RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Randy Smith

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.79× league · TAB -6.2
-6.2TAB — talent above budget22nd/28
-0.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/28
-6.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag23rd/28
20%dead money %8th/28
0.486win %14th/28
22.3roster fWAR22nd/28
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/28
$26Mpayroll $M22nd/28

Roster

CFSteve Finley 138GRay McDavid 7GMelvin Nieves 6G
LFMelvin Nieves 62GBip Roberts 48GPhil Plantier 47G
RFTony Gwynn 133GPhil Clark 21GMelvin Nieves 15G
SSAndujar Cedeno 116GRay Holbert 30GArchi Cianfrocco 15G
2BJody Reed 130GBip Roberts 25GRay Holbert 7G
3BKen Caminiti 143GScott Livingstone 13GArchi Cianfrocco 3G
1BEddie Williams 81GRoberto Petagine 51GScott Livingstone 43G
STARTERSAndy Ashby 3.3WARJoey Hamilton 2.9WARScott Sanders 1.4WARBrian Williams 1.1WARWillie Blair 0.7WAR
CBrad Ausmus 100GBrian Johnson 55G
BULLPEN★ Trevor Hoffman 31svBryce Florie 0hRon Villone 0hAndres Berumen 0hDoug Bochtler 0hDustin Hermanson 0hTim Worrell 0hTim Mauser 0h
CBrad Ausmus 100 · Brian Johnson 55
1BEddie Williams 81 · Roberto Petagine 51 · Scott Livingstone 43
2BJody Reed 130 · Bip Roberts 25 · Ray Holbert 7
3BKen Caminiti 143 · Scott Livingstone 13 · Archi Cianfrocco 3
SSAndujar Cedeno 116 · Ray Holbert 30 · Archi Cianfrocco 15
LFMelvin Nieves 62 · Bip Roberts 48 · Phil Plantier 47
CFSteve Finley 138 · Ray McDavid 7 · Melvin Nieves 6
RFTony Gwynn 133 · Phil Clark 21 · Melvin Nieves 15
SPAndy Ashby 3.3 · Joey Hamilton 2.9 · Scott Sanders 1.4 · Brian Williams 1.1 · Willie Blair 0.7
BP★ Trevor Hoffman 31 · Bryce Florie 0 · Ron Villone 0 · Andres Berumen 0 · Doug Bochtler 0 · Dustin Hermanson 0 · Tim Worrell 0 · Tim Mauser 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ken Caminiti 32 FA-elig 1433.6 4.6 -1.1
Andy Ashby 27 arb 313.3 0.8 +2.4
Brad Ausmus 26 pre-arb 1033.0 0.2 +2.7
Joey Hamilton 24 pre-arb 312.9 0.2 +2.6
Andy Benes↔ SEA 27 FA-elig 192.7 2.1 +0.5
Tony Gwynn 35 FA-elig 1352.3 4.7 -2.5
Scott Livingstone 29 arb 991.5 0.5 +0.9
Scott Sanders 26 pre-arb 171.4 0.2 +1.2
Steve Finley 30 FA-elig 1391.3 4.5 -3.2
Jody Reed 32 FA-elig 1311.3 0.5 +0.8
Brian Williams 26 arb 441.1 0.3 +0.8
Willie Blair 29 arb 400.7 0.4 +0.3
Bip Roberts 31 FA-elig 730.6 2.3 -1.7
Glenn Dishman 24 pre-arb 190.5 0.1 +0.4
Doug Bochtler 24 pre-arb 340.4 0.1 +0.3
Fernando Valenzuela 34 FA-elig 290.4 0.4 -0.1
Marc Newfield↔ SEA 22 pre-arb 210.4 0.1 +0.3
Roberto Petagine 24 pre-arb 890.3 0.1 +0.2
Phil Plantier↔ HOU 26 arb 540.2 1.4 -1.2
Trevor Hoffman 27 pre-arb 550.2 0.3 -0.2
Eddie Williams 30 FA-elig 970.1 0.2 -0.1
Ron Villone↔ SEA 25 pre-arb 190.1 0.1 +0.1
Brian Johnson 27 pre-arb 680.0 0.1 -0.1
Donnie Elliott 26 pre-arb 10.0 0.1 -0.1
Marc Kroon 22 – 20.0 – –
Bill Krueger↔ SEA 37 – 6-0.0 – –
Tim Mauser 28 – 5-0.0 – –
Bryce Florie 25 pre-arb 47-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Tim Worrell 27 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Jeff Tabaka↔ HOU 31 pre-arb 10-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Tim Hyers 23 – 6-0.1 – –
Andres Berumen 24 pre-arb 37-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Billy Bean 31 – 4-0.2 – –
Ray Holbert 24 pre-arb 63-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Ray McDavid 23 – 11-0.3 – –
Archi Cianfrocco 28 arb 51-0.3 0.2 -0.5
Phil Clark 27 arb 75-0.5 0.2 -0.7
Melvin Nieves 23 arb 98-0.7 0.1 -0.8
Dustin Hermanson 22 – 26-0.9 – –
Andujar Cedeno 25 arb 120-2.2 1.1 -3.3

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Ken Caminiti3.6
Steve Finley1.3
Jody Reed1.3
Brian Williams1.1
Willie Blair0.7
Glenn Dishman0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Craig Shipley0.7
Wally Whitehurst0.6
Derek Bell0.4
A.J. Sager0.3
Doug Brocail0.1
Pedro Martinez0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$26.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Tony Gwynn3513.000$4.7M$4.3M$4.6M$4.0M$4.4M$6.3M$2.0M
Ken Caminiti328.000$4.6M$3.3M$3.1M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Steve Finley306.000$4.5M$2.9M$3.0M$3.4MFREE AGENT
Bip Roberts319.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Andy Benes276.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Jody Reed328.000$450k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Fernando Valenzuela3415.000$425k$1.0M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Eddie Williams309.000$230kFREE AGENT
Billy Bean318.000—FREE AGENT
Bill Krueger3712.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Phil Plantier265.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Andujar Cedeno255.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Andy Ashby274.000$755kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Livingstone294.000$475kARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Blair295.000$400kFREE AGENT
Brian Williams264.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Clark273.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Archi Cianfrocco283.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Melvin Nieves233.000$125kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Mauser284.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Trevor Hoffman272.000$315kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Ausmus262.000$197kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Sanders262.000$180kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Hamilton241.000$170kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Worrell272.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Elliott261.000$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Johnson271.000$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Florie251.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roberto Petagine241.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Holbert241.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andres Berumen240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Bochtler240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Dishman240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Villone250.000$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marc Newfield222.000$54kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Tabaka311.000$41kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Hermanson220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Hyers231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marc Kroon220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray McDavid23–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.