RRosternomics

Pirates PIT

GM: Ben Cherington

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.39× league · TAB -7.6
-7.6TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
-7.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/30
-10.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/30
47%dead money %24th/30
0.383win %27th/30
14.9roster fWAR26th/30
-4surplus $M (value vs cost)12th/30
$55Mpayroll $M28th/30

Roster

CFBryan Reynolds 127GJack Suwinski 19GJake Marisnick 14G
LFBen Gamel 57GJack Suwinski 56GTucupita Marcano 30G
RFCal Mitchell 54GBen Gamel 39GJack Suwinski 38G
SSOneil Cruz 79GKevin Newman 33GDiego Castillo 32G
2BKevin Newman 42GJosh VanMeter 39GRodolfo Castro 32G
3BKe'Bryan Hayes 133GRodolfo Castro 24GMichael Chavis 9G
1BMichael Chavis 107GYoshi Tsutsugo 35GJosh VanMeter 21G
STARTERSMitch Keller 2.1WARJT Brubaker 1.9WARRoansy Contreras 0.9WARJohan Oviedo 0.6WARZach Thompson 0.2WAR
CTyler Heineman 59GJason Delay 57GRoberto Pérez 20G
DHBen Gamel 21GBryan Reynolds 18GYoshi Tsutsugo 15G
BULLPEN David Bednar 19svWil Crowe 16hDuane Underwood Jr. 12hRobert Stephenson 8hManny Banuelos 5hChase De Jong 3hYohan Ramírez 3hYerry De los Santos 2h
CTyler Heineman 59 · Jason Delay 57 · Roberto Pérez 20
1BMichael Chavis 107 · Yoshi Tsutsugo 35 · Josh VanMeter 21
2BKevin Newman 42 · Josh VanMeter 39 · Rodolfo Castro 32
3BKe'Bryan Hayes 133 · Rodolfo Castro 24 · Michael Chavis 9
SSOneil Cruz 79 · Kevin Newman 33 · Diego Castillo 32
LFBen Gamel 57 · Jack Suwinski 56 · Tucupita Marcano 30
CFBryan Reynolds 127 · Jack Suwinski 19 · Jake Marisnick 14
RFCal Mitchell 54 · Ben Gamel 39 · Jack Suwinski 38
DHBen Gamel 21 · Bryan Reynolds 18 · Yoshi Tsutsugo 15
SPMitch Keller 2.1 · JT Brubaker 1.9 · Roansy Contreras 0.9 · Johan Oviedo 0.6 · Zach Thompson 0.2
BP David Bednar 19 · Wil Crowe 16 · Duane Underwood Jr. 12 · Robert Stephenson 8 · Manny Banuelos 5 · Chase De Jong 3 · Yohan Ramírez 3 · Yerry De los Santos 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ke'Bryan Hayes 25 pre-arb 1363.1 10.0 +1.2
Bryan Reynolds 27 arb 1452.9 6.8 +3.9
Jose Quintana↔ STL 33 FA-elig 202.1 1.2 +6.6
Mitch Keller 26 pre-arb 312.1 0.7 +6.9
JT Brubaker 28 pre-arb 281.9 0.7 +6.2
David Bednar 27 pre-arb 451.4 0.7 +4.6
Oneil Cruz 23 pre-arb 871.4 0.4 +4.8
Kevin Newman 28 arb 781.2 1.9 +2.6
Jack Suwinski 23 1061.1 0.4 +3.8
Duane Underwood Jr. 27 510.9
Roansy Contreras 22 pre-arb 210.9 0.4 +2.9
Rodolfo Castro 23 pre-arb 710.9 0.3 +2.9
Roberto Pérez 33 FA-elig 210.6 5.0 -2.8
Johan Oviedo↔ STL 24 pre-arb 70.6 0.1 +2.0
Tyler Heineman↔ TOR 31 pre-arb 520.5 0.5 +1.5
Chris Stratton↔ STL 31 FA-elig 400.4 1.8 -0.2
Daniel Vogelbach↔ NYM 29 FA-elig 750.4 0.5 +1.1
Jake Marisnick 31 310.4 1.3 +0.2
Luis Ortiz 23 40.3 0.1 +1.1
Ji Hwan Bae 22 100.3 0.0 +1.0
Manny Banuelos↔ NYY 31 pre-arb 310.2 0.3 +0.5
Robert Stephenson↔ COL 29 FA-elig 130.2 0.3 +0.4
Zach Thompson 28 pre-arb 290.2 0.7 -0.0
Max Kranick 24 pre-arb 20.2 0.5 +0.1
Jason Delay 27 570.2 0.4 +0.2
Yohan Ramírez↔ CLE 27 pre-arb 220.1 0.2 +0.3
Anthony Banda↔ NYY 28 230.1 0.2 +0.2
Yerry De los Santos 24 260.1 0.5 -0.2
Austin Brice 30 arb 40.1 0.0 +0.2
Liover Peguero 21 10.1 0.0 +0.2
Ben Gamel 30 FA-elig 1150.1 1.8 -1.6
Cam Alldred 25 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Nick Mears 25 pre-arb 20.0 0.5 -0.4
Greg Allen 29 pre-arb 460.0 0.8 -0.7
Beau Sulser↔ BAL 28 4-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Cam Vieaux 28 8-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Junior Fernández↔ STL 25 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Colin Holderman↔ NYM 26 9-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Eric Stout↔ CHC 29 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Miguel Andujar↔ NYY 27 arb 9-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Canaan Smith-Njigba 23 3-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Yu Chang↔ BOS 26 18-0.1
Anthony Alford 27 2-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Dillon Peters 29 pre-arb 22-0.1 0.6 -1.0
Wil Crowe 27 pre-arb 60-0.1 0.7 -1.1
Bryse Wilson 24 pre-arb 25-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Travis Swaggerty 24 5-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Aaron Fletcher 26 9-0.2 0.2 -0.8
Tucupita Marcano 22 pre-arb 49-0.2 0.3 -1.0
Sam Howard 29 3-0.2 0.1 -0.7
José Godoy↔ MIN 27 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Jerad Eickhoff 31 arb 1-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Tyler Beede↔ SFG 29 pre-arb 25-0.2 0.4 -1.1
Chase De Jong 28 42-0.2 0.6 -1.5
Michael Pérez↔ NYM 29 39-0.2 0.2 -1.1
Miguel Yajure 24 pre-arb 12-0.3 0.3 -1.2
Kevin Padlo↔ SEA 25 pre-arb 3-0.3 0.0 -1.1
Diego Castillo 24 96-0.3 2.1 -3.4
Andrew Knapp↔ SEA 30 arb 11-0.4 0.6 -1.9
Zack Collins↔ TOR 27 pre-arb 10-0.4 0.1 -1.6
Hoy Park 26 pre-arb 23-0.5 0.2 -1.9
Bligh Madris 26 39-0.6 0.2 -2.3
Cal Mitchell 23 69-0.6 0.4 -2.5
Heath Hembree↔ LAD 33 FA-elig 20-0.7 1.6 -4.1
Michael Chavis 26 pre-arb 129-0.7 0.7 -3.3
Josh VanMeter 27 pre-arb 67-0.8 0.6 -3.4
Cole Tucker 25 18-0.8 0.2 -3.0
Yoshi Tsutsugo 30 pre-arb 50-1.3 4.0 -8.9

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Jose Quintana2.1
Jack Suwinski1.1
Roberto Pérez0.6
Johan Oviedo0.6
Tyler Heineman0.5
Daniel Vogelbach0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Jacob Stallings3.1
Adam Frazier2.6
Tyler Anderson1.3
Richard Rodríguez1.3
Trevor Cahill0.5
Steven Brault0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$55.2M
2023 guaranteed
$10.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Ke'Bryan Hayes251.075$10.0M$10.0M$7.0M$2.3M$7.0M$7.0M$8.0M
Roberto Pérez337.083$5.0MFREE AGENT
Heath Hembree336.096$1.6MFREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick319.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Jose Quintana3310.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Daniel Vogelbach296.000$462kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Kevin Newman283.046$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Stratton314.100$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Gamel305.029$1.8MFREE AGENT
Chase De Jong285.000$646kFREE AGENT
Andrew Knapp305.000$550kFREE AGENT
Miguel Andujar273.117$325kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Stephenson294.049$287kARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Pérez293.000$230kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Brice303.164$19kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerad Eickhoff314.065$16kARB 3FREE AGENT
Duane Underwood Jr.274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yu Chang263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (50)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Bryan Reynolds272.163$6.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yoshi Tsutsugo302.000$4.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Diego Castillo24$2.1M
Greg Allen292.030$761kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Keller262.026$725kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JT Brubaker282.000$725kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Bednar271.076$715kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wil Crowe271.011$715kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Thompson280.121$705kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Chavis262.089$689kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Peters291.144$636kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh VanMeter272.062$615kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Mears250.113$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryse Wilson241.076$526kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yerry De los Santos24$519k
Max Kranick240.030$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Heineman310.121$458kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Suwinski230.000$450kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Canaan Smith-Njigba230.000$438kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oneil Cruz230.002$412kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Beede292.106$408kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roansy Contreras220.005$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cal Mitchell230.000$358kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Delay270.000$358kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tucupita Marcano220.034$331kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rodolfo Castro230.045$312kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Banuelos311.146$310kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Yajure240.055$256kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Banda282.008$235kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bligh Madris260.000$192kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Stout290.008$183kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hoy Park260.071$178kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Fletcher260.092$167kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohan Ramírez271.089$166kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Tucker251.145$157kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cam Vieaux28$112k
Zack Collins271.149$107kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Godoy270.030$98kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colin Holderman260.000$94kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Howard292.115$86kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Alford272.142$78kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johan Oviedo240.156$76kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Ortiz230.029$72kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ji Hwan Bae220.000$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Beau Sulser28$43k
Junior Fernández251.112$32kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Swaggerty24$31k
Liover Peguero210.000$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Padlo250.023$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cam Alldred25$4k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Pirates 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3