RRosternomics

Mariners SEA

GM: Woody Woodward

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.81× league · TAB -7.2
-7.2TAB — talent above budget19th/26
-15.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/26
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/26
-7.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/26
66%dead money %26th/26
0.395win %25th/26
24.5roster fWAR22nd/26
-4surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/26
$24Mpayroll $M21st/26

Roster

CFKen Griffey Jr. 137GHenry Cotto 30GGreg Briley 13G
LFKevin Mitchell 69GHenry Cotto 63GGreg Briley 27G
RFJay Buhner 150GDann Howitt 13GDave Cochrane 9G
SSOmar Vizquel 136GJeff Schaefer 33GRich Amaral 17G
2BHarold Reynolds 134GBret Boone 32GJeff Schaefer 7G
3BEdgar Martinez 103GMike Blowers 29GJeff Schaefer 21G
1BPete O'Brien 81GTino Martinez 78GLance Parrish 16G
STARTERSDave Fleming 4.4WARRandy Johnson 3.4WARErik Hanson 3.1WARMark Grant 1.1WARRuss Swan 0.3WAR
CDave Valle 122GLance Parrish 56GDave Cochrane 21G
DHTino Martinez 47GPete O'Brien 33GEdgar Martinez 28G
BULLPEN Mike Schooler 13svJeff Nelson 0hDennis Powell 0hJuan Agosto 0hCalvin Jones 0hJim Acker 0hShawn Barton 0hEric Gunderson 0h
CDave Valle 122 · Lance Parrish 56 · Dave Cochrane 21
1BPete O'Brien 81 · Tino Martinez 78 · Lance Parrish 16
2BHarold Reynolds 134 · Bret Boone 32 · Jeff Schaefer 7
3BEdgar Martinez 103 · Mike Blowers 29 · Jeff Schaefer 21
SSOmar Vizquel 136 · Jeff Schaefer 33 · Rich Amaral 17
LFKevin Mitchell 69 · Henry Cotto 63 · Greg Briley 27
CFKen Griffey Jr. 137 · Henry Cotto 30 · Greg Briley 13
RFJay Buhner 150 · Dann Howitt 13 · Dave Cochrane 9
DHTino Martinez 47 · Pete O'Brien 33 · Edgar Martinez 28
SPDave Fleming 4.4 · Randy Johnson 3.4 · Erik Hanson 3.1 · Mark Grant 1.1 · Russ Swan 0.3
BP Mike Schooler 13 · Jeff Nelson 0 · Dennis Powell 0 · Juan Agosto 0 · Calvin Jones 0 · Jim Acker 0 · Shawn Barton 0 · Eric Gunderson 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1992 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Edgar Martinez 29 arb 1356.0 0.6 +4.1
Ken Griffey Jr. 22 arb 1425.3 2.0 +2.1
Dave Fleming 22 pre-arb 334.4 0.1 +3.3
Randy Johnson 28 arb 313.4 1.4 +1.3
Omar Vizquel 25 arb 1363.4 0.4 +2.3
Erik Hanson 27 arb 313.1 1.3 +1.0
Dave Valle 31 FA-elig 1241.3 1.7 -0.6
Mark Grant 28 231.1
Tino Martinez 24 pre-arb 1360.9 0.1 +0.6
Juan Agosto↔ STL 34 FA-elig 170.7 0.7 -0.2
Jay Buhner 27 arb 1520.3 1.4 -1.2
Harold Reynolds 31 FA-elig 1400.3 2.2 -1.9
Russ Swan 28 arb 550.3 0.2 +0.1
Lance Parrish↔ ANA 36 FA-elig 690.3 1.8 -1.6
Kevin Mitchell 30 FA-elig 990.2 3.8 -3.6
Henry Cotto 31 FA-elig 1080.2 0.9 -0.7
Rich DeLucia 27 pre-arb 300.1 0.2 -0.1
Shane Turner 29 340.1
Mike Blowers 27 310.1
Dann Howitt↔ OAK 28 130.0
Scott Bradley↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 20.0 0.2 -0.2
Randy Kramer 31 4-0.0
Greg Briley 27 arb 86-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Pat Lennon 24 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Kerry Woodson 23 8-0.1
Brian Fisher 30 22-0.1
Clay Parker 29 8-0.1
Kevin Brown 26 2-0.1
Shawn Barton 29 14-0.1
Dave Schmidt 35 3-0.1
Bill Haselman 26 8-0.1
Eric Gunderson 26 9-0.2
Dennis Powell 28 FA-elig 49-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Bret Boone 23 33-0.2
Tim Leary↔ NYY 33 FA-elig 8-0.2 0.7 -0.8
Jim Acker 33 FA-elig 17-0.2 0.3 -0.4
Bert Heffernan 27 8-0.2
John Moses 34 21-0.2
Matt Sinatro 32 FA-elig 18-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Dave Cochrane 29 FA-elig 65-0.3 0.2 -0.4
Rich Amaral 30 35-0.3
Gene Harris↔ SDP 27 arb 8-0.3 0.0 -0.3
Mike Walker 27 5-0.4
Mike Schooler 29 arb 53-0.5 0.8 -1.2
Jeff Nelson 25 66-0.5
Calvin Jones 28 pre-arb 38-0.7 0.1 -0.7
Pete O'Brien 34 FA-elig 134-0.7 2.2 -2.7
Jeff Schaefer 32 arb 65-0.8 0.2 -0.8

Key additions (new vs 1991)

PlayerfWAR
Mark Grant1.1
Juan Agosto0.7
Lance Parrish0.3
Kevin Mitchell0.2
Shane Turner0.1
Mike Blowers0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1991)

Player1991 fWAR
Brian Holman2.2
Bill Krueger2.0
Bill Swift1.6
Mike Jackson1.5
Rob Murphy0.3
Chris Howard0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1992 payroll
$24.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1992, 1992–1998. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Kevin Mitchell308.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Pete O'Brien3410.000$2.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Harold Reynolds319.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Lance Parrish3615.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Dave Valle318.000$1.7M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Henry Cotto318.000$875k$450kFREE AGENT
Juan Agosto3411.000$726kFREE AGENT
Tim Leary3311.000$669k$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jim Acker339.000$275kFREE AGENT
Scott Bradley328.000$239kFREE AGENT
Dave Cochrane296.000$162kFREE AGENT
Matt Sinatro3211.000$150kFREE AGENT
Dennis Powell287.000$125k$175kFREE AGENT
Brian Fisher307.000FREE AGENT
Mark Grant288.000FREE AGENT
John Moses3410.000FREE AGENT
Dave Schmidt3511.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Ken Griffey Jr.223.000$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Buhner275.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Randy Johnson284.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Hanson274.000$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Schooler294.000$800kARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Briley274.000$570kARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Martinez295.000$560kFREE AGENT
Omar Vizquel253.000$360kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Russ Swan283.000$195kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Schaefer323.000$165kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Harris273.000$45kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Blowers273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dann Howitt283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Kramer314.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clay Parker295.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Rich DeLucia272.000$210kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Calvin Jones281.000$132kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tino Martinez242.000$132kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Fleming221.000$124kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Lennon241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Amaral301.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Barton290.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bret Boone230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Brown262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Gunderson262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Haselman262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bert Heffernan27
Jeff Nelson250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Turner29
Mike Walker27
Kerry Woodson23

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 1992; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3