RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Jack McKeon

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.95× league · TAB -5.0
-5.0TAB — talent above budget18th/26
-16.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/26
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/26
-3.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/26
41%dead money %22nd/26
0.401win %25th/26
28.6roster fWAR18th/26
-2surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/26
$10Mpayroll $M17th/26

Roster

CFShane Mack 90GStan Jefferson 83GMarvell Wynne 40G
LFCarmelo Martinez 78GStan Jefferson 61GMarvell Wynne 33G
RFTony Gwynn 156GJim Steels 7GShawn Abner 6G
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 146GLuis Salazar 22GJoey Cora 6G
2BTim Flannery 84GJoey Cora 66GRandy Ready 51G
3BChris Brown 80GRandy Ready 52GLuis Salazar 38G
1BJohn Kruk 101GCarmelo Martinez 65GSteve Garvey 20G
STARTERSJimmy Jones 1.1WAREd Whitson 0.9WAREric Show 0.8WAREric Nolte 0.6WARMark Davis 0.4WAR
CBenito Santiago 146GBruce Bochy 23GMark Parent 10G
BULLPEN★ Lance McCullers Sr. 16svDave Leiper 0hGreg Booker 0hKeith Comstock 0hRich Gossage 0hTom Gorman 0hEd Wojna 0hRay Hayward 0h
CBenito Santiago 146 · Bruce Bochy 23 · Mark Parent 10
1BJohn Kruk 101 · Carmelo Martinez 65 · Steve Garvey 20
2BTim Flannery 84 · Joey Cora 66 · Randy Ready 51
3BChris Brown 80 · Randy Ready 52 · Luis Salazar 38
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 146 · Luis Salazar 22 · Joey Cora 6
LFCarmelo Martinez 78 · Stan Jefferson 61 · Marvell Wynne 33
CFShane Mack 90 · Stan Jefferson 83 · Marvell Wynne 40
RFTony Gwynn 156 · Jim Steels 7 · Shawn Abner 6
SPJimmy Jones 1.1 · Ed Whitson 0.9 · Eric Show 0.8 · Eric Nolte 0.6 · Mark Davis 0.4
BP★ Lance McCullers Sr. 16 · Dave Leiper 0 · Greg Booker 0 · Keith Comstock 0 · Rich Gossage 0 · Tom Gorman 0 · Ed Wojna 0 · Ray Hayward 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1987 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tony Gwynn 27 arb 1577.4 0.8 +1.4
Randy Ready 27 arb 1245.4 0.1 +1.4
John Kruk 26 pre-arb 1383.5 0.1 +0.9
Benito Santiago 22 pre-arb 1463.1 0.1 +0.8
Carmelo Martinez 26 arb 1391.7 0.3 +0.2
Lance McCullers Sr. 23 pre-arb 781.6 0.1 +0.3
Jimmy Jones 23 pre-arb 321.1 0.1 +0.2
Kevin Mitchell↔ SFG 25 arb 621.0 0.1 +0.2
Ed Whitson 32 FA-elig 360.9 0.8 -0.5
Rich Gossage 35 FA-elig 400.9 1.3 -1.0
Eric Show 31 FA-elig 340.8 0.8 -0.6
Garry Templeton Sr. 31 FA-elig 1480.7 1.1 -0.9
Dave Dravecky↔ SFG 31 arb 310.6 0.4 -0.2
Eric Nolte 23 pre-arb 120.6 0.1 +0.1
Mark Davis↔ SFG 26 FA-elig 430.4 0.3 -0.2
Storm Davis↔ OAK 25 arb 210.3 0.5 -0.4
Marvell Wynne 27 arb 980.3 0.2 -0.2
Shane Mack 23 pre-arb 1050.3 0.1 +0.0
Tim Flannery 29 FA-elig 1060.3 0.3 -0.3
Shawn Abner 21 – 160.2 – –
Andy Hawkins 27 arb 240.2 0.5 -0.5
Chris Brown↔ SFG 25 arb 440.2 0.1 -0.1
Ed Wojna 26 – 50.1 – –
Keith Comstock↔ SFG 31 arb 260.1 0.0 -0.0
Stan Jefferson 24 pre-arb 1160.1 0.1 -0.0
Randy Byers 22 – 100.1 – –
Dave Leiper↔ OAK 25 arb 120.0 0.0 -0.0
Tom Gorman 29 – 60.0 – –
Joey Cora 22 – 770.0 – –
Mark Grant↔ SFG 23 arb 18-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Craig Lefferts↔ SFG 29 arb 33-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Rob Nelson↔ OAK 23 – 10-0.2 – –
Jim Steels 26 – 62-0.2 – –
Ray Hayward 26 – 4-0.3 – –
Greg Booker 27 arb 44-0.3 0.1 -0.2
Mark Parent 25 – 12-0.4 – –
Steve Garvey 38 FA-elig 27-0.6 1.4 -1.6
Bruce Bochy 32 FA-elig 38-0.6 0.1 -0.3
Luis Salazar 31 FA-elig 84-0.8 0.1 -0.3

Key additions (new vs 1986)

PlayerfWAR
Kevin Mitchell1.0
Eric Nolte0.6
Mark Davis0.4
Storm Davis0.3
Shane Mack0.3
Shawn Abner0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1986)

Player1986 fWAR
Kevin McReynolds4.2
Terry Kennedy2.3
Jerry Royster1.0
Mark Thurmond0.6
Gene Walter0.5
Randy Asadoor0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1987 payroll
$10.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 1987, 1987–1993. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1987198819891990199119921993
Steve Garvey3818.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Rich Gossage3515.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Garry Templeton Sr.3111.000$1.1M$1.1M$700k$550k$379kFREE AGENT
Ed Whitson3210.000$800k$1.0M$1.1M$1.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Eric Show316.000$788k$888k$1.4M$1.1MFREE AGENT
Tim Flannery298.000$327k$382k$400kFREE AGENT
Mark Davis267.000$279k$520k$600kFREE AGENT
Bruce Bochy329.000$135kFREE AGENT
Luis Salazar317.000$75kFREE AGENT$314k
Tom Gorman296.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1987198819891990199119921993
Tony Gwynn275.000$765kFREE AGENT
Andy Hawkins275.000$535kFREE AGENT
Storm Davis255.000$489kFREE AGENT
Dave Dravecky315.000$364kFREE AGENT
Carmelo Martinez264.000$340kARB 3FREE AGENT
Marvell Wynne274.000$240kARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Lefferts294.000$214kARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Brown253.000$115kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Ready274.000$110kARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Booker274.000$100kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Mitchell253.000$59kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Grant233.000$46kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Comstock313.000$40kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Leiper253.000$15kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1987198819891990199119921993
Lance McCullers Sr.232.000$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Kruk261.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Benito Santiago221.000$64kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Jones231.000$64kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Mack230.000$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stan Jefferson241.000$62kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Nolte230.000$62kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Abner210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Byers22–—
Joey Cora220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Hayward261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Nelson231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Parent251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Steels26–—
Ed Wojna262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1987; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.