RRosternomics
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Padres SDP

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GM: Jack McKeon

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.05× league · TAB -10.3
-10.3TAB — talent above budget24th/26
-8.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/26
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars25th/26
-4.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/26
51%dead money %26th/26
0.457win %18th/26
24.5roster fWAR23rd/26
-4surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/26
$12Mpayroll $M11th/26

Roster

CFMarvell Wynne 125GKevin McReynolds 109G
LFKevin McReynolds 108GJohn Kruk 70GCarmelo Martinez 59G
RFTony Gwynn 160GJohn Kruk 6GKevin McReynolds 3G
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 144GJerry Royster 24GGary Green 13G
2BTim Flannery 108GBip Roberts 87GJerry Royster 21G
3BGraig Nettles 114GJerry Royster 59GTim Flannery 23G
1BSteve Garvey 148GCarmelo Martinez 27GTim Pyznarski 13G
STARTERSDave Dravecky 1.5WAREric Show 1.4WARAndy Hawkins 1.3WARLance McCullers Sr. 0.8WAREd Wojna 0.5WAR
CTerry Kennedy 123GBruce Bochy 48GBenito Santiago 17G
BULLPEN★ Rich Gossage 21svCraig Lefferts 0hGene Walter 0hBob Stoddard 0hGreg Booker 0hEd Vosberg 0hJimmy Jones 0hRay Hayward 0h
CTerry Kennedy 123 · Bruce Bochy 48 · Benito Santiago 17
1BSteve Garvey 148 · Carmelo Martinez 27 · Tim Pyznarski 13
2BTim Flannery 108 · Bip Roberts 87 · Jerry Royster 21
3BGraig Nettles 114 · Jerry Royster 59 · Tim Flannery 23
SSGarry Templeton Sr. 144 · Jerry Royster 24 · Gary Green 13
LFKevin McReynolds 108 · John Kruk 70 · Carmelo Martinez 59
CFMarvell Wynne 125 · Kevin McReynolds 109
RFTony Gwynn 160 · John Kruk 6 · Kevin McReynolds 3
SPDave Dravecky 1.5 · Eric Show 1.4 · Andy Hawkins 1.3 · Lance McCullers Sr. 0.8 · Ed Wojna 0.5
BP★ Rich Gossage 21 · Craig Lefferts 0 · Gene Walter 0 · Bob Stoddard 0 · Greg Booker 0 · Ed Vosberg 0 · Jimmy Jones 0 · Ray Hayward 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1986 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tony Gwynn 26 arb 1606.2 0.5 +1.3
Kevin McReynolds 26 arb 1584.2 0.3 +1.0
Terry Kennedy 30 FA-elig 1412.3 0.9 -0.2
John Kruk 25 pre-arb 1222.0 0.1 +0.5
Tim Flannery 28 FA-elig 1341.9 0.2 +0.4
Dave Dravecky 30 arb 351.5 0.3 +0.1
Eric Show 30 arb 241.4 0.7 -0.3
Andy Hawkins 26 arb 371.3 0.3 +0.1
Bruce Bochy 31 FA-elig 631.1 0.1 +0.2
Jerry Royster 33 FA-elig 1181.0 0.4 -0.1
Craig Lefferts 28 arb 840.8 0.4 -0.1
Lance McCullers Sr. 22 pre-arb 760.8 0.1 +0.2
Rich Gossage 34 FA-elig 450.6 1.0 -0.9
Mark Thurmond↔ DET 29 arb 180.6 0.1 +0.1
Carmelo Martinez 25 arb 1130.6 0.2 -0.1
Jimmy Jones 22 – 30.6 – –
Gene Walter 25 pre-arb 570.5 0.1 +0.1
Ed Wojna 25 pre-arb 70.5 0.1 +0.1
Marvell Wynne 26 arb 1370.4 0.2 -0.1
Ed Whitson↔ NYY 31 FA-elig 170.3 0.4 -0.4
Randy Asadoor 23 – 150.2 – –
Graig Nettles 41 FA-elig 1260.2 0.9 -0.9
Greg Booker 26 – 90.2 – –
Bob Stoddard 29 – 180.1 – –
Gary Green 24 – 130.1 – –
Tim Pyznarski 26 – 150.1 – –
Ray Hayward 25 – 40.0 – –
Ed Vosberg 24 – 50.0 – –
Benito Santiago 21 – 17-0.0 – –
Randy Ready↔ MIL 26 – 1-0.1 – –
Dave LaPoint↔ DET 26 FA-elig 24-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Tim Stoddard↔ NYY 33 FA-elig 30-0.2 0.4 -0.4
Mark Parent 24 – 8-0.3 – –
Mark Wasinger 24 – 3-0.4 – –
Dane Iorg 36 FA-elig 90-0.5 0.2 -0.4
Bip Roberts 22 pre-arb 101-0.7 0.1 -0.3
Garry Templeton Sr. 30 FA-elig 147-0.7 1.1 -1.3
Steve Garvey 37 FA-elig 155-0.8 1.2 -1.5
LaMarr Hoyt 31 FA-elig 35-0.9 1.0 -1.3

Key additions (new vs 1985)

PlayerfWAR
John Kruk2.0
Jimmy Jones0.6
Marvell Wynne0.4
Ed Whitson0.3
Randy Asadoor0.2
Bob Stoddard0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1985)

Player1985 fWAR
Roy Lee Jackson0.2
Gerry Davis0.0
Edwin Rodriguez-0.0
Miguel Dilone-0.0
Al Bumbry-0.1
Luis DeLeon-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1986 payroll
$11.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1986, 1986–1992. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Steve Garvey3717.000$1.2M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Garry Templeton Sr.3010.000$1.1M$1.1M$1.1M$700k$550k$379kFREE AGENT
Rich Gossage3414.000$1.0M$1.3MFREE AGENT
LaMarr Hoyt317.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Terry Kennedy308.000$920kFREE AGENT
Graig Nettles4119.000$912kFREE AGENT
Ed Whitson319.000$439k$800k$1.0M$1.1M$1.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Tim Stoddard3311.000$375kFREE AGENT
Jerry Royster3313.000$362kFREE AGENT
Dave LaPoint266.000$330kFREE AGENT
Dane Iorg369.000$210kFREE AGENT
Tim Flannery287.000$192k$327k$382k$400kFREE AGENT
Bruce Bochy318.000$125k$135kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Eric Show305.000$688kFREE AGENT
Tony Gwynn264.000$540kARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Lefferts283.000$390kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Dravecky304.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Hawkins264.000$300kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin McReynolds263.000$275kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carmelo Martinez253.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marvell Wynne263.000$205kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Thurmond293.000$113kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Booker263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Ready263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Stoddard295.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1986198719881989199019911992
Lance McCullers Sr.221.000$72kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Walter251.000$70kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ed Wojna251.000$65kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Kruk250.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bip Roberts220.000$60kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Asadoor23–—
Gary Green240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Hayward250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Jones220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Parent240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Pyznarski26–—
Benito Santiago210.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ed Vosberg240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Wasinger24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Padres 1986; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.