RRosternomics
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Mariners SEA

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GM: Bill Bavasi

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.16× league · TAB -13.0
-13.0TAB — talent above budget28th/30
-14.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)29th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars15th/30
-6.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
27%dead money %8th/30
0.426win %26th/30
23.0roster fWAR27th/30
-44surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$83Mpayroll $M9th/30

Roster

CFJeremy Reed 137GWillie Bloomquist 15GJaime Bubela 6G
LFRandy Winn 92GRaul Ibanez 55GMichael Morse 8G
RFIchiro Suzuki 158GChris Snelling 3GRaul Ibanez 3G
SSMichael Morse 55GYuniesky Betancourt 53GWillie Bloomquist 24G
2BJose Lopez 51GWillie Bloomquist 32GYuniesky Betancourt 9G
3BAdrian Beltré 155GDave Hansen 7GScott Spiezio 6G
1BRichie Sexson 151GDave Hansen 9GGreg Dobbs 5G
STARTERSJamie Moyer 2.5WARFélix Hernández 2.3WARJoel Pineiro 1.7WARRyan Franklin 0.9WARGil Meche 0.6WAR
CYorvit Torrealba 68GMiguel Ojeda 41GPat Borders 39G
DHRaul Ibanez 101GGreg Dobbs 24GMichael Morse 9G
BULLPEN★ Eddie Guardado 36svJ.J. Putz 21hGeorge Sherrill 9hJeff Nelson 9hJulio Mateo 8hMatt Thornton 5hShigetoshi Hasegawa 3hRafael Soriano 1h
CYorvit Torrealba 68 · Miguel Ojeda 41 · Pat Borders 39
1BRichie Sexson 151 · Dave Hansen 9 · Greg Dobbs 5
2BJose Lopez 51 · Willie Bloomquist 32 · Yuniesky Betancourt 9
3BAdrian Beltré 155 · Dave Hansen 7 · Scott Spiezio 6
SSMichael Morse 55 · Yuniesky Betancourt 53 · Willie Bloomquist 24
LFRandy Winn 92 · Raul Ibanez 55 · Michael Morse 8
CFJeremy Reed 137 · Willie Bloomquist 15 · Jaime Bubela 6
RFIchiro Suzuki 158 · Chris Snelling 3 · Raul Ibanez 3
DHRaul Ibanez 101 · Greg Dobbs 24 · Michael Morse 9
SPJamie Moyer 2.5 · Félix Hernández 2.3 · Joel Pineiro 1.7 · Ryan Franklin 0.9 · Gil Meche 0.6
BP★ Eddie Guardado 36 · J.J. Putz 21 · George Sherrill 9 · Jeff Nelson 9 · Julio Mateo 8 · Matt Thornton 5 · Shigetoshi Hasegawa 3 · Rafael Soriano 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Richie Sexson 30 FA-elig 1564.0 6.0 +1.5
Ichiro Suzuki 31 arb 1623.6 12.5 -5.8
Jamie Moyer 42 FA-elig 322.5 8.0 -3.3
Jeremy Reed 24 pre-arb 1412.5 0.3 +4.3
Adrian Beltré 26 FA-elig 1562.4 11.4 -6.8
Félix Hernández 19 – 122.3 – –
Raul Ibanez 33 FA-elig 1622.1 4.4 -0.4
Joel Pineiro 26 arb 301.7 4.7 -1.5
Randy Winn↔ SFG 31 FA-elig 1021.4 2.4 +0.3
Ryan Franklin 32 FA-elig 320.9 2.6 -0.8
Eddie Guardado 34 FA-elig 580.8 6.0 -4.6
Gil Meche 26 FA-elig 290.6 2.5 -1.5
Yuniesky Betancourt 23 – 600.5 0.3 +0.6
Ron Villone↔ MIA 35 FA-elig 520.4 1.3 -0.4
René Rivera 21 – 160.4 – –
Chris Snelling 23 arb 150.4 0.3 +0.4
Willie Bloomquist 27 arb 820.4 0.4 +0.3
Shigetoshi Hasegawa 36 FA-elig 460.4 3.2 -2.6
Julio Mateo 27 arb 550.3 0.4 +0.1
Rafael Soriano 25 arb 70.2 0.3 +0.1
Jose Lopez 21 – 540.2 – –
George Sherrill 28 – 290.2 – –
Jamal Strong 26 – 160.2 – –
Wiki Gonzalez 31 – 140.2 – –
Yorvit Torrealba↔ SFG 26 arb 420.1 0.4 -0.1
Scott Atchison 29 pre-arb 60.1 0.3 -0.2
Jeff Nelson 38 FA-elig 490.1 0.4 -0.3
Michael Morse 23 – 720.1 – –
Miguel Ojeda↔ SDP 30 pre-arb 160.1 0.1 +0.0
Ramon Santiago 25 – 80.1 – –
Jorge Campillo 26 – 20.0 – –
Aaron Sele 35 FA-elig 210.0 0.7 -0.6
Clint Nageotte 24 – 30.0 – –
Bobby Madritsch 29 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Masao Kida 36 – 1-0.1 – –
J.J. Putz 28 pre-arb 64-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Jeff Harris 30 – 11-0.2 – –
Dan Wilson 36 FA-elig 11-0.2 1.8 -2.2
Shin-Soo Choo 22 – 10-0.2 – –
Wilson Valdez↔ SDP 27 pre-arb 42-0.3 0.3 -0.7
Dave Hansen 36 – 60-0.3 – –
Jaime Bubela 27 – 11-0.5 – –
Greg Dobbs 26 pre-arb 59-0.5 0.3 -1.3
Bret Boone↔ MIN 36 FA-elig 74-0.5 7.6 -8.6
Pat Borders 42 – 39-0.5 – –
Scott Spiezio 32 FA-elig 29-0.8 3.2 -4.7
Matt Thornton 28 pre-arb 55-0.9 0.3 -2.1
Miguel Olivo↔ SDP 26 arb 54-1.0 0.2 -2.1

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Richie Sexson4.0
Adrian Beltré2.4
Félix Hernández2.3
Yuniesky Betancourt0.5
Chris Snelling0.4
Jamal Strong0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
Freddy Garcia2.6
Jolbert Cabrera1.2
Rich Aurilia0.9
Bucky Jacobsen0.5
Hiram Bocachica0.4
John Olerud0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$83.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Adrian Beltré267.000$11.4M$12.9M$12.9M$13.4M$13.4MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer4219.000$8.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Bret Boone3613.000$7.6MFREE AGENT
Eddie Guardado3412.000$6.0M$4.1MFREE AGENT
Richie Sexson308.000$6.0M$13.0M$15.5M$11.9MFREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez339.000$4.4M$4.2M$5.5M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Shigetoshi Hasegawa368.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Scott Spiezio329.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Ryan Franklin326.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Gil Meche266.000$2.5M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Randy Winn317.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Dan Wilson3613.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Ron Villone3510.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Aaron Sele3512.000$700kFREE AGENT
Jeff Nelson3813.000$400kFREE AGENT
Pat Borders4217.000—FREE AGENT
Dave Hansen3615.000—FREE AGENT
Masao Kida366.000—FREE AGENT
Wiki Gonzalez316.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Ichiro Suzuki314.000$12.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Pineiro265.000$4.7MFREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba264.000$395kARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Mateo273.000$390kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Bloomquist273.000$385kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Soriano253.000$340kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snelling233.000$316kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Olivo263.000$237kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon Santiago253.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
J.J. Putz282.000$360kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Madritsch291.000$335kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Thornton281.000$323kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Atchison291.000$323kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Reed241.000$316kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Dobbs261.000$316kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yuniesky Betancourt230.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Valdez271.000$260kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Ojeda302.000$88kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jamal Strong26–—
Shin-Soo Choo220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
René Rivera210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Nageotte24–—
George Sherrill281.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Lopez211.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Félix Hernández190.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Morse230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Campillo260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Harris300.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaime Bubela27–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.