RRosternomics
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Mariners SEA

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GM: Bill Bavasi

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.13× league · TAB -2.7
-2.7TAB — talent above budget20th/30
-5.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)23rd/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-5.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag23rd/30
24%dead money %8th/30
0.481win %18th/30
33.1roster fWAR16th/30
-19surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$86Mpayroll $M10th/30

Roster

CFJeremy Reed 64GWillie Bloomquist 48GIchiro Suzuki 39G
LFRaul Ibanez 157GWillie Bloomquist 3GMichael Morse 2G
RFIchiro Suzuki 121GChris Snelling 33GT.J. Bohn 17G
SSYuniesky Betancourt 157GWillie Bloomquist 17GOswaldo Navarro 2G
2BJose Lopez 150GWillie Bloomquist 15GAdrian Beltré 1G
3BAdrian Beltré 155GWillie Bloomquist 12GMichael Morse 5G
1BRichie Sexson 150GBen Broussard 90GEduardo Perez 34G
STARTERSFélix Hernández 3.2WARJarrod Washburn 2.0WARGil Meche 1.8WARJoel Pineiro 0.3WARJake Woods 0.2WAR
CKenji Johjima 144GRené Rivera 35GGuillermo Quiroz 1G
DHCarl Everett 80GBen Broussard 42GEduardo Perez 33G
BULLPEN★ J.J. Putz 36svRafael Soriano 18hGeorge Sherrill 17hJulio Mateo 7hJon Huber 6hSean Green 3hEmiliano Fruto 1hEric O'Flaherty 1h
CKenji Johjima 144 · René Rivera 35 · Guillermo Quiroz 1
1BRichie Sexson 150 · Ben Broussard 90 · Eduardo Perez 34
2BJose Lopez 150 · Willie Bloomquist 15 · Adrian Beltré 1
3BAdrian Beltré 155 · Willie Bloomquist 12 · Michael Morse 5
SSYuniesky Betancourt 157 · Willie Bloomquist 17 · Oswaldo Navarro 2
LFRaul Ibanez 157 · Willie Bloomquist 3 · Michael Morse 2
CFJeremy Reed 64 · Willie Bloomquist 48 · Ichiro Suzuki 39
RFIchiro Suzuki 121 · Chris Snelling 33 · T.J. Bohn 17
DHCarl Everett 80 · Ben Broussard 42 · Eduardo Perez 33
SPFélix Hernández 3.2 · Jarrod Washburn 2.0 · Gil Meche 1.8 · Joel Pineiro 0.3 · Jake Woods 0.2
BP★ J.J. Putz 36 · Rafael Soriano 18 · George Sherrill 17 · Julio Mateo 7 · Jon Huber 6 · Sean Green 3 · Emiliano Fruto 1 · Eric O'Flaherty 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ichiro Suzuki 32 arb 1615.6 12.5 -1.3
Adrian Beltré 27 FA-elig 1564.6 12.9 -3.7
Raul Ibanez 34 FA-elig 1593.4 4.2 +2.6
J.J. Putz 29 arb 723.4 0.4 +6.3
Félix Hernández 20 pre-arb 313.2 0.3 +6.1
Kenji Johjima 30 pre-arb 1442.8 5.4 +0.2
Richie Sexson 31 FA-elig 1582.4 13.0 -8.2
Jarrod Washburn 31 FA-elig 312.0 7.5 -3.5
Gil Meche 27 FA-elig 321.8 3.7 -0.0
Yuniesky Betancourt 24 pre-arb 1571.6 0.7 +2.5
Jose Lopez 22 pre-arb 1511.4 0.3 +2.5
Jamie Moyer↔ PHI 43 FA-elig 251.2 4.2 -1.7
Rafael Soriano 26 arb 531.1 0.5 +1.8
George Sherrill 29 pre-arb 720.9 0.3 +1.4
Chris Snelling 24 arb 360.5 0.3 +0.6
Willie Bloomquist 28 arb 1020.4 0.7 +0.2
Jon Huber 24 – 160.4 – –
Mark Lowe 23 – 150.3 – –
Joel Pineiro 27 FA-elig 400.3 6.8 -6.2
Michael Morse 24 – 210.3 – –
Greg Dobbs 27 – 230.2 – –
Jake Woods 24 pre-arb 370.2 0.3 -0.0
Cha Seung Baek 26 – 60.1 – –
Julio Mateo 28 arb 480.1 0.7 -0.5
Oswaldo Navarro 21 – 40.1 – –
Joe Borchard↔ MIA 27 arb 60.1 0.0 +0.1
Jeff Harris 31 pre-arb 30.0 0.3 -0.2
Jorge Campillo 27 – 10.0 – –
Sean Green 27 – 240.0 – –
Roberto Petagine 35 FA-elig 310.0 0.5 -0.4
Ryan Feierabend 20 – 4-0.0 – –
Guillermo Quiroz 24 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Emiliano Fruto 22 – 23-0.1 – –
Clint Nageotte 25 – 1-0.1 – –
Travis Chick 22 – 3-0.1 – –
Matt Lawton III 34 FA-elig 11-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Eric O'Flaherty 21 – 15-0.1 – –
Shin-Soo Choo↔ CLE 23 – 4-0.2 – –
T.J. Bohn 26 – 18-0.2 – –
Adam Jones 20 – 32-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Bobby Livingston 23 – 3-0.2 – –
Francisco Cruceta 24 – 4-0.3 – –
Cesar Jimenez 21 – 4-0.3 – –
Jeremy Reed 25 pre-arb 67-0.3 0.4 -1.0
Ben Broussard↔ CLE 29 arb 56-0.5 1.0 -1.9
René Rivera 22 – 35-0.6 – –
Eddie Guardado↔ CIN 35 FA-elig 28-0.6 4.1 -5.3
Carl Everett 35 FA-elig 92-0.8 3.4 -4.9
Eduardo Perez↔ CLE 36 FA-elig 43-0.8 0.9 -2.6

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Kenji Johjima2.8
Jarrod Washburn2.0
Jon Huber0.4
Mark Lowe0.3
Jake Woods0.2
Cha Seung Baek0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Randy Winn1.4
Ryan Franklin0.9
Ron Villone0.4
Shigetoshi Hasegawa0.4
Jamal Strong0.2
Wiki Gonzalez0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$86.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Richie Sexson319.000$13.0M$15.5M$11.9MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré278.000$12.9M$12.9M$13.4M$13.4MFREE AGENT
Jarrod Washburn318.000$7.5M$9.8M$9.8M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Joel Pineiro276.000$6.8MFREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez3410.000$4.2M$5.5M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Jamie Moyer4320.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
Eddie Guardado3513.000$4.1MFREE AGENT
Gil Meche277.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
Carl Everett3513.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Eduardo Perez3613.000$941kFREE AGENT
Roberto Petagine3512.000$450kFREE AGENT
Matt Lawton III3411.000$400kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Ichiro Suzuki325.000$12.5MFREE AGENT
Ben Broussard294.000$967kARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Mateo284.000$700kARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Bloomquist284.000$650kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Soriano264.000$450kARB 3FREE AGENT
J.J. Putz293.000$415kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snelling244.000$328kARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Borchard274.000$17kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (29)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Kenji Johjima300.000$5.4MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yuniesky Betancourt241.000$678kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Reed252.000$375kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Félix Hernández201.000$340kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Lopez222.000$335kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Sherrill292.000$333kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Harris311.000$332kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Woods241.000$332kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Quiroz242.000$328kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Jones200.000$166kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Cruceta24–—
Shin-Soo Choo231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
René Rivera220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Dobbs272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Nageotte25–—
Cha Seung Baek262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Morse241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Green270.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Chick22–—
Jorge Campillo271.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Huber24–—
Eric O'Flaherty210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Lowe230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
T.J. Bohn26–—
Bobby Livingston23–—
Ryan Feierabend20–—
Cesar Jimenez210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emiliano Fruto22–—
Oswaldo Navarro21–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.