RRosternomics
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Athletics OAK

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President of baseball ops: Billy Beane · GM: David Forst

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.49× league · TAB +1.2
+1.2TAB — talent above budget14th/30
+2.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-5.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag15th/30
48%dead money %23rd/30
0.463win %20th/30
26.6roster fWAR20th/30
+26surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$64Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFJaycob Brugman 40GBoog Powell 28GMark Canha 19G
LFKhris Davis 116GMatt Joyce 24GMark Canha 20G
RFMatt Joyce 115GChad Pinder 35GMark Canha 22G
SSMarcus Semien 85GChad Pinder 22GFranklin Barreto 11G
2BJed Lowrie 136GChad Pinder 16GFranklin Barreto 10G
3BMatt Chapman 84GRyon Healy 34GRenato Núñez 1G
1BMatt Olson 43GRyon Healy 39GMark Canha 3G
STARTERSSean Manaea 2.2WARJesse Hahn 1.2WARKendall Graveman 1.1WARDaniel Mengden 0.7WARPaul Blackburn 0.6WAR
CBruce Maxwell 74GJosh Phegley 56GDustin Garneau 40G
DHRyon Healy 78GKhris Davis 37GJed Lowrie 14G
BULLPEN★ Santiago Casilla 16svRyan Dull 20hLiam Hendriks 16hDanny Coulombe 13hChris Hatcher 11hBlake Treinen 10hJosh A. Smith 1hSimon Castro 0h
CBruce Maxwell 74 · Josh Phegley 56 · Dustin Garneau 40
1BMatt Olson 43 · Ryon Healy 39 · Mark Canha 3
2BJed Lowrie 136 · Chad Pinder 16 · Franklin Barreto 10
3BMatt Chapman 84 · Ryon Healy 34 · Renato Núñez 1
SSMarcus Semien 85 · Chad Pinder 22 · Franklin Barreto 11
LFKhris Davis 116 · Matt Joyce 24 · Mark Canha 20
CFJaycob Brugman 40 · Boog Powell 28 · Mark Canha 19
RFMatt Joyce 115 · Chad Pinder 35 · Mark Canha 22
DHRyon Healy 78 · Khris Davis 37 · Jed Lowrie 14
SPSean Manaea 2.2 · Jesse Hahn 1.2 · Kendall Graveman 1.1 · Daniel Mengden 0.7 · Paul Blackburn 0.6
BP★ Santiago Casilla 16 · Ryan Dull 20 · Liam Hendriks 16 · Danny Coulombe 13 · Chris Hatcher 11 · Blake Treinen 10 · Josh A. Smith 1 · Simon Castro 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2017 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jed Lowrie 33 FA-elig 1533.9 6.5 +6.8
Khris Davis 29 arb 1533.0 5.0 +5.1
Matt Chapman 24 – 842.3 0.3 +7.3
Matt Joyce 32 FA-elig 1412.3 5.0 +2.7
Sean Manaea 25 pre-arb 292.2 0.5 +6.9
Sonny Gray↔ NYY 27 arb 162.2 2.1 +5.3
Matt Olson 23 pre-arb 592.1 0.2 +7.0
Yonder Alonso↔ SEA 30 FA-elig 1001.9 2.8 +3.7
Jesse Hahn 27 pre-arb 141.2 0.3 +3.9
Marcus Semien 26 arb 851.2 0.5 +3.6
Kendall Graveman 26 arb 191.1 0.5 +3.3
Ryan Madson↔ WSN 36 FA-elig 401.0 5.1 -1.7
Blake Treinen↔ WSN 29 arb 351.0 0.3 +3.0
Liam Hendriks 28 FA-elig 701.0 1.1 +2.1
Boog Powell↔ SEA 24 – 290.7 0.1 +2.4
Sean Doolittle↔ WSN 30 arb 230.7 1.1 +1.3
Daniel Mengden 24 pre-arb 70.7 0.5 +1.8
Andrew Triggs 28 pre-arb 120.6 0.5 +1.5
Paul Blackburn 23 – 100.6 0.3 +1.6
Bruce Maxwell 26 pre-arb 760.5 0.4 +1.4
Rajai Davis↔ BOS 36 FA-elig 1000.4 5.1 -3.8
Chad Pinder 25 pre-arb 870.3 0.5 +0.6
Josh Phegley 29 arb 570.2 0.5 +0.1
Danny Coulombe 27 arb 720.1 0.5 -0.1
Joey Wendle 27 pre-arb 80.1 0.5 -0.1
Bobby Wahl 25 – 70.1 0.4 -0.1
Ryan Lavarnway 29 pre-arb 60.1 0.0 +0.3
Chris Hatcher↔ LAD 32 FA-elig 230.1 0.6 -0.2
Josh A. Smith 29 – 260.1 0.2 +0.0
Santiago Casilla 36 FA-elig 630.1 5.0 -4.7
Jake Smolinski 28 arb 160.0 0.5 -0.4
Ryon Healy 25 pre-arb 1490.0 0.5 -0.4
Dustin Garneau↔ COL 29 pre-arb 190.0 0.2 -0.1
Ryan Dull 27 pre-arb 490.0 0.5 -0.5
Renato Núñez 23 pre-arb 8-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Jaff Decker 27 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Jharel Cotton 25 pre-arb 24-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Daniel Gossett 24 – 18-0.1 0.3 -0.7
Ryan LaMarre 28 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Sam Moll 25 – 11-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Trevor Plouffe↔ TBR 31 FA-elig 58-0.1 3.0 -3.5
Simon Castro 29 pre-arb 26-0.2 0.2 -0.7
Jaycob Brugman 25 – 48-0.2 0.2 -0.7
Zach Neal 28 – 6-0.2 0.1 -0.7
César Valdez↔ TOR 32 – 4-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Stephen Vogt↔ MIL 32 arb 54-0.2 1.6 -2.3
Michael Brady 30 – 16-0.2 0.2 -0.9
John Axford 34 FA-elig 22-0.2 5.5 -6.3
Raúl Alcántara 24 pre-arb 8-0.3 0.5 -1.6
Adam Rosales↔ ARI 34 FA-elig 71-0.3 0.8 -1.9
Franklin Barreto 21 – 25-0.5 0.1 -1.7
Frankie Montas 24 pre-arb 23-0.7 0.5 -3.0
Mark Canha 28 pre-arb 57-0.8 0.5 -3.3
Chris Smith 36 pre-arb 14-0.9 0.3 -3.2

Key additions (new vs 2016)

PlayerfWAR
Matt Chapman2.3
Matt Joyce2.3
Blake Treinen1.0
Boog Powell0.7
Paul Blackburn0.6
Rajai Davis0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2016)

Player2016 fWAR
Rich Hill2.7
Josh Reddick1.8
Danny Valencia1.7
Fernando Rodriguez Jr.0.4
Ross Detwiler0.4
Marc Rzepczynski0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2017 payroll
$63.6M
2018 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2017, 2017–2023. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2017; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Jed Lowrie338.111$6.5MFREE AGENT
John Axford348.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Rajai Davis369.167$5.1MFREE AGENT
Ryan Madson3611.155$5.1MFREE AGENT
Matt Joyce327.123$5.0MFREE AGENT
Santiago Casilla369.148$5.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Rosales346.163$845kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Khris Davis293.104$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Plouffe315.162$3.0MFREE AGENT
Yonder Alonso305.116$2.8MFREE AGENT
Sonny Gray273.061$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Vogt323.084$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Doolittle304.122$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Liam Hendriks283.038$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hatcher323.146$587kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (39)

PlayerAgeSvc2017201820192020202120222023
Jake Smolinski282.016$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Semien262.118$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Phegley292.114$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Canha282.000$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kendall Graveman262.014$545kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Dull271.034$540kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Coulombe270.149$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Mengden240.076$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Manaea250.157$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frankie Montas240.106$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Triggs280.123$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryon Healy250.080$538kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raúl Alcántara240.028$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Wendle270.033$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jharel Cotton250.026$535kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Pinder250.047$494kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Wahl250.000$444kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Maxwell260.072$374kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Chapman240.000$319kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Treinen292.065$274kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Blackburn230.000$272kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Gossett240.000$260kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Hahn271.150$254kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Smith361.054$251kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Garneau290.124$249kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Brady30–$243k
Josh A. Smith29–$237k
Matt Olson230.021$237kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Simon Castro290.063$228kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaycob Brugman25–$184k
Franklin Barreto210.000$129kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Neal28–$117k
Sam Moll250.000$91kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Valdez320.045$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Boog Powell240.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Renato Núñez230.021$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaff Decker270.098$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Lavarnway292.127$35kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan LaMarre281.046$18kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 2017; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.