RRosternomics
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Athletics OAK

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GM: Billy Beane

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.58× league · TAB -3.2
-3.2TAB — talent above budget17th/30
-7.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-7.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
63%dead money %30th/30
0.420win %25th/30
24.4roster fWAR26th/30
+7surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/30
$71Mpayroll $M28th/30

Roster

CFBilly Burns 125GSam Fuld 43GCraig Gentry 8G
LFMark Canha 58GSam Fuld 57GJake Smolinski 52G
RFJosh Reddick 143GJake Smolinski 16GSam Fuld 16G
SSMarcus Semien 152GEric Sogard 17GAndy Parrino 10G
2BEric Sogard 96GBrett Lawrie 42GTyler Ladendorf 2G
3BBrett Lawrie 109GDanny Valencia 55GMax Muncy 16G
1BMark Canha 75GIke Davis 65GStephen Vogt 25G
STARTERSSonny Gray 4.0WARJesse Chavez 2.5WARJesse Hahn 1.7WARChris Bassitt 1.5WARDrew Pomeranz 1.4WAR
CStephen Vogt 100GJosh Phegley 68GCarson Blair 11G
DHBilly Butler 136GStephen Vogt 8GSam Fuld 3G
BULLPEN★ Sean Doolittle 4svEvan Scribner 8hCody Martin 7hFernando Rodriguez Jr. 6hEdward Mujica 4hDan Otero 2hPat Venditte 2hFernando Abad 1h
CStephen Vogt 100 · Josh Phegley 68 · Carson Blair 11
1BMark Canha 75 · Ike Davis 65 · Stephen Vogt 25
2BEric Sogard 96 · Brett Lawrie 42 · Tyler Ladendorf 2
3BBrett Lawrie 109 · Danny Valencia 55 · Max Muncy 16
SSMarcus Semien 152 · Eric Sogard 17 · Andy Parrino 10
LFMark Canha 58 · Sam Fuld 57 · Jake Smolinski 52
CFBilly Burns 125 · Sam Fuld 43 · Craig Gentry 8
RFJosh Reddick 143 · Jake Smolinski 16 · Sam Fuld 16
DHBilly Butler 136 · Stephen Vogt 8 · Sam Fuld 3
SPSonny Gray 4.0 · Jesse Chavez 2.5 · Jesse Hahn 1.7 · Chris Bassitt 1.5 · Drew Pomeranz 1.4
BP★ Sean Doolittle 4 · Evan Scribner 8 · Cody Martin 7 · Fernando Rodriguez Jr. 6 · Edward Mujica 4 · Dan Otero 2 · Pat Venditte 2 · Fernando Abad 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Sonny Gray 25 pre-arb 314.0 0.5 +11.9
Josh Reddick 28 FA-elig 1492.8 4.1 +4.9
Jesse Chavez 31 FA-elig 302.5 2.1 +5.8
Scott Kazmir↔ HOU 31 FA-elig 182.4 7.5 +0.1
Billy Burns 25 pre-arb 1251.9 0.4 +5.6
Stephen Vogt 30 arb 1361.8 0.5 +5.1
Jesse Hahn 25 pre-arb 161.7 0.5 +4.7
Ben Zobrist↔ KCR 34 FA-elig 671.5 4.0 +0.9
Chris Bassitt 26 pre-arb 181.5 0.3 +4.4
Danny Valencia↔ TOR 30 arb 471.5 0.7 +3.9
Marcus Semien 24 pre-arb 1551.4 0.5 +4.1
Drew Pomeranz 26 arb 531.4 0.5 +4.0
Josh Phegley 27 pre-arb 731.4 0.5 +4.0
Mark Canha 26 – 1241.3 0.5 +3.6
Brett Lawrie 25 arb 1490.9 1.9 +0.9
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. 31 FA-elig 560.8 0.6 +2.0
Jake Smolinski↔ TEX 26 pre-arb 410.6 0.3 +1.6
Kendall Graveman 24 pre-arb 210.5 0.5 +1.2
Eric Sogard 29 arb 1200.4 1.1 +0.1
Tyler Clippard↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 370.3 4.5 -3.5
Sean Doolittle 28 arb 120.3 0.8 +0.1
Pat Venditte 30 – 260.1 0.3 +0.1
Félix Doubront↔ TOR 27 arb 110.1 0.1 +0.3
Sam Fuld 33 FA-elig 1200.1 1.8 -1.4
Danny Coulombe↔ LAD 25 pre-arb 90.1 0.0 +0.2
Sean Nolin 25 pre-arb 60.1 0.1 +0.1
Ryan Cook↔ BOS 28 arb 40.0 0.6 -0.5
Bryan Anderson 28 pre-arb 40.0 0.0 +0.1
Arnold Leon 26 pre-arb 190.0 0.2 -0.1
Tyler Ladendorf 27 – 90.0 0.1 -0.1
Eric O'Flaherty↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 25-0.0 3.4 -3.4
Aaron Brooks↔ KCR 25 pre-arb 11-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Chad Smith 25 – 2-0.0 0.4 -0.6
Andy Parrino 29 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Brad Mills 30 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Evan Scribner 29 arb 54-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Angel Castro 32 – 5-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Dan Otero 30 arb 41-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Edward Mujica↔ BOS 31 FA-elig 38-0.2 3.7 -4.3
Jason Pridie 31 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Ryan Dull 25 – 13-0.3 – –
Ike Davis 28 arb 74-0.4 3.8 -5.0
Cody Ross 34 – 9-0.4 0.5 -1.8
Cody Martin↔ ATL 25 pre-arb 4-0.4 0.0 -1.4
Barry Zito 37 FA-elig 3-0.5 1.1 -2.5
R.J. Alvarez 24 pre-arb 21-0.5 0.5 -2.0
Max Muncy 24 – 45-0.5 0.1 -1.7
Fernando Abad 29 arb 62-0.6 1.1 -3.0
Carson Blair 25 – 11-0.6 0.1 -2.1
Craig Gentry 31 FA-elig 26-0.7 1.6 -3.8
Coco Crisp 35 FA-elig 44-0.7 11.0 -13.2
Billy Butler 29 FA-elig 151-0.8 6.7 -9.3

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Jesse Hahn1.7
Ben Zobrist1.5
Chris Bassitt1.5
Danny Valencia1.5
Marcus Semien1.4
Josh Phegley1.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Josh Donaldson5.7
Brandon Moss2.7
Yoenis Cespedes2.5
Derek Norris2.2
Jeff Samardzija2.2
Jed Lowrie1.7

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$71.1M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Coco Crisp3511.158$11.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Kazmir318.119$7.5MFREE AGENT
Billy Butler297.120$6.7MFREE AGENT
Ben Zobrist347.134$4.0MFREE AGENT
Edward Mujica317.115$3.7MFREE AGENT
Eric O'Flaherty307.062$3.4MFREE AGENT
Barry Zito3713.072$1.1MFREE AGENT
Fernando Rodriguez Jr.316.000$635kFREE AGENT
Cody Ross349.058$502kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Tyler Clippard305.148$4.5MFREE AGENT
Josh Reddick284.050$4.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ike Davis284.155$3.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez314.108$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Lawrie253.055$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Fuld334.140$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Gentry314.084$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Abad293.073$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Sogard293.064$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Valencia303.118$750kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Cook283.036$622kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Félix Doubront273.120$124kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (31)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Sean Doolittle282.122$780kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Pomeranz262.013$518kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Scribner291.142$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Vogt301.084$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sonny Gray251.061$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Otero301.169$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Phegley270.114$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Semien240.118$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Hahn250.086$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
R.J. Alvarez240.027$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kendall Graveman240.028$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Canha260.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Burns250.032$433kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Smith25–$427k
Pat Venditte300.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Smolinski260.084$274kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Bassitt260.029$272kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arnold Leon260.073$186kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Brooks250.009$162kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Ladendorf270.000$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Muncy240.000$105kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Pridie311.060$92kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Blair25–$92k
Sean Nolin250.028$83kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Parrino291.109$80kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Castro32–$61k
Danny Coulombe250.013$41kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Anderson280.171$39kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Martin250.075$32kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Mills300.138$5kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Dull250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.