RRosternomics

Mets NYM

GM: Joe McIlvaine

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.98× league · TAB -10.4
-10.4TAB — talent above budget25th/28
-1.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/28
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars17th/28
-7.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/28
36%dead money %20th/28
0.487win %11th/28
16.4roster fWAR25th/28
-12surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/28
$31Mpayroll $M16th/28

Roster

CFRyan Thompson 98GJohn Cangelosi 13GJoe Orsulak 13G
LFKevin McReynolds 47GJohn Cangelosi 24GJim Lindeman 21G
RFJoe Orsulak 63GJeromy Burnitz 42GJohn Cangelosi 19G
SSJose Vizcaino 102GLuis Rivera 11GFernando Viña 9G
2BJeff Kent 107GFernando Viña 13GLuis Rivera 5G
3BBobby Bonilla 107GTim Bogar 22GFernando Viña 12G
1BDavid Segui 78GRico Brogna 35GTim Bogar 14G
STARTERSBret Saberhagen 5.6WARBobby Jones 2.0WARJason Jacome 0.9WARMauro Gozzo 0.7WARDwight Gooden 0.1WAR
CTodd Hundley 82GKelly Stinnett 44G
BULLPEN John Franco 30svRoger Mason 0hJosias Manzanillo 0hDoug Linton 0hMike Maddux 0hEric Gunderson 0hFrank Seminara 0hJonathan Hurst 0h
CTodd Hundley 82 · Kelly Stinnett 44
1BDavid Segui 78 · Rico Brogna 35 · Tim Bogar 14
2BJeff Kent 107 · Fernando Viña 13 · Luis Rivera 5
3BBobby Bonilla 107 · Tim Bogar 22 · Fernando Viña 12
SSJose Vizcaino 102 · Luis Rivera 11 · Fernando Viña 9
LFKevin McReynolds 47 · John Cangelosi 24 · Jim Lindeman 21
CFRyan Thompson 98 · John Cangelosi 13 · Joe Orsulak 13
RFJoe Orsulak 63 · Jeromy Burnitz 42 · John Cangelosi 19
SPBret Saberhagen 5.6 · Bobby Jones 2.0 · Jason Jacome 0.9 · Mauro Gozzo 0.7 · Dwight Gooden 0.1
BP John Franco 30 · Roger Mason 0 · Josias Manzanillo 0 · Doug Linton 0 · Mike Maddux 0 · Eric Gunderson 0 · Frank Seminara 0 · Jonathan Hurst 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Bret Saberhagen 30 FA-elig 245.6 4.6 +1.8
Bobby Bonilla 31 FA-elig 1083.0 6.3 -2.8
Jeff Kent 26 pre-arb 1072.7 0.4 +2.7
Bobby Jones 24 pre-arb 242.0 0.1 +2.2
Todd Hundley 25 arb 911.5 0.3 +1.4
Rico Brogna 24 pre-arb 391.3 0.1 +1.3
John Franco 33 FA-elig 471.0 4.0 -2.8
Jason Jacome 23 pre-arb 80.9 0.1 +0.9
John Cangelosi 31 FA-elig 620.8 0.2 +0.8
Ryan Thompson 26 pre-arb 980.8 0.2 +0.7
Josias Manzanillo 26 arb 370.8 0.1 +0.8
Luis Rivera 30 FA-elig 320.7 0.5 +0.4
Mauro Gozzo 28 230.7
Kevin McReynolds 34 FA-elig 510.6 2.9 -2.3
Jim Lindeman 32 520.5
Kelly Stinnett 24 pre-arb 470.5 0.1 +0.4
Doug Linton 29 pre-arb 320.2 0.1 +0.1
Fernando Viña 25 pre-arb 790.1 0.1 +0.0
Eric Gunderson 28 arb 140.1 0.1 +0.0
Dwight Gooden 29 FA-elig 70.1 4.6 -4.5
Juan Castillo 24 2-0.1
Frank Seminara 27 10-0.1
Mike Maddux 32 FA-elig 27-0.1 1.4 -1.5
Jeff McKnight 31 arb 31-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Pete Smith 28 FA-elig 21-0.2 1.1 -1.4
Dave Telgheder 27 pre-arb 6-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Rick Parker 31 8-0.3
Roger Mason↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 41-0.3 0.4 -0.8
Tim Bogar 27 pre-arb 50-0.4 0.2 -0.6
Shawn Hare 27 22-0.4
Jonathan Hurst 27 pre-arb 7-0.4 0.1 -0.6
Mike Remlinger 28 arb 10-0.6 0.1 -0.8
Eric Hillman 28 pre-arb 11-0.6 0.2 -0.8
Jeromy Burnitz 25 pre-arb 45-0.6 0.2 -0.8
David Segui 27 arb 92-0.7 0.6 -1.3
Joe Orsulak 32 FA-elig 96-1.1 0.8 -2.1
Jose Vizcaino 26 arb 103-1.2 0.8 -2.2

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Rico Brogna1.3
Jason Jacome0.9
John Cangelosi0.8
Luis Rivera0.7
Kevin McReynolds0.6
Jim Lindeman0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Eddie Murray1.9
Pete Schourek1.1
Charlie O'Brien1.1
Frank Tanana1.1
Dave Gallagher1.0
Howard Johnson0.9

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$31.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Bobby Bonilla318.000$6.3M$3.0MFREE AGENT$5.9M
Bret Saberhagen3010.000$4.6M$3.6MFREE AGENT
Dwight Gooden2910.000$4.6MFREE AGENT
John Franco3310.000$4.0M$2.5M$2.6M$3.0M$2.9M$3.0M$3.4M
Kevin McReynolds3411.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Mike Maddux328.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Pete Smith287.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Joe Orsulak3211.000$850k$894kFREE AGENT
Luis Rivera308.000$450kFREE AGENT
Roger Mason3610.000$436kFREE AGENT
John Cangelosi319.000$175kFREE AGENT
Jim Lindeman328.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Jose Vizcaino265.000$850kFREE AGENT
David Segui274.000$550kARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Hundley254.000$290kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff McKnight315.000$180kFREE AGENT
Josias Manzanillo263.000$128kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Remlinger283.000$115kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Gunderson284.000$109kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mauro Gozzo285.000FREE AGENT
Rick Parker314.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Jeff Kent262.000$438kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeromy Burnitz251.000$175kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Thompson262.000$175kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Hillman282.000$170kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Bogar271.000$162kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Linton292.000$135kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Telgheder271.000$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Jones241.000$130kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Hurst272.000$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Viña251.000$120kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Jacome230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rico Brogna242.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelly Stinnett240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Castillo24
Shawn Hare27
Frank Seminara272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3