RRosternomics

Mariners SEA

GM: Woody Woodward

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.69× league · TAB -3.2
-3.2TAB — talent above budget19th/26
+6.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)6th/26
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars21st/26
-7.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/26
55%dead money %25th/26
0.512win %13th/26
26.4roster fWAR22nd/26
+0surplus $M (value vs cost)10th/26
$16Mpayroll $M22nd/26

Roster

CFKen Griffey Jr. 152GHenry Cotto 19GAlonzo Powell 6G
LFGreg Briley 95GHenry Cotto 38GTracy Jones 35G
RFJay Buhner 131GGreg Briley 46GAlonzo Powell 14G
SSOmar Vizquel 138GJeff Schaefer 46GRich Amaral 2G
2BHarold Reynolds 159GJeff Schaefer 11GRich Amaral 5G
3BEdgar Martinez 144GJeff Schaefer 30GDave Cochrane 13G
1BPete O'Brien 132GTino Martinez 29GAlvin Davis 14G
STARTERSErik Hanson 3.5WARRandy Johnson 2.6WARBrian Holman 2.2WARBill Krueger 2.0WARScott Bankhead 0.1WAR
CDave Valle 129GScott Bradley 65GDave Cochrane 19G
DHAlvin Davis 114GTracy Jones 19GPete O'Brien 17G
BULLPEN Bill Swift 17svMike Jackson 0hRuss Swan 0hRob Murphy 0hMike Schooler 0hCalvin Jones 0hDave Burba 0hDave Fleming 0h
CDave Valle 129 · Scott Bradley 65 · Dave Cochrane 19
1BPete O'Brien 132 · Tino Martinez 29 · Alvin Davis 14
2BHarold Reynolds 159 · Jeff Schaefer 11 · Rich Amaral 5
3BEdgar Martinez 144 · Jeff Schaefer 30 · Dave Cochrane 13
SSOmar Vizquel 138 · Jeff Schaefer 46 · Rich Amaral 2
LFGreg Briley 95 · Henry Cotto 38 · Tracy Jones 35
CFKen Griffey Jr. 152 · Henry Cotto 19 · Alonzo Powell 6
RFJay Buhner 131 · Greg Briley 46 · Alonzo Powell 14
DHAlvin Davis 114 · Tracy Jones 19 · Pete O'Brien 17
SPErik Hanson 3.5 · Randy Johnson 2.6 · Brian Holman 2.2 · Bill Krueger 2.0 · Scott Bankhead 0.1
BP Bill Swift 17 · Mike Jackson 0 · Russ Swan 0 · Rob Murphy 0 · Mike Schooler 0 · Calvin Jones 0 · Dave Burba 0 · Dave Fleming 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1991 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ken Griffey Jr. 21 pre-arb 1546.9 0.7 +3.4
Edgar Martinez 28 arb 1505.7 0.3 +3.1
Erik Hanson 26 arb 273.5 0.4 +1.7
Randy Johnson 27 arb 332.6 0.3 +1.2
Brian Holman 26 arb 302.2 0.3 +1.0
Bill Krueger 33 FA-elig 352.0 0.5 +0.7
Omar Vizquel 24 pre-arb 1421.9 0.2 +0.9
Bill Swift 29 FA-elig 711.6 0.9 -0.0
Mike Jackson 26 arb 721.5 0.7 +0.2
Harold Reynolds 30 FA-elig 1611.4 1.9 -1.0
Jay Buhner 26 arb 1370.9 0.2 +0.3
Calvin Jones 27 270.7
Mike Schooler 28 arb 340.7 0.5 -0.1
Dave Valle 30 FA-elig 1320.5 0.7 -0.4
Jeff Schaefer 31 pre-arb 840.4 0.1 +0.1
Rob Murphy 31 FA-elig 570.3 0.9 -0.8
Chris Howard 25 90.2
Ken Griffey Sr. 41 300.2
Henry Cotto 30 FA-elig 660.1 0.6 -0.5
Scott Bankhead 27 arb 170.1 0.8 -0.7
Dave Fleming 21 9-0.0
Keith Comstock 35 1-0.0
Pat Lennon 23 9-0.0
Tracy Jones 30 arb 79-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Pete O'Brien 33 FA-elig 152-0.1 2.0 -2.1
Matt Sinatro 31 5-0.1
Pat Rice 27 7-0.1
Gene Harris 26 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Russ Swan 27 pre-arb 63-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Rich Amaral 29 14-0.1
Dave Burba 24 22-0.2
Tino Martinez 23 36-0.2
Rich DeLucia 26 pre-arb 32-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Alonzo Powell 26 57-0.5
Dave Cochrane 28 arb 65-0.5 0.1 -0.4
Greg Briley 26 arb 139-1.3 0.3 -1.0
Alvin Davis 30 FA-elig 145-1.6 1.7 -2.7
Scott Bradley 31 FA-elig 83-1.7 0.6 -1.6

Key additions (new vs 1990)

PlayerfWAR
Bill Krueger2.0
Calvin Jones0.7
Rob Murphy0.3
Chris Howard0.2
Dave Fleming-0.0
Pat Lennon-0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 1990)

Player1990 fWAR
Matt Young3.7
Brian Giles0.8
Mike Brumley0.0
Mike Gardiner0.0
Scott Medvin-0.0
Dennis Powell-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1991 payroll
$15.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1991, 1991–1997. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Pete O'Brien339.000$2.0M$2.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Harold Reynolds308.000$1.9M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Alvin Davis307.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Rob Murphy316.000$950kFREE AGENT
Bill Swift296.000$950kFREE AGENT
Dave Valle307.000$667k$1.7M$2.4MFREE AGENT
Henry Cotto307.000$600k$875k$450kFREE AGENT
Scott Bradley317.000$575k$598kFREE AGENT
Bill Krueger338.000$500kFREE AGENT
Keith Comstock357.000FREE AGENT
Ken Griffey Sr.4118.000FREE AGENT
Matt Sinatro3110.000$150kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Scott Bankhead275.000$755kFREE AGENT
Mike Jackson265.000$700kFREE AGENT
Tracy Jones305.000$525kFREE AGENT
Mike Schooler283.000$490kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Hanson263.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Johnson273.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Martinez284.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Holman263.000$300kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Briley263.000$265kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Buhner264.000$248kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Cochrane285.000$108kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Ken Griffey Jr.212.000$700kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Vizquel242.000$180kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Harris262.000$132kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Schaefer312.000$110kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Russ Swan272.000$108kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich DeLucia261.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Amaral290.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Burba241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Fleming210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Howard25
Calvin Jones270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Lennon230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tino Martinez231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alonzo Powell26
Pat Rice27

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 1991; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3