RRosternomics
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Athletics OAK

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GM: David Forst

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.47× league · TAB +4.4
+4.4TAB — talent above budget10th/30
+3.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-5.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
39%dead money %23rd/30
0.469win %22nd/30
29.4roster fWAR23rd/30
+45surplus $M (value vs cost)4th/30
$73Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFLawrence Butler 59GJJ Bleday 55GDenzel Clarke 47G
LFTyler Soderstrom 108GJJ Bleday 12GSeth Brown 12G
RFLawrence Butler 92GColby Thomas 23GJJ Bleday 23G
SSJacob Wilson 124GMax Schuemann 24GDarell Hernaiz 23G
2BLuis Urías 87GMax Schuemann 39GZack Gelof 30G
3BGio Urshela 56GMiguel Andujar 32GMax Muncy 32G
1BNick Kurtz 112GTyler Soderstrom 49GBrett Harris 5G
STARTERSLuis Severino 2.5WARJeffrey Springs 1.7WARJacob Lopez 1.2WARSean Newcomb 1.0WARJ.T. Ginn 0.8WAR
CShea Langeliers 108GAustin Wynns 35GWillie MacIver 31G
DHBrent Rooker 135GShea Langeliers 16GNick Kurtz 5G
BULLPEN★ Justin Sterner 0svTyler Ferguson 12hMichael Kelly 7hT.J. McFarland 7hElvis Alvarado 4hHogan Harris 3hGrant Holman 3hNoah Murdock 1h
CShea Langeliers 108 · Austin Wynns 35 · Willie MacIver 31
1BNick Kurtz 112 · Tyler Soderstrom 49 · Brett Harris 5
2BLuis Urías 87 · Max Schuemann 39 · Zack Gelof 30
3BGio Urshela 56 · Miguel Andujar 32 · Max Muncy 32
SSJacob Wilson 124 · Max Schuemann 24 · Darell Hernaiz 23
LFTyler Soderstrom 108 · JJ Bleday 12 · Seth Brown 12
CFLawrence Butler 59 · JJ Bleday 55 · Denzel Clarke 47
RFLawrence Butler 92 · Colby Thomas 23 · JJ Bleday 23
DHBrent Rooker 135 · Shea Langeliers 16 · Nick Kurtz 5
SPLuis Severino 2.5 · Jeffrey Springs 1.7 · Jacob Lopez 1.2 · Sean Newcomb 1.0 · J.T. Ginn 0.8
BP★ Justin Sterner 0 · Tyler Ferguson 12 · Michael Kelly 7 · T.J. McFarland 7 · Elvis Alvarado 4 · Hogan Harris 3 · Grant Holman 3 · Noah Murdock 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2025 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Nick Kurtz 22 – 1174.6 0.6 +17.5
Shea Langeliers 27 pre-arb 1234.0 0.8 +14.9
Jacob Wilson 23 pre-arb 1253.4 0.8 +12.7
Tyler Soderstrom 23 pre-arb 1583.4 0.8 +12.6
Luis Severino 31 FA-elig 292.5 20.0 -9.9
Brent Rooker 30 arb 1622.4 4.0 +5.6
Lawrence Butler 24 pre-arb 1522.0 2.7 +5.4
Jeffrey Springs 32 FA-elig 321.7 10.5 -3.6
Denzel Clarke 25 – 471.3 0.5 +4.6
Jacob Lopez 27 pre-arb 211.2 0.6 +4.4
Sean Newcomb↔ BOS 32 arb 361.0 0.5 +3.5
Mason Miller↔ SDP 26 – 381.0 0.3 +3.5
Carlos Cortes 28 – 420.8 0.3 +2.7
J.T. Ginn 26 pre-arb 230.8 0.7 +2.3
JP Sears↔ SDP 29 – 220.7 0.4 +2.4
Hogan Harris 28 pre-arb 480.6 0.6 +1.6
Max Schuemann 28 pre-arb 1010.6 0.7 +1.5
Luis Morales 22 – 100.5 0.2 +1.6
Miguel Andujar↔ CIN 30 – 600.4 1.3 +0.4
Brett Harris 27 pre-arb 320.4 0.2 +1.3
Jack Perkins 25 – 120.4 0.4 +1.0
Justin Sterner 28 pre-arb 590.3 0.7 +0.7
Tyler Ferguson 31 pre-arb 560.3 0.6 +0.6
Austin Wynns↔ CIN 34 arb 220.2 0.4 +0.5
Mason Barnett 24 – 50.2 0.1 +0.5
Luis Urías 28 – 960.1 1.4 -0.9
Elvis Alvarado 26 – 370.1 0.4 +0.0
Brady Basso 27 pre-arb 110.1 0.7 -0.4
Matt Krook 30 – 30.1 0.0 +0.2
Noah Murdock 26 – 140.0 0.2 -0.0
Grant Holman 25 pre-arb 220.0 0.6 -0.6
Colby Thomas 24 – 490.0 0.3 -0.3
Angel Perdomo 31 pre-arb 4-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Scott McGough↔ ARI 35 pre-arb 6-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Carlos Duran 23 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Mitch Spence 27 pre-arb 32-0.0 0.5 -0.7
Willie MacIver 28 – 33-0.0 0.4 -0.6
T.J. McFarland 36 – 27-0.1 1.8 -2.0
Ben Bowden 30 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Eduarniel Núñez↔ SDP 26 – 6-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Darell Hernaiz 23 pre-arb 51-0.1 0.3 -0.7
JJ Bleday 27 pre-arb 98-0.1 0.6 -1.2
Michael Kelly 32 pre-arb 42-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Anthony Maldonado 27 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Drew Avans↔ MIL 29 – 7-0.2 0.0 -0.9
Jason Alexander↔ HOU 32 – 4-0.2 0.1 -1.0
Jhonny Pereda↔ MIN 29 – 19-0.2 0.2 -1.1
José Leclerc 31 FA-elig 10-0.3 10.0 -11.0
CJ Alexander 28 – 6-0.3 0.1 -1.1
Michel Otañez 27 pre-arb 6-0.3 0.3 -1.3
Zack Gelof 25 pre-arb 30-0.3 0.6 -1.7
Joey Estes 23 pre-arb 3-0.3 0.2 -1.5
Logan Davidson↔ ANA 27 – 9-0.3 0.1 -1.5
Seth Brown 32 – 38-0.4 2.7 -4.1
Gio Urshela 33 – 59-0.4 – –
Max Muncy 22 – 63-0.4 0.6 -2.1
Gunnar Hoglund 25 – 6-0.4 0.6 -2.3
Osvaldo Bido 29 pre-arb 26-0.6 0.6 -2.9

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Nick Kurtz4.6
Luis Severino2.5
Jeffrey Springs1.7
Denzel Clarke1.3
Jacob Lopez1.2
Carlos Cortes0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Ross Stripling1.1
Abraham Toro0.7
Joe Boyle0.3
Paul Blackburn0.3
Lucas Erceg0.3
Kyle McCann0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$73.1M
2026 guaranteed
$47.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Luis Severino318.170$20.0M$25.0M$22.0MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Jeffrey Springs326.055$10.5M$10.5M$15.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
José Leclerc318.041$10.0MFREE AGENT
Brent Rooker303.059$4.0M$8.0M$14.0M$15.0M$19.0M$22.0MVESTFREE AGENT
Lawrence Butler241.032$2.7M$3.7M$5.4M$8.4M$10.4M$14.4M$16.4M
T.J. McFarland369.050$1.8MFREE AGENT
Gio Urshela3310.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Seth Brown324.104$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Urías285.098$1.4MFREE AGENT
Miguel Andujar305.053$1.3MFREE AGENT
Sean Newcomb325.041$504kFREE AGENT
Austin Wynns344.017$368kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (46)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Shea Langeliers272.051$770kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Soderstrom231.053$765kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Wilson230.073$760kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Schuemann281.000$728kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Basso270.030$699kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.T. Ginn260.041$695kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Sterner280.007$662kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Kurtz220.000$650kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Holman250.044$650kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hogan Harris280.170$637kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Osvaldo Bido291.009$625kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Ferguson310.111$613kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gunnar Hoglund250.000$613kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JJ Bleday272.055$604kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Muncy22–$588k
Zack Gelof251.080$588kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Lopez270.021$568kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Denzel Clarke250.000$527kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Spence271.000$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kelly321.008$474kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JP Sears292.081$428kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvis Alvarado260.000$413kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Perkins250.000$405kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie MacIver280.000$384kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Miller261.166$331kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colby Thomas240.000$323kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Cortes280.000$282kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Bowden301.000$278kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michel Otañez270.087$253kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darell Hernaiz230.150$253kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Morales220.000$241kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Harris270.052$217kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Estes230.154$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Noah Murdock26–$188k
Jhonny Pereda290.052$151kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Barnett240.000$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Davidson27–$122k
CJ Alexander280.012$90kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott McGough351.121$81kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Alexander321.000$78kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Maldonado270.051$69kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Perdomo312.131$56kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Avans29–$46k
Eduarniel Núñez260.000$37kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Krook300.048$30kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Duran23–$26k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 2025; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.