RRosternomics

Yankees NYY

GM: Brian Cashman

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.67× league · TAB +7.9
+7.9TAB — talent above budget9th/30
+14.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)6th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars5th/30
-2.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/30
40%dead money %18th/30
0.636win %3rd/30
48.5roster fWAR6th/30
-68surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$216Mpayroll $M3rd/30

2019: made playoffs · 103–59. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFBrett Gardner 98GAaron Hicks 58GMike Tauchman 14G
LFMike Tauchman 59GCameron Maybin 46GBrett Gardner 45G
RFAaron Judge 92GCameron Maybin 36GClint Frazier 36G
SSDidi Gregorius 80GGleyber Torres 77GThairo Estrada 9G
2BDJ LeMahieu 75GGleyber Torres 65GTyler Wade 18G
3BGio Urshela 123GDJ LeMahieu 52GTyler Wade 5G
1BLuke Voit 83GEdwin Encarnación 57GDJ LeMahieu 40G
STARTERSJames Paxton 3.4WARMasahiro Tanaka 3.2WARDomingo Germán 1.9WARChad Green 1.6WARJ.A. Happ 1.2WAR
CGary Sánchez 90GAustin Romine 70GKyle Higashioka 18G
DHEdwin Encarnación 51GLuke Voit 34GKendrys Morales 16G
BULLPEN Aroldis Chapman 37svZack Britton 29hAdam Ottavino 28hTommy Kahnle 27hCory Gearrin 14hLuis Cessa 4hJonathan Holder 4hNestor Cortes 2h
CGary Sánchez 90 · Austin Romine 70 · Kyle Higashioka 18
1BLuke Voit 83 · Edwin Encarnación 57 · DJ LeMahieu 40
2BDJ LeMahieu 75 · Gleyber Torres 65 · Tyler Wade 18
3BGio Urshela 123 · DJ LeMahieu 52 · Tyler Wade 5
SSDidi Gregorius 80 · Gleyber Torres 77 · Thairo Estrada 9
LFMike Tauchman 59 · Cameron Maybin 46 · Brett Gardner 45
CFBrett Gardner 98 · Aaron Hicks 58 · Mike Tauchman 14
RFAaron Judge 92 · Cameron Maybin 36 · Clint Frazier 36
DHEdwin Encarnación 51 · Luke Voit 34 · Kendrys Morales 16
SPJames Paxton 3.4 · Masahiro Tanaka 3.2 · Domingo Germán 1.9 · Chad Green 1.6 · J.A. Happ 1.2
BP Aroldis Chapman 37 · Zack Britton 29 · Adam Ottavino 28 · Tommy Kahnle 27 · Cory Gearrin 14 · Luis Cessa 4 · Jonathan Holder 4 · Nestor Cortes 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2019 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
DJ LeMahieu 30 FA-elig 1455.7 12.0 +6.8
Aaron Judge 27 arb 1024.1 0.7 +12.9
Gleyber Torres 22 pre-arb 1443.4 0.6 +10.5
Brett Gardner 35 FA-elig 1413.4 7.5 +3.6
James Paxton 30 FA-elig 293.4 8.6 +2.5
Masahiro Tanaka 30 arb 323.2 22.0 -11.5
Gio Urshela 27 1323.1
Mike Tauchman 28 pre-arb 873.0 0.6 +9.4
Aroldis Chapman 31 FA-elig 602.1 17.2 -10.4
Gary Sánchez 26 arb 1062.1 0.7 +6.1
Domingo Germán 26 pre-arb 271.9 0.6 +5.5
Cameron Maybin 32 FA-elig 821.6 0.5 +4.9
Chad Green 28 arb 541.6 0.6 +4.6
Luke Voit 28 pre-arb 1181.4 0.6 +3.9
Adam Ottavino 33 FA-elig 731.3 9.0 -4.8
J.A. Happ 36 FA-elig 321.2 17.0 -13.1
Tommy Kahnle 29 arb 721.1 1.4 +2.3
Austin Romine 30 FA-elig 730.9 1.8 +1.0
Zack Britton 31 FA-elig 660.8 13.0 -10.2
Mike Ford 26 500.8 0.2 +2.5
Edwin Encarnación↔ SEA 36 FA-elig 440.8 3.5 -1.0
David Hale 31 pre-arb 200.7 0.4 +1.7
Aaron Hicks 29 FA-elig 590.5 6.3 -4.6
Luis Severino 25 arb 30.5 4.5 -2.8
Giancarlo Stanton 29 FA-elig 180.4 26.0 -24.6
Tyler Wade 24 pre-arb 430.4 0.6 +0.8
CC Sabathia 38 FA-elig 230.4 8.0 -6.8
Thairo Estrada 23 pre-arb 350.4 0.6 +0.7
Jonathan Holder 26 arb 340.4 0.6 +0.6
Kyle Higashioka 29 pre-arb 180.3 0.6 +0.5
Jonathan Loáisiga 24 pre-arb 150.1 0.6 -0.3
Ben Heller 27 arb 60.1 0.6 -0.3
Jordan Montgomery 26 pre-arb 20.1 0.6 -0.4
Dellin Betances 31 FA-elig 10.1 7.1 -6.9
Troy Tulowitzki 34 FA-elig 50.0 20.0 -19.8
Luis Cessa 27 arb 430.0 0.6 -0.4
Michael King 24 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Ryan Dull↔ OAK 29 arb 30.0 0.2 -0.1
Joe Harvey↔ COL 27 pre-arb 90.0 0.3 -0.2
Breyvic Valera↔ TOR 27 12-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Cory Gearrin↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 18-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Adonis Rosa 24 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Clint Frazier 24 pre-arb 69-0.0 0.6 -0.7
Tyler Lyons↔ PIT 31 arb 11-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Joe Mantiply 28 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Stephen Tarpley 26 pre-arb 21-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Brady Lail 25 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Jake Barrett 27 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Greg Bird 26 arb 10-0.2 1.2 -1.7
Kendrys Morales↔ OAK 36 FA-elig 19-0.2 4.3 -5.0
Nestor Cortes 24 33-0.3 0.4 -1.3
Chance Adams 24 pre-arb 13-0.3 0.6 -1.6
Didi Gregorius 29 FA-elig 82-0.5 11.8 -13.3
Miguel Andujar 24 pre-arb 12-0.9 0.6 -3.6

Key additions (new vs 2018)

PlayerfWAR
DJ LeMahieu5.7
James Paxton3.4
Gio Urshela3.1
Mike Tauchman3.0
Cameron Maybin1.6
Adam Ottavino1.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2018)

Player2018 fWAR
Lance Lynn2.0
Sonny Gray1.5
David Robertson1.4
Andrew McCutchen0.7
Adam Warren0.3
Tyler Austin0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2019 payroll
$216.2M
2020 guaranteed
$9.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2019, 2019–2025. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2019; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Giancarlo Stanton298.118$26.0M$9.6M$29.0MOPT-OUT$29.0M$32.0M$32.0M$32.0M
Troy Tulowitzki3413.000$20.0MFREE AGENT
Aroldis Chapman318.009$17.2MFREE AGENT
J.A. Happ3610.047$17.0MFREE AGENT
Zack Britton316.158$13.0MFREE AGENT
DJ LeMahieu306.128$12.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Ottavino337.087$9.0MFREE AGENT
CC Sabathia3818.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Brett Gardner3510.072$7.5MFREE AGENT
Kendrys Morales3613.000$4.3MFREE AGENT
Edwin Encarnación3613.085$3.5MFREE AGENT
Cameron Maybin329.073$471kFREE AGENT
Nestor Cortes247.094$364kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Masahiro Tanaka305.000$22.0MFREE AGENT
Didi Gregorius295.159$11.8MFREE AGENT
James Paxton304.151$8.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dellin Betances315.078$7.1MFREE AGENT
Aaron Hicks295.041$6.3MFREE AGENT
Austin Romine305.044$1.8MFREE AGENT
Tommy Kahnle293.130$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Bird263.053$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Gearrin335.136$409kFREE AGENT
Tyler Lyons314.026$68kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gio Urshela274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Luis Severino252.170$4.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Judge272.051$684kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Sánchez262.086$670kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Andujar241.020$618kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gleyber Torres220.162$605kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Green282.050$599kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Montgomery261.153$597kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Holder261.144$580kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Cessa271.131$579kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Germán261.017$578kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Voit280.169$573kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Wade241.007$572kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Frazier241.057$563kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Higashioka290.124$563kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Loáisiga240.047$561kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Tarpley260.030$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Tauchman280.079$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chance Adams240.025$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Heller271.096$555kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thairo Estrada230.000$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Barrett271.140$412kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hale312.031$394kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Harvey270.000$278kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Ford260.000$239kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Dull292.143$235kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Breyvic Valera270.081$59kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael King240.000$33kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Mantiply280.030$6kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Lail250.000$6kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adonis Rosa24$3k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Yankees 2019; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3