RRosternomics
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Athletics OAK

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GM: David Forst

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.39× league · TAB +2.0
+2.0TAB — talent above budget16th/30
-0.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)21st/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/30
-5.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/30
67%dead money %29th/30
0.426win %26th/30
24.8roster fWAR25th/30
+40surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$64Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFJJ Bleday 157GDaz Cameron 15GEsteury Ruiz 9G
LFMiguel Andujar 72GSeth Brown 55GDaz Cameron 30G
RFLawrence Butler 123GSeth Brown 31GDaz Cameron 20G
SSMax Schuemann 93GNick Allen 34GJacob Wilson 27G
2BZack Gelof 138GAbraham Toro 19GMax Schuemann 9G
3BAbraham Toro 56GBrett Harris 35GDarell Hernaiz 32G
1BTyler Soderstrom 59GSeth Brown 45GTyler Nevin 38G
STARTERSOsvaldo Bido 1.4WARMitch Spence 1.3WARJP Sears 1.2WARRoss Stripling 1.1WARJoey Estes 0.7WAR
CShea Langeliers 131GKyle McCann 44GTyler Soderstrom 1G
DHBrent Rooker 131GAbraham Toro 11GKyle McCann 6G
BULLPEN★ Mason Miller 28svAustin Adams 22hT.J. McFarland 19hTyler Ferguson 11hScott Alexander 10hMichel Otañez 6hDany Jiménez 5hMichael Kelly 4h
CShea Langeliers 131 · Kyle McCann 44 · Tyler Soderstrom 1
1BTyler Soderstrom 59 · Seth Brown 45 · Tyler Nevin 38
2BZack Gelof 138 · Abraham Toro 19 · Max Schuemann 9
3BAbraham Toro 56 · Brett Harris 35 · Darell Hernaiz 32
SSMax Schuemann 93 · Nick Allen 34 · Jacob Wilson 27
LFMiguel Andujar 72 · Seth Brown 55 · Daz Cameron 30
CFJJ Bleday 157 · Daz Cameron 15 · Esteury Ruiz 9
RFLawrence Butler 123 · Seth Brown 31 · Daz Cameron 20
DHBrent Rooker 131 · Abraham Toro 11 · Kyle McCann 6
SPOsvaldo Bido 1.4 · Mitch Spence 1.3 · JP Sears 1.2 · Ross Stripling 1.1 · Joey Estes 0.7
BP★ Mason Miller 28 · Austin Adams 22 · T.J. McFarland 19 · Tyler Ferguson 11 · Scott Alexander 10 · Michel Otañez 6 · Dany Jiménez 5 · Michael Kelly 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brent Rooker 29 arb 1455.1 0.8 +20.5
JJ Bleday 26 pre-arb 1593.2 0.7 +12.6
Lawrence Butler 23 pre-arb 1253.1 0.7 +12.3
Mason Miller 25 pre-arb 552.3 0.7 +9.0
Shea Langeliers 26 pre-arb 1371.9 0.7 +7.4
Zack Gelof 24 pre-arb 1381.4 0.7 +5.2
Osvaldo Bido 28 pre-arb 161.4 0.8 +4.9
Max Schuemann 27 pre-arb 1331.3 0.7 +4.8
Mitch Spence 26 pre-arb 351.3 0.7 +4.5
JP Sears 28 pre-arb 321.2 0.7 +4.2
Ross Stripling 34 FA-elig 221.1 9.2 -4.6
Joey Estes 22 pre-arb 250.7 0.7 +2.3
Abraham Toro 27 arb 940.7 1.3 +1.6
Michel Otañez 26 pre-arb 360.7 0.7 +2.1
Tyler Ferguson 30 pre-arb 480.7 0.7 +2.0
Hogan Harris 27 pre-arb 210.5 0.7 +1.4
Miguel Andujar 29 FA-elig 750.4 1.7 +0.1
J.T. Ginn 25 – 80.4 0.2 +1.6
Luis Medina 25 pre-arb 80.4 0.7 +1.0
Brady Basso 26 pre-arb 70.3 0.7 +0.7
T.J. McFarland 35 FA-elig 790.3 0.8 +0.6
Joe Boyle 24 pre-arb 130.3 0.7 +0.5
Paul Blackburn↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 90.3 2.2 -1.0
Tyler Soderstrom 22 pre-arb 610.3 0.7 +0.5
Lucas Erceg↔ KCR 29 pre-arb 380.3 0.5 +0.7
Kyle McCann 26 pre-arb 540.2 0.7 -0.0
Michael Kelly 31 pre-arb 280.1 0.8 -0.2
Kyle Muller 26 arb 210.1 0.7 -0.3
Scott Alexander 34 FA-elig 450.1 2.2 -1.9
Grant Holman 24 – 180.1 0.2 +0.1
Easton Lucas↔ DET 27 pre-arb 30.1 0.3 -0.0
Jacob Wilson 22 – 280.0 0.3 -0.1
Austin Adams 33 FA-elig 560.0 0.8 -0.7
Gerardo Reyes 31 pre-arb 30.0 0.0 -0.0
Janson Junk↔ MIL 28 arb 10.0 0.1 -0.1
Vinny Nittoli↔ BAL 33 arb 7-0.0 0.6 -0.7
Jack O'Loughlin 24 pre-arb 4-0.0 0.7 -0.9
Tristan Gray↔ MIA 28 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Alex Wood 33 FA-elig 9-0.1 8.5 -8.8
Will Klein↔ KCR 24 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Aaron Brooks 34 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Brandon Bielak↔ HOU 28 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.0 -0.7
J.D. Davis↔ NYY 31 – 39-0.2 1.1 -2.0
Sean Newcomb 31 FA-elig 7-0.2 1.0 -1.9
Esteury Ruiz 25 pre-arb 29-0.2 0.7 -1.7
Armando Alvarez 29 – 16-0.3 0.2 -1.3
Brett Harris 26 pre-arb 36-0.3 0.7 -1.8
Seth Brown 31 arb 124-0.4 2.6 -4.1
Daz Cameron 27 arb 66-0.4 0.7 -2.3
Aledmys Díaz↔ HOU 33 FA-elig 12-0.4 6.9 -8.7
Tyler Nevin 27 pre-arb 87-0.4 0.6 -2.5
Darell Hernaiz 22 pre-arb 48-0.5 0.7 -2.7
Ryan Noda 28 pre-arb 36-0.6 0.7 -3.1
Nick Allen 25 pre-arb 41-0.6 0.7 -3.2
Dany Jiménez 30 arb 25-0.7 0.8 -3.6

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Osvaldo Bido1.4
Max Schuemann1.3
Mitch Spence1.3
Ross Stripling1.1
Abraham Toro0.7
Michel Otañez0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Sam Moll0.6
Austin Pruitt0.4
Francisco Pérez0.3
James Kaprielian0.3
Ramón Laureano0.3
Tyler Wade0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$63.7M
2025 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Ross Stripling347.115$9.2MFREE AGENT
Alex Wood3310.123$8.5MFREE AGENT
Aledmys Díaz338.000$6.9MFREE AGENT
Scott Alexander346.080$2.2MFREE AGENT
Sean Newcomb317.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
T.J. McFarland358.050$850kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Seth Brown313.104$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Blackburn304.018$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Andujar294.053$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Abraham Toro273.011$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Davis315.137$1.1MFREE AGENT
Austin Adams334.150$800kARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinny Nittoli333.000$576kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Janson Junk283.000$123kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (41)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Michael Kelly312.000$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Rooker292.059$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dany Jiménez302.031$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Osvaldo Bido280.079$750kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JJ Bleday261.055$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Allen251.094$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shea Langeliers261.051$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esteury Ruiz251.029$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Noda281.000$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JP Sears281.081$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Medina250.146$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Harris260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Miller250.166$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Soderstrom220.069$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Schuemann270.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Estes220.012$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Gelof240.080$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hogan Harris270.070$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daz Cameron271.032$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Ferguson300.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lawrence Butler230.052$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michel Otañez260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Boyle240.015$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack O'Loughlin240.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Basso260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle McCann260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Muller260.149$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Spence260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darell Hernaiz220.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Nevin271.040$640kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Erceg290.136$467kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tristan Gray281.000$395kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Wilson220.000$286kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Easton Lucas270.026$277kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Klein240.000$277kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Armando Alvarez29–$195k
Grant Holman240.000$175kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.T. Ginn250.000$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Brooks342.131$105kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Bielak282.110$38kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerardo Reyes310.105$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.