RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Jed Hoyer

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.47× league · TAB +14.9
+14.9TAB — talent above budget3rd/30
+17.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)2nd/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-2.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
40%dead money %22nd/30
0.556win %8th/30
40.0roster fWAR9th/30
+48surplus $M (value vs cost)1st/30
$43Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFTony Gwynn Jr. 105GChris Denorfia 50GWill Venable 25G
LFScott Hairston 71GChris Denorfia 44GKyle Blanks 30G
RFRyan Ludwick 125GWill Venable 89GChris Denorfia 18G
SSJerry Hairston Jr. 62GEverth Cabrera 61GMiguel Tejada 58G
2BDavid Eckstein 113GJerry Hairston Jr. 47GLance Zawadzki 7G
3BChase Headley 158GMiguel Tejada 97GJerry Hairston Jr. 3G
1BAdrián González 159GOscar Salazar 7GKyle Blanks 4G
STARTERSMat Latos 4.1WARClayton Richard 2.2WARTim Stauffer 1.4WARJon Garland 1.4WARWade LeBlanc 0.7WAR
CYorvit Torrealba 92GNick Hundley 76GChris Stewart 1G
DHMatt Stairs 2GOscar Salazar 2GScott Hairston 1G
BULLPEN★ Heath Bell 47svLuke Gregerson 40hMike Adams 37hJoe Thatcher 12hRyan Webb 9hErnesto Frieri 7hEdward Mujica 4hCesár Ramos 2h
CYorvit Torrealba 92 · Nick Hundley 76 · Chris Stewart 1
1BAdrián González 159 · Oscar Salazar 7 · Kyle Blanks 4
2BDavid Eckstein 113 · Jerry Hairston Jr. 47 · Lance Zawadzki 7
3BChase Headley 158 · Miguel Tejada 97 · Jerry Hairston Jr. 3
SSJerry Hairston Jr. 62 · Everth Cabrera 61 · Miguel Tejada 58
LFScott Hairston 71 · Chris Denorfia 44 · Kyle Blanks 30
CFTony Gwynn Jr. 105 · Chris Denorfia 50 · Will Venable 25
RFRyan Ludwick 125 · Will Venable 89 · Chris Denorfia 18
DHMatt Stairs 2 · Oscar Salazar 2 · Scott Hairston 1
SPMat Latos 4.1 · Clayton Richard 2.2 · Tim Stauffer 1.4 · Jon Garland 1.4 · Wade LeBlanc 0.7
BP★ Heath Bell 47 · Luke Gregerson 40 · Mike Adams 37 · Joe Thatcher 12 · Ryan Webb 9 · Ernesto Frieri 7 · Edward Mujica 4 · Cesár Ramos 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Adrián González 28 FA-elig 1604.4 4.9 +5.4
Chase Headley 26 arb 1614.3 0.4 +9.6
Mat Latos 22 pre-arb 314.1 0.4 +9.3
Yorvit Torrealba 31 FA-elig 953.4 0.8 +7.2
Will Venable 27 pre-arb 1312.3 0.4 +5.0
Heath Bell 32 FA-elig 672.2 4.0 +1.3
Clayton Richard 26 pre-arb 332.2 0.4 +4.8
Tony Gwynn Jr. 27 arb 1172.0 0.4 +4.3
Mike Adams 31 FA-elig 701.8 1.0 +3.2
David Eckstein 35 FA-elig 1161.6 1.0 +2.7
Chris Denorfia 29 – 991.5 0.4 +3.2
Jerry Hairston Jr. 34 FA-elig 1191.5 2.1 +1.4
Jon Garland 30 FA-elig 341.4 4.7 -1.3
Tim Stauffer 28 arb 321.4 0.4 +2.8
Luke Gregerson 26 pre-arb 801.3 0.4 +2.6
Miguel Tejada↔ BAL 36 FA-elig 591.1 2.3 +0.3
Joe Thatcher 28 arb 651.0 0.4 +2.0
Nick Hundley 26 pre-arb 850.9 0.4 +1.6
Wade LeBlanc 25 – 270.7 – –
Ryan Webb 24 – 540.7 0.4 +1.3
Aaron Cunningham 24 – 530.6 – –
Matt Stairs 42 FA-elig 780.5 0.7 +0.5
Ernesto Frieri 24 – 330.4 0.4 +0.4
Chris Young 31 FA-elig 40.3 6.4 -5.7
Adam Russell 27 – 120.2 – –
Kevin Correia 29 FA-elig 280.1 3.6 -3.3
Kyle Blanks 23 pre-arb 330.0 0.4 -0.3
Luis Durango 24 – 280.0 – –
Chris Stewart 28 – 2-0.0 – –
Scott Hairston 30 FA-elig 104-0.0 2.5 -2.5
Cory Luebke 25 – 4-0.0 – –
Cesár Ramos 26 pre-arb 14-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Edward Mujica 26 arb 59-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Luis Perdomo 26 – 1-0.1 – –
Lance Zawadzki 25 – 20-0.1 – –
Mike Baxter 25 – 9-0.2 – –
Oscar Salazar 32 FA-elig 85-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Everth Cabrera 23 pre-arb 76-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Ryan Ludwick↔ STL 31 FA-elig 59-0.5 2.4 -3.6
Sean Gallagher↔ PIT 24 arb 15-0.5 0.1 -1.4

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Yorvit Torrealba3.4
Chris Denorfia1.5
Jerry Hairston Jr.1.5
Jon Garland1.4
Miguel Tejada1.1
Aaron Cunningham0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Kevin Kouzmanoff2.1
Jake Peavy1.9
Henry Blanco1.6
Chad Gaudin1.5
Jody Gerut0.4
Cla Meredith0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$43.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Chris Young316.000$6.4MFREE AGENT
Adrián González286.000$4.9MFREE AGENT
Jon Garland3010.000$4.7MFREE AGENT
Heath Bell326.000$4.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Kevin Correia297.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Scott Hairston306.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan Ludwick318.000$2.4M$4.9MFREE AGENT
Miguel Tejada3613.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.3412.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Mike Adams316.000$1.0M$1.6MFREE AGENT
David Eckstein359.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba319.000$750kFREE AGENT
Matt Stairs4218.000$700kFREE AGENT
Oscar Salazar328.000$408kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Chase Headley263.000$428kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn Jr.274.000$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
Edward Mujica264.000$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Stauffer285.000$415kFREE AGENT
Joe Thatcher283.000$413kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Gallagher243.000$135kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Clayton Richard262.000$424kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Everth Cabrera231.000$419kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Gregerson261.000$416kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Hundley262.000$416kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Venable272.000$413kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Blanks231.000$411kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mat Latos221.000$408kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesár Ramos261.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Webb240.029$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ernesto Frieri241.000$400kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Denorfia292.041$400kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Russell272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wade LeBlanc252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance Zawadzki25–—
Chris Stewart280.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Luebke250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Perdomo261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Durango24–—
Mike Baxter250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Cunningham242.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.