RRosternomics

Mets NYM

GM: Jim Duquette

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.52× league · TAB -25.9
-25.9TAB — talent above budget29th/30
-20.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)29th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars28th/30
-7.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
47%dead money %26th/30
0.410win %27th/30
13.4roster fWAR29th/30
-77surplus $M (value vs cost)30th/30
$104Mpayroll $M4th/30

Roster

CFJeff Duncan 52GTsuyoshi Shinjo 50GTimo Perez 49G
LFCliff Floyd 95GTimo Perez 58GRaul Gonzalez 45G
RFRoger Cedeno 111GRaul Gonzalez 40GTimo Perez 14G
SSJosé Reyes 69GJoe McEwing 42GJorge Velandia 23G
2BJoe McEwing 55GMarco Scutaro 39GDanny Garcia 17G
3BTy Wigginton 155GJay Bell 14GJoe McEwing 2G
1BJason Phillips 84GTony Clark 80GMo Vaughn 24G
STARTERSJae Weong Seo 3.0WARSteve Trachsel 2.0WARAl Leiter 1.8WARTom Glavine 1.4WARJeremy Griffiths 0.1WAR
CVance Wilson 89GMike Piazza 64GJason Phillips 29G
DHCliff Floyd 9G
BULLPEN David Weathers 7svMike Stanton 10hJohn Franco 4hScott Strickland 4hJaime Cerda 2hDan Wheeler 0hJason Anderson 0hPedro Feliciano 0h
CVance Wilson 89 · Mike Piazza 64 · Jason Phillips 29
1BJason Phillips 84 · Tony Clark 80 · Mo Vaughn 24
2BJoe McEwing 55 · Marco Scutaro 39 · Danny Garcia 17
3BTy Wigginton 155 · Jay Bell 14 · Joe McEwing 2
SSJosé Reyes 69 · Joe McEwing 42 · Jorge Velandia 23
LFCliff Floyd 95 · Timo Perez 58 · Raul Gonzalez 45
CFJeff Duncan 52 · Tsuyoshi Shinjo 50 · Timo Perez 49
RFRoger Cedeno 111 · Raul Gonzalez 40 · Timo Perez 14
DHCliff Floyd 9
SPJae Weong Seo 3.0 · Steve Trachsel 2.0 · Al Leiter 1.8 · Tom Glavine 1.4 · Jeremy Griffiths 0.1
BP David Weathers 7 · Mike Stanton 10 · John Franco 4 · Scott Strickland 4 · Jaime Cerda 2 · Dan Wheeler 0 · Jason Anderson 0 · Pedro Feliciano 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2003 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jae Weong Seo 26 pre-arb 353.0 0.3 +5.0
José Reyes 20 692.2 0.3 +3.7
Cliff Floyd 30 FA-elig 1082.2 6.5 -2.7
Steve Trachsel 32 FA-elig 362.0 3.0 +0.5
Al Leiter 37 FA-elig 301.8 8.0 -4.8
Mike Piazza 34 FA-elig 681.6 15.6 -12.7
Jeromy Burnitz↔ LAD 34 FA-elig 651.5 6.3 -3.6
Tom Glavine 37 FA-elig 331.4 11.0 -8.5
Jason Phillips 26 pre-arb 1191.0 0.3 +1.6
David Weathers 33 FA-elig 770.7 3.7 -2.5
Armando Benitez↔ NYY 30 FA-elig 450.5 4.5 -3.7
Graeme Lloyd↔ KCR 36 FA-elig 360.4 0.5 +0.3
Grant Roberts 25 arb 180.4 0.3 +0.4
Joe McEwing 30 arb 1190.4 0.6 +0.1
Vance Wilson 30 arb 960.4 0.3 +0.4
Pedro Feliciano 26 230.2
Jeff Duncan 24 560.2
Scott Strickland 27 arb 190.2 0.9 -0.7
Dan Wheeler 25 350.2
Roberto Alomar↔ CHW 35 FA-elig 730.1 4.2 -3.9
Marco Scutaro 27 480.1
Jeremy Griffiths 25 90.1
Jason Middlebrook 28 50.0
Timo Perez 28 arb 127-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Orber Moreno 26 7-0.0
Jorge Velandia 28 23-0.0
Mike Stanton 36 FA-elig 50-0.0 2.0 -2.1
Danny Garcia 23 19-0.0
Joe DePastino 29 2-0.0
Raul Gonzalez 29 107-0.1
Jason Anderson↔ NYY 24 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Matt Watson 24 15-0.1
Mike Glavine 30 6-0.1
Jason Roach 27 2-0.1
Ty Wigginton 25 pre-arb 156-0.2 0.3 -0.6
David Cone 40 5-0.2
Prentice Redman 23 15-0.2
Mike Bacsik 25 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.3 -0.6
Tony Clark 31 125-0.2
Tsuyoshi Shinjo 31 pre-arb 62-0.2 0.6 -1.0
Edwin Almonte 26 12-0.2
Jaime Cerda 24 pre-arb 27-0.3 0.3 -0.8
John Franco 42 FA-elig 38-0.3 3.8 -4.4
Roger Cedeno 28 FA-elig 148-0.4 4.9 -5.6
Pedro Astacio 34 FA-elig 7-0.5 7.0 -7.9
Mo Vaughn 35 FA-elig 27-0.6 17.2 -18.2
Aaron Heilman 24 14-0.7
Rey Sanchez↔ SEA 35 FA-elig 56-0.7 0.7 -2.0
Pat Strange 22 6-0.7
Jay Bell 37 FA-elig 72-0.8 0.6 -1.9

Key additions (new vs 2002)

PlayerfWAR
José Reyes2.2
Cliff Floyd2.2
Tom Glavine1.4
Graeme Lloyd0.4
Jeff Duncan0.2
Dan Wheeler0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2002)

Player2002 fWAR
Edgardo Alfonzo5.3
Jay Payton2.0
Jeff D'Amico1.4
Shawn Estes1.0
Rey Ordonez0.8
John Thomson0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

2003 payroll
$104.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2003, 2003–2009. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Mo Vaughn3512.000$17.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Piazza3411.000$15.6M$16.1M$16.1MFREE AGENT
Tom Glavine3716.000$11.0M$10.8M$10.8M$10.0M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Al Leiter3716.000$8.0M$10.3MFREE AGENT
Pedro Astacio3411.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd3010.000$6.5M$6.5M$6.6M$6.6MFREE AGENT
Jeromy Burnitz3410.000$6.3MFREE AGENT
Roger Cedeno288.000$4.9MFREE AGENT
Armando Benitez309.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Roberto Alomar3515.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
John Franco4219.000$3.8M$1.0MFREE AGENT
David Weathers3312.000$3.7M$1.9MFREE AGENT
Steve Trachsel3210.000$3.0M$5.0M$6.8M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Stanton3614.000$2.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Rey Sanchez3512.000$714kFREE AGENT
Jay Bell3717.000$550kFREE AGENT
Graeme Lloyd3610.000$450kFREE AGENT
Tony Clark318.000FREE AGENT
David Cone4017.000FREE AGENT
Jorge Velandia286.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Scott Strickland274.000$950kARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe McEwing305.000$600kFREE AGENT
Vance Wilson304.000$315kARB 3FREE AGENT
Timo Perez283.000$312kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Roberts253.000$310kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orber Moreno264.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Wheeler254.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2003200420052006200720082009
Tsuyoshi Shinjo312.000$600kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Bacsik252.000$302kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Wigginton251.000$302kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jae Weong Seo261.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Phillips262.000$300kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jaime Cerda241.000$300kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Reyes200.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Anderson240.000$64kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe DePastino29
Jason Middlebrook28
Raul Gonzalez29
Marco Scutaro271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Almonte26
Pat Strange22
Pedro Feliciano261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Heilman240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Watson24
Prentice Redman23
Jeff Duncan24
Jeremy Griffiths25
Jason Roach27
Danny Garcia23
Mike Glavine30

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2003; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3