RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Lee Thomas

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.01× league · TAB -5.8
-5.8TAB — talent above budget21st/28
-3.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/28
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/28
-4.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag14th/28
22%dead money %11th/28
0.479win %16th/28
25.4roster fWAR19th/28
-9surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/28
$34Mpayroll $M16th/28

Roster

CFAndy Van Slyke 72GLenny Dykstra 52GKevin Flora 15G
LFGregg Jefferies 55GJim Eisenreich 39GTom Marsh 24G
RFMark Whiten 86GJim Eisenreich 68GGary Varsho 16G
SSKevin Stocker 125GKevin Elster 29G
2BMickey Morandini 122GKevin Jordan 9GRandy Ready 1G
3BCharlie Hayes 141GKevin Sefcik 2GKevin Elster 2G
1BDave Hollins 61GGregg Jefferies 59GGene Schall 14G
STARTERSCurt Schilling 2.8WARPaul Quantrill 1.8WARTyler Green 1.0WARMike Mimbs 0.9WARSid Fernandez 0.8WAR
CDarren Daulton 95GLenny Webster 43GMike Lieberthal 14G
BULLPEN Heathcliff Slocumb 32svRicky Bottalico 0hToby Borland 0hSteve Frey 0hKyle Abbott 0hPaul Fletcher 0hChuck Ricci 0hAndy Carter 0h
CDarren Daulton 95 · Lenny Webster 43 · Mike Lieberthal 14
1BDave Hollins 61 · Gregg Jefferies 59 · Gene Schall 14
2BMickey Morandini 122 · Kevin Jordan 9 · Randy Ready 1
3BCharlie Hayes 141 · Kevin Sefcik 2 · Kevin Elster 2
SSKevin Stocker 125 · Kevin Elster 29
LFGregg Jefferies 55 · Jim Eisenreich 39 · Tom Marsh 24
CFAndy Van Slyke 72 · Lenny Dykstra 52 · Kevin Flora 15
RFMark Whiten 86 · Jim Eisenreich 68 · Gary Varsho 16
SPCurt Schilling 2.8 · Paul Quantrill 1.8 · Tyler Green 1.0 · Mike Mimbs 0.9 · Sid Fernandez 0.8
BP Heathcliff Slocumb 32 · Ricky Bottalico 0 · Toby Borland 0 · Steve Frey 0 · Kyle Abbott 0 · Paul Fletcher 0 · Chuck Ricci 0 · Andy Carter 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jim Eisenreich 36 FA-elig 1292.8 1.4 +1.3
Curt Schilling 28 FA-elig 172.8 2.3 +0.4
Mickey Morandini 29 arb 1272.5 1.0 +1.4
Charlie Hayes 30 FA-elig 1412.3 1.5 +0.7
Darren Daulton 33 FA-elig 982.0 5.3 -3.3
Mark Whiten↔ BOS 28 arb 601.9 1.1 +0.8
Paul Quantrill 26 arb 331.8 0.2 +1.5
Gregg Jefferies 27 FA-elig 1141.6 3.0 -1.5
Tony Longmire 26 pre-arb 591.3 0.1 +1.1
Lenny Dykstra 32 FA-elig 621.3 6.2 -5.0
Heathcliff Slocumb 29 arb 611.2 0.2 +0.9
Dave Hollins↔ BOS 29 arb 651.1 1.9 -0.8
Tyler Green 25 pre-arb 271.0 0.1 +0.9
Mike Mimbs 26 pre-arb 350.9 0.1 +0.7
Ricky Bottalico 25 pre-arb 620.9 0.1 +0.7
Sid Fernandez↔ BAL 32 FA-elig 110.8 1.4 -0.6
Dave Gallagher↔ ANA 34 FA-elig 620.8 0.2 +0.6
Toby Borland 26 pre-arb 500.6 0.1 +0.4
Mike Williams 26 arb 330.5 0.1 +0.4
Andy Van Slyke↔ BAL 34 FA-elig 630.4 0.5 -0.1
Jeff Juden 24 arb 130.4 0.1 +0.3
David West 30 FA-elig 80.3 0.9 -0.7
Mike Grace 25 pre-arb 20.3 0.1 +0.1
Chuck Ricci 26 70.2
Omar Olivares↔ COL 27 arb 50.2 0.1 +0.1
Gary Varsho 34 FA-elig 720.2 0.1 +0.0
Kevin Elster↔ NYY 30 FA-elig 260.2 0.2 -0.1
Dennis Springer 30 pre-arb 40.1 0.1 -0.0
Lenny Webster 30 FA-elig 490.1 0.3 -0.2
Tom Marsh 29 arb 430.0 0.1 -0.1
Ryan Karp 25 1-0.0
Gary Bennett 23 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Steve Frey↔ SEA 31 FA-elig 9-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Kyle Abbott 27 arb 18-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Russ Springer↔ ANA 26 arb 14-0.1 0.1 -0.1
Kevin Jordan 25 pre-arb 24-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Kevin Sefcik 24 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Gene Harris↔ BAL 30 FA-elig 21-0.1 0.4 -0.5
Mike Lieberthal 23 pre-arb 16-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Andy Carter 26 4-0.1
Paul Fletcher 28 10-0.2
Gene Schall 25 pre-arb 24-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Jim Deshaies 35 2-0.2
Bobby Munoz 27 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Norm Charlton↔ SEA 32 FA-elig 25-0.3 0.2 -0.5
Tommy Greene 28 FA-elig 11-0.3 2.0 -2.3
Randy Ready 35 FA-elig 23-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Mariano Duncan↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 52-0.5 0.3 -0.8
Kevin Flora↔ ANA 26 arb 24-0.5 0.1 -0.6
Kevin Stocker 25 pre-arb 125-1.4 0.2 -1.5

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Charlie Hayes2.3
Mark Whiten1.9
Gregg Jefferies1.6
Tyler Green1.0
Mike Mimbs0.9
Sid Fernandez0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Danny Jackson4.0
Doug Jones1.6
John Kruk1.5
Ricky Jordan0.8
Larry Andersen0.3
Shawn Boskie0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$33.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Lenny Dykstra3210.000$6.2M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Darren Daulton3312.000$5.3M$5.2M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Gregg Jefferies278.000$3.0M$5.5M$5.5M$5.2MFREE AGENT
Curt Schilling287.000$2.3M$2.0M$3.5M$4.7M$5.2M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Tommy Greene286.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Charlie Hayes307.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Jim Eisenreich3613.000$1.4M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Sid Fernandez3212.000$1.4M$650kFREE AGENT
David West307.000$950k$500kFREE AGENT
Andy Van Slyke3412.000$472kFREE AGENT
Gene Harris306.000$394kFREE AGENT
Mariano Duncan3210.000$321kFREE AGENT
Lenny Webster306.000$275kFREE AGENT
Steve Frey316.000$266kFREE AGENT
Norm Charlton327.000$239kFREE AGENT
Kevin Elster309.000$217kFREE AGENT
Dave Gallagher348.000$212kFREE AGENT
Gary Varsho347.000$150kFREE AGENT
Randy Ready3512.000$150kFREE AGENT
Jim Deshaies3511.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Dave Hollins295.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Mark Whiten285.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Mickey Morandini295.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Paul Quantrill263.000$242kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heathcliff Slocumb294.000$200kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Abbott274.000$150kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Williams263.000$130kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Olivares275.000$121kFREE AGENT
Tom Marsh293.000$109kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Juden244.000$109kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Flora264.000$102kARB 3FREE AGENT
Russ Springer263.000$59kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Kevin Stocker252.000$205kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Munoz272.000$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Bennett230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Toby Borland261.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Bottalico251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jordan250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Green252.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Grace250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennis Springer300.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Mimbs260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lieberthal231.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Longmire262.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gene Schall250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Sefcik240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Carter26
Paul Fletcher28
Ryan Karp250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chuck Ricci26

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3