RRosternomics
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Mets NYM

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GM: Sandy Alderson

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.98× league · TAB -4.5
-4.5TAB — talent above budget22nd/30
-4.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/30
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag7th/30
35%dead money %14th/30
0.475win %19th/30
29.4roster fWAR18th/30
-27surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/30
$93Mpayroll $M15th/30

Roster

CFÁngel Pagán 121GJason Pridie 43GScott Hairston 10G
LFJason Bay 122GWillie Harris 33GJason Pridie 13G
RFLucas Duda 42GJason Pridie 21GScott Hairston 15G
SSJosé Reyes 124GRubén Tejada 41GChin-Lung Hu 1G
2BJustin Turner 78GRubén Tejada 55GDaniel Murphy 24G
3BDavid Wright 101GJustin Turner 36GDaniel Murphy 28G
1BDaniel Murphy 52GNick Evans 45GLucas Duda 43G
STARTERSJonathon Niese 2.6WARR.A. Dickey 2.5WARChris Capuano 1.7WARMike Pelfrey 1.2WARMiguel Batista 0.3WAR
CJosh Thole 102GRonny Paulino 68GMike Nickeas 20G
DHCarlos Beltrán 3GScott Hairston 3GWillie Harris 2G
BULLPEN★ Bobby Parnell 6svJason Isringhausen 19hPedro Beato 11hTim Byrdak 8hManny Acosta 7hTaylor Buchholz 5hRyota Igarashi 2hD.J. Carrasco 2h
CJosh Thole 102 · Ronny Paulino 68 · Mike Nickeas 20
1BDaniel Murphy 52 · Nick Evans 45 · Lucas Duda 43
2BJustin Turner 78 · Rubén Tejada 55 · Daniel Murphy 24
3BDavid Wright 101 · Justin Turner 36 · Daniel Murphy 28
SSJosé Reyes 124 · Rubén Tejada 41 · Chin-Lung Hu 1
LFJason Bay 122 · Willie Harris 33 · Jason Pridie 13
CFÁngel Pagán 121 · Jason Pridie 43 · Scott Hairston 10
RFLucas Duda 42 · Jason Pridie 21 · Scott Hairston 15
DHCarlos Beltrán 3 · Scott Hairston 3 · Willie Harris 2
SPJonathon Niese 2.6 · R.A. Dickey 2.5 · Chris Capuano 1.7 · Mike Pelfrey 1.2 · Miguel Batista 0.3
BP★ Bobby Parnell 6 · Jason Isringhausen 19 · Pedro Beato 11 · Tim Byrdak 8 · Manny Acosta 7 · Taylor Buchholz 5 · Ryota Igarashi 2 · D.J. Carrasco 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
José Reyes 28 FA-elig 1265.8 11.0 +3.3
Carlos Beltrán↔ SFG 34 FA-elig 983.3 13.3 -5.4
Jonathon Niese 24 arb 292.6 0.5 +6.0
Daniel Murphy 26 arb 1092.6 0.4 +5.9
R.A. Dickey 36 FA-elig 332.5 2.8 +3.3
David Wright 28 FA-elig 1021.7 14.2 -10.0
Rubén Tejada 21 pre-arb 961.7 0.4 +3.8
Chris Capuano 32 FA-elig 361.7 1.5 +2.5
Ike Davis 24 pre-arb 361.3 0.4 +2.7
Mike Pelfrey 27 arb 341.2 3.9 -1.0
Ángel Pagán 29 arb 1230.9 3.5 -1.3
Lucas Duda 25 pre-arb 1000.8 0.4 +1.6
Francisco Rodríguez↔ MIL 29 FA-elig 420.7 7.0 -5.3
Bobby Parnell 26 arb 600.7 0.4 +1.3
Jason Pridie 27 – 1010.7 – –
Tim Byrdak 37 FA-elig 720.6 0.9 +0.6
Chris Schwinden 24 – 40.6 – –
Nick Evans 25 – 590.5 – –
Chris Young 32 FA-elig 40.4 1.1 -0.1
Josh Thole 24 pre-arb 1140.4 0.4 +0.6
Justin Turner 26 pre-arb 1170.4 0.4 +0.5
Jason Bay 32 FA-elig 1230.4 18.1 -17.2
Mike Baxter 26 – 220.3 – –
Miguel Batista↔ STL 40 FA-elig 90.3 0.2 +0.6
Scott Hairston 31 FA-elig 790.3 1.1 -0.4
Manny Acosta 30 arb 440.3 0.4 +0.2
Dale Thayer 30 arb 110.2 0.4 +0.1
Dillon Gee 25 pre-arb 300.2 0.4 +0.1
Michael O'Connor 30 – 90.2 – –
Daniel Herrera↔ MIL 26 – 160.1 – –
Ryota Igarashi 32 pre-arb 450.1 1.8 -1.6
Fernando Martinez 22 pre-arb 110.0 0.4 -0.4
Valentino Pascucci 32 – 100.0 – –
Pat Misch 29 – 6-0.1 – –
Josh Stinson 23 pre-arb 14-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Mike Nickeas 28 pre-arb 21-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Josh Satin 26 pre-arb 15-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Taylor Buchholz 29 arb 23-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Pedro Beato 24 pre-arb 60-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Brad Emaus 25 pre-arb 14-0.2 0.4 -1.0
Jason Isringhausen 38 FA-elig 53-0.3 0.4 -1.0
Blaine Boyer 29 FA-elig 5-0.3 0.7 -1.4
D.J. Carrasco 34 FA-elig 42-0.4 1.2 -2.3
Chin-Lung Hu 27 arb 22-0.5 0.4 -1.5
Willie Harris 33 FA-elig 126-0.6 0.8 -2.2
Ronny Paulino 30 FA-elig 78-1.2 1.3 -4.3

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Daniel Murphy2.6
Chris Capuano1.7
Jason Pridie0.7
Tim Byrdak0.6
Chris Schwinden0.6
Chris Young0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Hisanori Takahashi1.5
Pedro Feliciano0.8
Luis Castillo0.4
Raul Valdes0.4
Luis Hernandez0.1
Mike Jacobs0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$93.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Jason Bay327.080$18.1M$16.0MFREE AGENT
David Wright2813.075$14.2M$15.0M$11.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Beltrán3412.014$13.3MFREE AGENT
José Reyes287.111$11.0MFREE AGENT$250k$22.0M
Francisco Rodríguez297.150$7.0MFREE AGENT
R.A. Dickey366.007$2.8M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Chris Capuano326.001$1.5MFREE AGENT
Chris Young327.000$1.1M$546kFREE AGENT
Willie Harris339.013$800kFREE AGENT
Blaine Boyer298.070$725kFREE AGENT
Jason Isringhausen3814.030$414kFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista4013.045$193k$643kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Mike Pelfrey273.122$3.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ángel Pagán294.144$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronny Paulino304.112$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
D.J. Carrasco344.141$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Hairston315.102$1.1MFREE AGENT
Tim Byrdak375.150$900kFREE AGENT
Taylor Buchholz295.000$600kFREE AGENT
Dale Thayer304.035$414kARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Acosta304.024$414kARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Misch295.000—FREE AGENT
Jason Pridie273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Evans253.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Herrera263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Ryota Igarashi321.000$1.8MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathon Niese241.107$452kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Parnell261.132$434kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ike Davis240.168$432kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Murphy261.109$422kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chin-Lung Hu271.063$420kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Thole240.142$420kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Beato240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Duda250.033$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Nickeas281.000$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Stinson230.090$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Turner260.045$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Emaus250.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Martinez221.073$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Gee250.028$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rubén Tejada210.109$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Satin260.145$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Valentino Pascucci32–—
Chris Schwinden24–—
Michael O'Connor30–—
Mike Baxter260.028—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.