RRosternomics
𝕏

Pirates PIT

‹ ›

GM: Ben Cherington

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.43× league · TAB +1.2
+1.2TAB — talent above budget16th/30
+5.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)10th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/30
-5.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/30
27%dead money %11th/30
0.469win %21st/30
25.0roster fWAR25th/30
+33surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/30
$66Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFJack Suwinski 120GJi Hwan Bae 62GBryan Reynolds 18G
LFBryan Reynolds 119GConnor Joe 32GJoshua Palacios 25G
RFConnor Joe 57GJoshua Palacios 50GHenry Davis 49G
SSTucupita Marcano 58GAlika Williams 45GLiover Peguero 39G
2BJi Hwan Bae 64GLiover Peguero 33GNick Gonzales 29G
3BKe'Bryan Hayes 122GJared Triolo 35GVinny Capra 4G
1BConnor Joe 53GAlfonso Rivas III 47GJared Triolo 7G
STARTERSMitch Keller 3.2WARJohan Oviedo 1.8WARVince Velasquez 0.7WAROsvaldo Bido 0.7WARAndre Jackson 0.4WAR
CJason Delay 68GEndy Rodríguez 52GHenry Davis 2G
DHAndrew McCutchen 98GBryan Reynolds 19GHenry Davis 11G
BULLPEN★ David Bednar 39svColin Holderman 27hCarmen Mlodzinski 10hRyan Borucki 9hAngel Perdomo 6hDauri Moreta 5hJose E. Hernandez 5hYerry De los Santos 3h
CJason Delay 68 · Endy Rodríguez 52 · Henry Davis 2
1BConnor Joe 53 · Alfonso Rivas III 47 · Jared Triolo 7
2BJi Hwan Bae 64 · Liover Peguero 33 · Nick Gonzales 29
3BKe'Bryan Hayes 122 · Jared Triolo 35 · Vinny Capra 4
SSTucupita Marcano 58 · Alika Williams 45 · Liover Peguero 39
LFBryan Reynolds 119 · Connor Joe 32 · Joshua Palacios 25
CFJack Suwinski 120 · Ji Hwan Bae 62 · Bryan Reynolds 18
RFConnor Joe 57 · Joshua Palacios 50 · Henry Davis 49
DHAndrew McCutchen 98 · Bryan Reynolds 19 · Henry Davis 11
SPMitch Keller 3.2 · Johan Oviedo 1.8 · Vince Velasquez 0.7 · Osvaldo Bido 0.7 · Andre Jackson 0.4
BP★ David Bednar 39 · Colin Holderman 27 · Carmen Mlodzinski 10 · Ryan Borucki 9 · Angel Perdomo 6 · Dauri Moreta 5 · Jose E. Hernandez 5 · Yerry De los Santos 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mitch Keller 27 arb 323.2 2.4 +10.4
Ke'Bryan Hayes 26 arb 1243.2 10.0 +2.8
Jack Suwinski 24 pre-arb 1442.6 0.7 +9.5
David Bednar 28 arb 662.3 0.7 +8.5
Bryan Reynolds 28 arb 1452.1 7.0 +1.4
Johan Oviedo 25 arb 321.8 0.7 +6.4
Jared Triolo 25 – 541.5 0.3 +5.8
Connor Joe 30 arb 1331.4 0.7 +5.0
Andrew McCutchen 36 FA-elig 1121.3 5.0 +0.2
Rich Hill↔ SDP 43 FA-elig 221.1 5.5 -1.2
Jason Delay 28 pre-arb 701.1 0.7 +3.6
Dauri Moreta 27 pre-arb 551.0 0.7 +3.4
Austin Hedges↔ TEX 30 FA-elig 650.9 4.0 -0.2
Colin Holderman 27 pre-arb 580.9 0.7 +2.9
Carlos Santana↔ MIL 37 FA-elig 940.8 4.3 -1.1
Osvaldo Bido 27 – 160.7 0.3 +2.4
Vince Velasquez 31 FA-elig 80.7 3.1 -0.5
Ryan Borucki 29 arb 380.6 0.4 +2.1
Endy Rodríguez 23 – 570.6 0.3 +2.1
Angel Perdomo 29 pre-arb 300.5 0.5 +1.5
Andre Jackson↔ LAD 27 pre-arb 120.4 0.5 +1.0
Oneil Cruz 24 pre-arb 90.3 0.7 +0.4
Miguel Andujar 28 FA-elig 300.3 1.5 -0.5
Carmen Mlodzinski 24 – 350.2 0.4 +0.5
Thomas Hatch↔ TOR 28 pre-arb 120.2 0.1 +0.7
Joshua Palacios 27 pre-arb 910.2 0.5 +0.3
Liover Peguero 22 pre-arb 590.1 0.3 +0.2
Rob Zastryzny 31 FA-elig 210.1 0.8 -0.2
Yerry De los Santos 25 – 220.1 0.2 +0.2
Jose E. Hernandez 25 – 500.1 – –
Roansy Contreras 23 pre-arb 190.1 0.7 -0.5
Drew Maggi 34 – 30.0 0.0 +0.1
Alfonso Rivas III↔ SDP 26 – 400.0 – –
Hunter Stratton 26 – 8-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Vinny Capra 26 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Tyler Heineman↔ TOR 32 – 3-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Colin Selby 25 – 21-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Kyle Nicolas 24 – 4-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Nick Gonzales 24 – 35-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Cal Mitchell 24 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Ji Hwan Bae 23 pre-arb 111-0.1 0.7 -1.1
Yohan Ramírez↔ CHW 28 – 26-0.1 0.3 -0.7
Ji Man Choi↔ SDP 32 FA-elig 23-0.1 2.7 -3.1
Wil Crowe 28 arb 5-0.2 0.7 -1.3
Bailey Falter↔ PHI 26 pre-arb 10-0.2 0.4 -1.0
Rodolfo Castro↔ PHI 24 pre-arb 78-0.2 0.6 -1.3
Duane Underwood Jr. 28 arb 20-0.2 1.0 -1.7
Cody Bolton 25 – 16-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Robert Stephenson↔ TBR 30 FA-elig 18-0.2 0.5 -1.4
Chris Owings 31 FA-elig 11-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Mark Mathias↔ SFG 28 – 22-0.3 0.2 -1.4
Tucupita Marcano 23 pre-arb 75-0.3 0.7 -2.0
Alika Williams 24 – 46-0.3 0.2 -1.6
Luis Ortiz 24 pre-arb 18-0.4 0.4 -1.8
Canaan Smith-Njigba 24 pre-arb 15-0.4 0.7 -2.4
Chase De Jong 29 FA-elig 6-0.5 0.8 -2.9
Quinn Priester 22 – 10-0.6 0.2 -2.6
Henry Davis 23 – 62-0.8 0.4 -3.7

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Jared Triolo1.5
Connor Joe1.4
Andrew McCutchen1.3
Rich Hill1.1
Dauri Moreta1.0
Austin Hedges0.9

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Jose Quintana2.1
Kevin Newman1.2
Roberto Pérez0.6
Chris Stratton0.4
Daniel Vogelbach0.4
Jake Marisnick0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$65.7M
2024 guaranteed
$17.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Ke'Bryan Hayes262.075$10.0M$7.0M$2.3M$7.0M$7.0M$8.0M$8.0M
Bryan Reynolds283.163$7.0M$10.2M$12.2M$14.2M$15.2M$15.2M$15.2M
Rich Hill4313.127$5.5MFREE AGENT
Andrew McCutchen3613.123$5.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Santana3712.115$4.3MFREE AGENT
Austin Hedges306.166$4.0MFREE AGENT
Vince Velasquez317.086$3.1MFREE AGENT
Ji Man Choi327.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Chase De Jong296.000$820kFREE AGENT
Chris Owings318.026$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Mitch Keller273.026$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Andujar284.002$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Duane Underwood Jr.285.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Robert Stephenson305.049$525kFREE AGENT
Ryan Borucki294.066$406kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (43)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Rob Zastryzny310.118$750kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Bednar282.076$745kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wil Crowe282.011$745kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Joe301.136$735kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johan Oviedo251.079$735kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dauri Moreta270.012$725kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Suwinski240.118$725kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colin Holderman270.130$725kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roansy Contreras230.112$725kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ji Hwan Bae231.000$725kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Canaan Smith-Njigba240.115$725kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Delay280.095$720kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oneil Cruz240.110$720kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tucupita Marcano230.141$654kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rodolfo Castro240.127$615kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joshua Palacios270.084$519kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Perdomo291.010$465kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andre Jackson270.039$456kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carmen Mlodzinski240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bailey Falter261.032$407kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Davis230.000$403kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ortiz240.019$395kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Osvaldo Bido270.000$306kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Triolo250.000$298kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Endy Rodríguez230.000$294kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Liover Peguero220.003$294kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohan Ramírez282.001$289kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alika Williams240.000$244kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Bolton250.000$221kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yerry De los Santos25–$213k
Colin Selby250.000$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Quinn Priester220.000$182kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gonzales240.000$178kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Mathias281.153$171kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinny Capra260.027$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thomas Hatch281.125$108kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Stratton260.000$105kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Nicolas240.000$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Heineman321.121$30kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Maggi34–$27k
Cal Mitchell240.096$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfonso Rivas III26–—
Jose E. Hernandez25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Pirates 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.