RRosternomics

Mets NYM

GM: Joe McIlvaine

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.66× league · TAB +3.5
+3.5TAB — talent above budget10th/28
+0.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/28
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/28
-2.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/28
16%dead money %6th/28
0.479win %16th/28
29.0roster fWAR14th/28
+5surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/28
$22Mpayroll $M24th/28

Roster

CFRyan Thompson 38GDamon Buford 31GCarl Everett 10G
LFJoe Orsulak 56GChris Jones 25GDamon Buford 25G
RFCarl Everett 68GJoe Orsulak 31GRyan Thompson 31G
SSJose Vizcaino 134GTim Bogar 27GEdgardo Alfonzo 6G
2BJeff Kent 122GEdgardo Alfonzo 29GTim Bogar 7G
3BEdgardo Alfonzo 58GButch Huskey 27GTim Bogar 25G
1BRico Brogna 131GTim Bogar 10GBobby Bonilla 10G
STARTERSBobby Jones 2.6WARBill Pulsipher 1.7WARJason Isringhausen 1.6WARPete Harnisch 1.5WARDave Mlicki 1.3WAR
CTodd Hundley 89GKelly Stinnett 67GAlberto Castillo 12G
BULLPEN John Franco 29svJerry Dipoto 0hDoug Henry 0hBlas Minor 0hPaul Byrd 0hDon Florence 0hPete Walker 0hDave Telgheder 0h
CTodd Hundley 89 · Kelly Stinnett 67 · Alberto Castillo 12
1BRico Brogna 131 · Tim Bogar 10 · Bobby Bonilla 10
2BJeff Kent 122 · Edgardo Alfonzo 29 · Tim Bogar 7
3BEdgardo Alfonzo 58 · Butch Huskey 27 · Tim Bogar 25
SSJose Vizcaino 134 · Tim Bogar 27 · Edgardo Alfonzo 6
LFJoe Orsulak 56 · Chris Jones 25 · Damon Buford 25
CFRyan Thompson 38 · Damon Buford 31 · Carl Everett 10
RFCarl Everett 68 · Joe Orsulak 31 · Ryan Thompson 31
SPBobby Jones 2.6 · Bill Pulsipher 1.7 · Jason Isringhausen 1.6 · Pete Harnisch 1.5 · Dave Mlicki 1.3
BP John Franco 29 · Jerry Dipoto 0 · Doug Henry 0 · Blas Minor 0 · Paul Byrd 0 · Don Florence 0 · Pete Walker 0 · Dave Telgheder 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jeff Kent 27 arb 1252.8 0.7 +2.0
Todd Hundley 26 arb 902.7 1.0 +1.7
Bobby Jones 25 pre-arb 302.6 0.2 +2.3
Bobby Bonilla↔ BAL 32 FA-elig 802.4 3.0 -0.7
Rico Brogna 25 arb 1342.3 0.1 +2.0
Bill Pulsipher 21 pre-arb 171.7 0.1 +1.5
Jason Isringhausen 22 pre-arb 141.6 0.1 +1.4
Carl Everett 24 pre-arb 791.6 0.1 +1.4
Pete Harnisch 28 FA-elig 181.5 3.0 -1.6
Bret Saberhagen↔ COL 31 FA-elig 161.4 3.6 -2.2
Chris Jones 29 arb 791.4 0.2 +1.1
Dave Mlicki 27 arb 291.3 0.1 +1.1
Mike Birkbeck 34 40.8
Jerry Dipoto 27 pre-arb 580.8 0.1 +0.6
Ryan Thompson 27 arb 750.8 0.2 +0.5
John Franco 34 FA-elig 480.8 2.5 -1.8
Brett Butler↔ LAD 38 FA-elig 900.7 1.4 -0.7
Doug Henry 31 arb 510.6 0.4 +0.2
Jose Vizcaino 27 FA-elig 1350.6 1.4 -0.7
Paul Byrd 24 pre-arb 170.6 0.1 +0.4
Edgardo Alfonzo 21 pre-arb 1010.4 0.1 +0.3
David Segui↔ WSN 28 arb 330.4 0.2 +0.2
Tim Bogar 28 pre-arb 780.3 0.2 +0.2
Robert Person 25 pre-arb 30.3 0.1 +0.2
Eric Gunderson↔ BOS 29 arb 300.3 0.1 +0.2
Blas Minor 29 arb 350.2 0.1 +0.1
Dave Telgheder 28 pre-arb 70.2 0.1 +0.1
Damon Buford↔ BAL 25 pre-arb 440.2 0.1 +0.1
Alex Ochoa 23 pre-arb 110.1 0.1 +0.0
Kelly Stinnett 25 pre-arb 770.1 0.1 -0.0
Brook Fordyce 25 40.1
Don Florence 28 pre-arb 140.1 0.1 -0.0
Kevin Lomon 23 60.1
Reid Cornelius↔ WSN 25 pre-arb 100.0 0.1 -0.0
Mike Remlinger↔ CIN 29 arb 5-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Alberto Castillo 25 pre-arb 13-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Josias Manzanillo↔ NYY 27 arb 12-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Jeff Barry 25 pre-arb 15-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Pete Walker 26 pre-arb 13-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Aaron Ledesma 24 pre-arb 21-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Jason Jacome↔ KCR 24 pre-arb 5-0.3 0.0 -0.3
Butch Huskey 23 pre-arb 28-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Ricky Otero 23 pre-arb 35-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Joe Orsulak 33 FA-elig 108-0.5 0.9 -1.3
Bill Spiers 29 FA-elig 63-0.6 0.4 -1.0

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Bill Pulsipher1.7
Jason Isringhausen1.6
Carl Everett1.6
Pete Harnisch1.5
Chris Jones1.4
Dave Mlicki1.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
John Cangelosi0.8
Luis Rivera0.7
Mauro Gozzo0.7
Kevin McReynolds0.6
Jim Lindeman0.5
Doug Linton0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$22.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Bret Saberhagen3111.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Bobby Bonilla329.000$3.0MFREE AGENT$5.9M
Pete Harnisch287.000$3.0M$3.7M$1.9MFREE AGENT
John Franco3411.000$2.5M$2.6M$3.0M$2.9M$3.0M$3.4M$3.6M
Brett Butler3814.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Jose Vizcaino276.000$1.4M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Joe Orsulak3312.000$894kFREE AGENT
Bill Spiers296.000$425kFREE AGENT
Mike Birkbeck349.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Todd Hundley265.000$975kFREE AGENT
Jeff Kent273.000$710kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Henry314.000$400kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Thompson273.000$220kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Jones294.000$200kARB 3FREE AGENT
David Segui285.000$192kFREE AGENT
Blas Minor293.000$145kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rico Brogna253.000$125kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Mlicki273.000$109kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josias Manzanillo274.000$91kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Remlinger294.000$85kARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Gunderson295.000$73kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Bobby Jones252.000$220kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Bogar282.000$165kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerry Dipoto272.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Telgheder282.000$135kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelly Stinnett251.000$125kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Everett242.000$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgardo Alfonzo210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Barry250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Byrd240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Castillo250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Person250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Ochoa230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Pulsipher210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Butch Huskey232.000$109kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Ledesma240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Don Florence280.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Isringhausen220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Walker260.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ricky Otero230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damon Buford252.000$91kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reid Cornelius250.000$61kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Jacome241.000$31kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brook Fordyce250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Lomon23

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3