RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Lee Thomas

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.96× league · TAB -8.6
-8.6TAB — talent above budget19th/28
-3.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/28
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/28
-5.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/28
37%dead money %22nd/28
0.470win %14th/28
17.9roster fWAR21st/28
-10surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/28
$31Mpayroll $M17th/28

Roster

CFLenny Dykstra 82GBilly Hatcher 26GMilt Thompson 12G
LFMilt Thompson 72GPete Incaviglia 63GTony Longmire 13G
RFJim Eisenreich 90GBilly Hatcher 54GTony Longmire 21G
SSKevin Stocker 82GMariano Duncan 19GKim Batiste 17G
2BMickey Morandini 79GMariano Duncan 37GRandy Ready 11G
3BDave Hollins 43GKim Batiste 42GMariano Duncan 28G
1BJohn Kruk 69GRicky Jordan 49GMariano Duncan 6G
STARTERSDanny Jackson 4.0WARBobby Munoz 1.6WARCurt Schilling 0.7WARDavid West 0.6WARFernando Valenzuela 0.3WAR
CDarren Daulton 68GTodd Pratt 28GMike Lieberthal 22G
BULLPEN Doug Jones 27svHeathcliff Slocumb 0hTom Edens 0hPaul Quantrill 0hLarry Andersen 0hToby Borland 0hAndy Carter 0hRicky Bottalico 0h
CDarren Daulton 68 · Todd Pratt 28 · Mike Lieberthal 22
1BJohn Kruk 69 · Ricky Jordan 49 · Mariano Duncan 6
2BMickey Morandini 79 · Mariano Duncan 37 · Randy Ready 11
3BDave Hollins 43 · Kim Batiste 42 · Mariano Duncan 28
SSKevin Stocker 82 · Mariano Duncan 19 · Kim Batiste 17
LFMilt Thompson 72 · Pete Incaviglia 63 · Tony Longmire 13
CFLenny Dykstra 82 · Billy Hatcher 26 · Milt Thompson 12
RFJim Eisenreich 90 · Billy Hatcher 54 · Tony Longmire 21
SPDanny Jackson 4.0 · Bobby Munoz 1.6 · Curt Schilling 0.7 · David West 0.6 · Fernando Valenzuela 0.3
BP Doug Jones 27 · Heathcliff Slocumb 0 · Tom Edens 0 · Paul Quantrill 0 · Larry Andersen 0 · Toby Borland 0 · Andy Carter 0 · Ricky Bottalico 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Danny Jackson 32 FA-elig 264.0 2.7 +1.9
Darren Daulton 32 FA-elig 692.6 2.3 +0.7
Lenny Dykstra 31 FA-elig 842.6 2.6 +0.3
Doug Jones 37 FA-elig 471.6 2.9 -1.0
Heathcliff Slocumb 28 arb 521.6 0.2 +1.7
Bobby Munoz 26 pre-arb 211.6 0.1 +1.7
John Kruk 33 FA-elig 751.5 2.5 -0.7
Jim Eisenreich 35 FA-elig 1041.2 1.2 +0.2
Mickey Morandini 28 arb 871.2 0.8 +0.6
Ricky Jordan 29 FA-elig 720.8 1.1 -0.2
Curt Schilling 27 FA-elig 130.7 2.3 -1.5
David West 29 FA-elig 310.6 0.6 +0.1
Randy Ready 34 170.6
Mariano Duncan 31 FA-elig 880.4 2.2 -1.8
Tommy Greene 27 arb 70.3 2.0 -1.6
Larry Andersen 41 FA-elig 290.3 0.3 +0.0
Shawn Boskie↔ CHC 27 arb 190.3 0.2 +0.1
Fernando Valenzuela 33 80.3
Toby Borland 25 pre-arb 240.3 0.1 +0.2
Kevin Stocker 24 pre-arb 820.2 0.2 +0.0
Mike Williams 25 pre-arb 120.2 0.1 +0.0
Wes Chamberlain↔ BOS 28 arb 240.1 0.1 -0.0
Jeff Juden 23 arb 60.1 0.1 -0.0
Tom Edens↔ HOU 33 FA-elig 30.0 0.0 +0.0
Milt Thompson↔ HOU 35 FA-elig 870.0 1.2 -1.2
Ricky Bottalico 24 30.0
Bob Wells↔ SEA 27 pre-arb 60.0 0.1 -0.1
Billy Hatcher↔ BOS 33 FA-elig 43-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Todd Pratt 27 pre-arb 28-0.1 0.2 -0.2
Tom Marsh 28 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Tom Quinlan 26 24-0.1
Paul Quantrill↔ BOS 25 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Mike Lieberthal 22 pre-arb 24-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Roger Mason↔ NYM 35 FA-elig 6-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Pete Incaviglia 30 FA-elig 80-0.4 1.1 -1.5
Andy Carter 25 20-0.5
Ben Rivera 26 pre-arb 9-0.5 0.3 -0.9
Tony Longmire 25 pre-arb 69-0.5 0.1 -0.7
Dave Hollins 28 arb 44-0.8 2.0 -3.0
Kim Batiste 26 arb 64-1.9 0.2 -2.3

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Doug Jones1.6
Heathcliff Slocumb1.6
Bobby Munoz1.6
Randy Ready0.6
Shawn Boskie0.3
Fernando Valenzuela0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Terry Mulholland2.3
Ruben Amaro Jr.0.5
Mitch Williams0.4
Donn Pall0.3
Tim Mauser0.1
Joe Millette0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$30.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Doug Jones3712.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Danny Jackson3211.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Lenny Dykstra319.000$2.6M$6.2M$6.2MFREE AGENT
John Kruk338.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Darren Daulton3211.000$2.3M$5.3M$5.2M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Curt Schilling276.000$2.3M$2.3M$2.0M$3.5M$4.7M$5.2M$3.1M
Mariano Duncan319.000$2.2M$321kFREE AGENT
Milt Thompson3510.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jim Eisenreich3512.000$1.2M$1.4M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Ricky Jordan296.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Pete Incaviglia308.000$1.1MFREE AGENT$491k
David West296.000$600k$950k$500kFREE AGENT
Larry Andersen4119.000$350kFREE AGENT
Billy Hatcher3310.000$321kFREE AGENT
Roger Mason3510.000$64kFREE AGENT
Tom Edens337.000$34kFREE AGENT
Randy Ready3411.000$150kFREE AGENT
Fernando Valenzuela3314.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Tommy Greene275.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Dave Hollins284.000$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Morandini284.000$750kARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Boskie274.000$248kARB 3FREE AGENT
Heathcliff Slocumb283.000$185kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kim Batiste263.000$175kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Chamberlain284.000$112kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Juden233.000$109kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Quinlan264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Ben Rivera262.000$335kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Stocker241.000$190kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Pratt272.000$155kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Williams252.000$130kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Munoz261.000$125kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Quantrill252.000$121kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Toby Borland250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Marsh282.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Longmire251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lieberthal220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Wells270.000$93kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Bottalico240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Carter25

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3