowe↔ TEX 27 arb 110.0 0.9 -0.9
Chris Woodward 34 – 8-0.1 – –
Josh Wilson 29 – 108-0.1 – –
Chad Cordero 28 – 9-0.1 – –
Greg Halman 22 – 9-0.1 – –
Garrett Olson 26 – 35-0.1 – –
Justin Smoak↔ TEX 23 – 30-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Brian Sweeney 36 – 24-0.1 – –
Sean White 29 arb 38-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Chris Seddon 26 – 14-0.2 – –
Shawn Kelley 26 pre-arb 22-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Matt Mangini 24 – 11-0.2 – –
Anthony Varvaro 25 – 4-0.3 0.4 -1.0
Eliezer Alfonzo 31 – 13-0.3 – –
Mike Carp 24 – 14-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Eric Byrnes 34 FA-elig 15-0.5 0.4 -1.6
Ian Snell 28 FA-elig 12-0.6 4.5 -5.8
Matt Tuiasosopo 24 pre-arb 50-0.8 0.4 -2.3
Ken Griffey Jr. 40 FA-elig 33-0.9 2.4 -4.6
Rob Johnson 27 arb 61-1.3 0.4 -3.4
Ryan Rowland-Smith 27 arb 27-1.6 0.4 -4.1
Casey Kotchman 27 FA-elig 125-1.7 3.5 -7.5
Adam Moore 26 pre-arb 60-1.8 0.4 -4.7

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Cliff Lee4.1
Chone Figgins1.3
Josh Bard0.4
Brandon League0.4
Kanekoa Texeira0.2
Dan Cortes0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Jarrod Washburn2.7
Adrian Beltré2.2
Erik Bedard2.0
Endy Chavez0.6
Jack Hannahan0.6
Brandon Morrow0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$81.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Ichiro Suzuki369.000$18.0M$18.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Milton Bradley3210.000$11.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Chone Figgins328.000$8.5M$9.5M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Jack Wilson329.000$5.0M$3.9MFREE AGENT
Ian Snell286.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Cliff Lee318.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
Casey Kotchman276.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Jose Lopez266.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
David Aardsma286.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Ken Griffey Jr.4021.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Brandon League276.000$1.1M$2.2M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Russell Branyan3412.000$784kFREE AGENT
Jamey Wright3514.000$548k$900kFREE AGENT
Ryan Langerhans308.000$525k$525kFREE AGENT
Eric Byrnes3410.000$400kFREE AGENT
Mike Sweeney3615.000$348kFREE AGENT
Chris Woodward3411.000—FREE AGENT
Jesus Colome329.000—FREE AGENT
Josh Bard328.000—$750kFREE AGENT
Guillermo Quiroz286.000—FREE AGENT
Brian Sweeney367.000—FREE AGENT
Chad Cordero287.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Félix Hernández245.000$7.2MFREE AGENT
Franklin Gutierrez275.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Mark Lowe274.000$904kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rowland-Smith273.000$440kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean White293.000$415kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Vargas275.000$412kFREE AGENT
Rob Johnson273.000$412kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eliezer Alfonzo314.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Olson263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Shawn Kelley261.000$412kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Fister261.000$406kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Tuiasosopo242.000$401kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Moore261.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Varvaro250.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Carp240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Saunders230.051$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kanekoa Texeira240.000$149kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Smoak230.000$120kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Wilson292.047—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Seddon260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke French24–—
Dan Cortes23–—
David Pauley270.011—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Halman22–—
Matt Mangini24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.