RRosternomics
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Mets NYM

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GM: Billy Eppler

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.66× league · TAB -11.2
-11.2TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-13.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-6.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
28%dead money %12th/30
0.463win %23rd/30
29.3roster fWAR16th/30
-139surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$255Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFBrandon Nimmo 136GRafael Ortega 25GTommy Pham 7G
LFJeff McNeil 32GTim Locastro 27GRafael Ortega 19G
RFStarling Marte 84GDJ Stewart 44GJeff McNeil 41G
SSFrancisco Lindor 158GLuis Guillorme 9GJonathan Araúz 5G
2BJeff McNeil 107GLuis Guillorme 29GRonny Mauricio 21G
3BBrett Baty 100GMark Vientos 19GJonathan Araúz 15G
1BPete Alonso 144GMark Vientos 10GJeff McNeil 1G
STARTERSKodai Senga 3.4WARJose Quintana 1.5WARDavid Peterson 1.1WARJoey Lucchesi 0.7WARJosé Buttó 0.6WAR
CFrancisco Alvarez 108GOmar Narváez 47GTomás Nido 21G
DHDaniel Vogelbach 85GMark Vientos 37GPete Alonso 9G
BULLPEN★ Adam Ottavino 12svBrooks Raley 25hDrew Smith 12hTrevor Gott 10hJeff Brigham 6hPhil Bickford 4hGrant Hartwig 2hAnthony Kay 0h
CFrancisco Alvarez 108 · Omar Narváez 47 · Tomás Nido 21
1BPete Alonso 144 · Mark Vientos 10 · Jeff McNeil 1
2BJeff McNeil 107 · Luis Guillorme 29 · Ronny Mauricio 21
3BBrett Baty 100 · Mark Vientos 19 · Jonathan Araúz 15
SSFrancisco Lindor 158 · Luis Guillorme 9 · Jonathan Araúz 5
LFJeff McNeil 32 · Tim Locastro 27 · Rafael Ortega 19
CFBrandon Nimmo 136 · Rafael Ortega 25 · Tommy Pham 7
RFStarling Marte 84 · DJ Stewart 44 · Jeff McNeil 41
DHDaniel Vogelbach 85 · Mark Vientos 37 · Pete Alonso 9
SPKodai Senga 3.4 · Jose Quintana 1.5 · David Peterson 1.1 · Joey Lucchesi 0.7 · José Buttó 0.6
BP★ Adam Ottavino 12 · Brooks Raley 25 · Drew Smith 12 · Trevor Gott 10 · Jeff Brigham 6 · Phil Bickford 4 · Grant Hartwig 2 · Anthony Kay 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Francisco Lindor 29 FA-elig 1605.5 34.1 -12.2
Brandon Nimmo 30 FA-elig 1524.2 18.5 -2.0
Kodai Senga 30 pre-arb 293.4 15.0 -1.3
Francisco Alvarez 21 pre-arb 1233.0 0.7 +11.1
Pete Alonso 28 arb 1542.8 14.5 -3.4
Jeff McNeil 31 arb 1562.4 6.2 +3.3
Justin Verlander↔ HOU 40 FA-elig 161.9 25.7 -18.1
Jose Quintana 34 FA-elig 131.5 13.0 -6.9
Tommy Pham↔ ARI 35 FA-elig 791.4 3.7 +1.8
David Peterson 27 arb 271.1 0.8 +3.6
Max Scherzer↔ TEX 38 FA-elig 191.0 30.5 -26.4
Mark Canha↔ MIL 34 FA-elig 890.8 7.4 -4.2
DJ Stewart 29 pre-arb 580.8 0.3 +2.8
David Robertson↔ MIA 38 FA-elig 400.8 6.5 -3.4
Joey Lucchesi 30 arb 90.7 1.1 +1.6
Brooks Raley 35 FA-elig 660.7 4.5 -1.8
Tylor Megill 27 pre-arb 250.6 0.6 +1.9
José Buttó 25 pre-arb 90.6 0.2 +2.2
Tim Locastro 30 FA-elig 430.4 1.4 +0.2
Trevor Gott↔ SEA 30 FA-elig 340.4 0.6 +0.9
Rafael Ortega 32 pre-arb 470.3 0.2 +0.8
Ronny Mauricio 22 – 260.3 0.1 +1.0
Sean Reid-Foley 27 pre-arb 80.2 0.2 +0.8
Eduardo Escobar↔ ANA 34 FA-elig 400.2 3.8 -3.1
Michael Pérez 30 arb 30.2 0.0 +0.6
Daniel Vogelbach 30 FA-elig 1040.2 1.5 -0.9
Drew Smith 29 arb 630.2 1.3 -0.7
Adam Kolarek↔ LAD 34 – 40.1 0.0 +0.3
Denyi Reyes 26 pre-arb 90.1 0.1 +0.2
Vinny Nittoli 32 pre-arb 30.1 0.0 +0.3
Grant Hartwig 25 – 280.0 0.3 -0.2
Phil Bickford↔ LAD 27 arb 250.0 0.3 -0.2
Omar Narváez 31 FA-elig 490.0 8.0 -7.9
Zach Muckenhirn 28 – 30.0 0.0 +0.1
Edwin Uceta 25 – 10.0 0.5 -0.5
Tyson Miller↔ LAD 27 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
T.J. McFarland 34 FA-elig 3-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Reed Garrett↔ BAL 30 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.1
John Curtiss 30 FA-elig 15-0.0 0.8 -0.9
Jimmy Yacabonis 31 – 7-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Adam Ottavino 37 FA-elig 66-0.1 7.2 -7.5
Anthony Kay↔ CHC 28 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Sam Coonrod 30 arb 10-0.1 0.7 -1.1
Dennis Santana 27 – 9-0.1 1.0 -1.4
Josh Walker 28 – 14-0.1 0.3 -0.8
Gary Sánchez↔ SDP 30 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Dominic Leone↔ ANA 31 – 31-0.2 0.3 -1.3
Carlos Carrasco 36 FA-elig 20-0.3 14.0 -15.1
Starling Marte 34 FA-elig 86-0.3 20.8 -21.8
Tommy Hunter 36 FA-elig 14-0.3 0.7 -1.8
Abraham Almonte 34 arb 8-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Jonathan Araúz 24 pre-arb 27-0.3 0.2 -1.3
Luis Guillorme 28 arb 54-0.3 1.6 -2.9
Stephen Nogosek 28 arb 13-0.4 0.7 -2.2
Brett Baty 23 pre-arb 108-0.5 0.5 -2.5
Jeff Brigham 31 arb 37-0.6 0.8 -3.1
Tomás Nido 29 FA-elig 22-0.6 1.6 -3.9
Mark Vientos 23 pre-arb 65-0.8 0.4 -3.5
Danny Mendick 29 arb 35-0.9 1.0 -4.6

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Kodai Senga3.4
Justin Verlander1.9
Jose Quintana1.5
Tommy Pham1.4
DJ Stewart0.8
David Robertson0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Chris Bassitt2.8
Taijuan Walker2.7
Jacob deGrom2.2
Trevor Williams0.7
Joely Rodríguez0.4
Colin Holderman0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$255.1M
2024 guaranteed
$79.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Francisco Lindor297.113$34.1M$34.2M$34.1M$32.5M$32.5M$32.5M$32.5M
Max Scherzer3814.079$30.5MFREE AGENT
Justin Verlander4017.002$25.7MFREE AGENT
Starling Marte349.162$20.8MFREE AGENT
Brandon Nimmo306.042$18.5M$20.5M$20.5M$15.2M$20.5M$20.5M$20.5M
Kodai Senga300.000$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M$15.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Carrasco3611.147$14.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jose Quintana3410.133$13.0MFREE AGENT
Omar Narváez316.089$8.0MFREE AGENT
Mark Canha347.092$7.4MFREE AGENT
Adam Ottavino3711.087$7.2MFREE AGENT
David Robertson3813.119$6.5MFREE AGENT
Jeff McNeil314.069$6.2M$10.2M$15.8M$10.0M$15.8MCLUBFREE AGENT
Eduardo Escobar3410.128$3.8MFREE AGENT
Tommy Pham357.107$3.7MFREE AGENT
Daniel Vogelbach307.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Tommy Hunter3615.000$687kFREE AGENT
T.J. McFarland3410.000$375kFREE AGENT
Dominic Leone316.153$292kFREE AGENT
Gary Sánchez306.086$60kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Pete Alonso284.000$14.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Raley353.045$4.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Guillorme283.167$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomás Nido294.089$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Locastro303.122$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Smith294.034$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Lucchesi304.067$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennis Santana273.095$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Curtiss303.045$775kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Brigham313.010$760kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Coonrod303.078$675kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Gott304.057$638kARB 3FREE AGENT
Abraham Almonte345.012$58kFREE AGENT
Michael Pérez303.081$46kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Kolarek343.166$25kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Danny Mendick292.168$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Peterson272.125$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Nogosek280.165$730kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Alvarez210.006$685kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tylor Megill271.103$573kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Baty230.050$550kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Uceta250.101$468kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Vientos230.026$403kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Hartwig250.000$345kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ Stewart292.069$345kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Walker280.000$317kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Bickford271.134$303kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Ortega322.145$236kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Yacabonis312.027$201kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Araúz242.001$170kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Buttó250.002$155kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Reid-Foley272.093$151kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronny Mauricio220.000$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Denyi Reyes260.007$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reed Garrett300.106$98kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Kay281.101$41kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinny Nittoli320.041$33kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Muckenhirn28–$23k
Tyson Miller271.006$10kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.