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Twins MIN

202173–89 (0.451)
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President of baseball ops: Derek Falvey · GM: Thad Levine

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2021, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$119M
Surplus $M
-25
Win %
0.451
TAB
-4.6
WAB
-8.2
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
28.9
Dead money %
19%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-6.7

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2021 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RRyan Jeffers84
RMitch Garver59
LBen Rortvedt39
RWillians Astudillo10

1B

RMiguel Sanó118
LAlex Kirilloff29
RWillians Astudillo27
RMitch Garver4

2B

BJorge Polanco120
LLuis Arraez48
LNick Gordon17
RWillians Astudillo4

3B

RJosh Donaldson92
LLuis Arraez55
RWillians Astudillo29
RMiguel Sanó9
LNick Gordon2

SS

RAndrelton Simmons131
BJorge Polanco39
LNick Gordon14
LJT Riddle3

LF

LTrevor Larnach60
RBrent Rooker38
LJake Cave37
LLuis Arraez27
RRob Refsnyder20
LAlex Kirilloff13
RKyle Garlick12
LNick Gordon11
RGilberto Celestino1
LTzu-Wei Lin1

CF

RByron Buxton60
LNick Gordon34
LJake Cave29
RGilberto Celestino22
LMax Kepler22
RRob Refsnyder22
RKyle Garlick5

RF

LMax Kepler97
LAlex Kirilloff27
LTrevor Larnach20
RKyle Garlick18
LJake Cave11
RRob Refsnyder9
RBrent Rooker8
RGilberto Celestino2
LNick Gordon1
RWillians Astudillo1

DH

RNelson Cruz⇄85
RJosh Donaldson34
RMiguel Sanó11
RBrent Rooker10
BJorge Polanco8
LMax Kepler4
LLuis Arraez4
RMitch Garver3
LJake Cave1
RKenta Maeda1
RKyle Garlick1
RRob Refsnyder1
LTravis Blankenhorn⇄1

Starters

RJose Berrios⇄2.3 WAR
RKenta Maeda1.6 WAR
RMichael Pineda1.3 WAR
RBailey Ober0.9 WAR
RJoe Ryan0.5 WAR
RJohn Gant⇄0.4 WAR
LDanny Coulombe0.3 WAR
LCharlie Barnes0.1 WAR
LLewis Thorpe0.0 WAR
LJ.A. Happ⇄-0.0 WAR
RLuke Farrell-0.1 WAR
RRandy Dobnak-0.3 WAR
RBeau Burrows⇄-0.5 WAR
LAndrew Albers-0.6 WAR
RMatt Shoemaker-0.8 WAR
RGriffin Jax-0.8 WAR

Bullpen

★ RAlex Colome17 sv
RTyler Duffey22 h
LCaleb Thielbar12 h
RJorge Alcala11 h
LTaylor Rogers8 h
RJuan Minaya7 h
LDanny Coulombe2 h
RHansel Robles⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Andrelton Simmons0.9
Bailey Ober0.9
Joe Ryan0.5
Rob Refsnyder0.4
John Gant0.4
Kyle Garlick0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Eddie Rosario0.8
Tyler Clippard0.8
Rich Hill0.7
Matt Wisler0.6
Trevor May0.4
Marwin Gonzalez0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Twins. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2021; everyone else is shown as a 2021 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Byron Buxton 2021 +4.1 +58.3 5.1 +53.2 $1.3M 1.79× Arb extension · 2022–2028 · $14.3M AAV
Jorge Polanco 2021 +4.0 +38.6 4.3 +34.3 $1.1M 1.20× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $20.0M AAV
José Berríos↔ 2021 +2.3 +27.0 3.8 +23.2 $1.7M 1.49× Arb extension · 2022–2028 · $18.7M AAV
Taylor Rogers 2021 +1.5 +24.0 6.0 +18.0 $3.9M 1.95× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV
Kenta Maeda 2021 +1.6 +19.0 3.1 +15.9 $2.0M 1.49× –
Max Kepler 2021 +2.2 +21.5 6.5 +15.0 $2.9M 1.22× –
Mitch Garver 2021 +2.1 +12.8 1.9 +10.9 $0.9M 0.76× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.2M AAV
Luis Arraez 2021 +1.6 +10.8 0.6 +10.2 $0.4M 0.85× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $12.0M AAV
Josh Donaldson 2021 +3.4 +30.2 21.8 +8.4 $6.4M 1.12× –
Bailey Ober 2021 +0.9 +7.6 0.4 +7.2 $0.4M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.2M AAV
Nelson Cruz↔ 2021 +1.8 +14.9 7.9 +7.0 $4.3M 1.01× –
Tyler Duffey 2021 +0.7 +7.5 2.2 +5.3 $3.1M 1.34× –
Ryan Jeffers 2021 +1.2 +5.1 0.5 +4.6 $0.4M 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.7M AAV
Joe Ryan 2021 +0.5 +4.4 0.1 +4.3 $0.2M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $6.2M AAV
Caleb Thielbar 2021 +0.8 +4.3 0.7 +3.7 $0.8M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $4.5M AAV
John Gant↔ 2021 +0.4 +3.2 0.8 +2.5 $1.9M 1.02× –
Rob Refsnyder 2021 +0.4 +2.7 0.4 +2.3 $1.1M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $6.2M AAV
Jorge Alcala 2021 +0.2 +2.6 0.6 +2.1 $2.3M 1.34× –
Kyle Garlick 2021 +0.4 +2.4 0.6 +1.8 $1.6M 0.83× –
Nick Gordon 2021 +0.3 +1.7 0.4 +1.3 $1.6M 0.83× –
Cody Stashak 2021 +0.2 +1.2 0.1 +1.1 $0.5M 0.67× –
Danny Coulombe 2021 +0.3 +1.4 0.3 +1.1 $1.2M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Charlie Barnes 2021 +0.1 +1.1 0.2 +1.0 $1.1M 1.02× –
Alex Kirilloff 2021 +0.3 +1.4 0.5 +0.9 $1.6M 0.56× –
Ben Rortvedt 2021 +0.3 +1.2 0.3 +0.9 $1.1M 0.52× –
Trevor Larnach 2021 +0.2 +1.3 0.3 +0.9 $1.7M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.5M AAV
Juan Minaya 2021 +0.2 +1.0 0.3 +0.8 $1.3M 0.67× –
Nick Vincent 2021 +0.1 +0.7 0.1 +0.6 $0.6M 0.67× –
Michael Pineda 2021 +1.3 +10.5 10.0 +0.5 $7.8M 1.02× –
Jovani Morán 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.1 +0.4 $0.9M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
JT Riddle 2021 +0.1 +0.3 0.1 +0.2 $1.9M 0.61× –
Shaun Anderson↔ 2021 +0.0 +0.1 0.0 +0.1 $1.3M 0.67× –
Lewis Thorpe 2021 +0.0 +0.0 0.2 -0.1 $80.3M 1.02× –
Devin Smeltzer 2021 +0.0 +0.2 0.5 -0.3 $12.3M 0.67× –
Derek Law 2021 -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Travis Blankenhorn↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 – 0.69× –
Ralph Garza Jr.↔ 2021 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Ian Gibaut 2021 -0.1 -0.6 0.0 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Luke Farrell 2021 -0.1 -0.7 0.4 -1.2 – 0.67× –
Brandon Waddell↔ 2021 -0.3 -1.5 0.1 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Kyle Barraclough 2021 -0.3 -1.7 0.1 -1.8 – 0.67× –
Edgar García↔ 2021 -0.4 -1.9 0.0 -1.9 – 0.67× –
Brent Rooker 2021 -0.3 -1.8 0.3 -2.1 – 0.83× Arb extension · 2025–2030 · $12.0M AAV
Randy Dobnak 2021 -0.3 -1.5 0.7 -2.2 – 0.67× –
Beau Burrows↔ 2021 -0.5 -2.7 0.0 -2.7 – 0.67× –
Hansel Robles↔ 2021 -0.3 -1.8 1.2 -3.0 – 0.67× –
Willians Astudillo 2021 -0.6 -2.6 0.5 -3.0 – 0.58× –
Jake Cave 2021 -0.5 -3.4 0.6 -4.0 – 0.83× –
Alex Colomé 2021 +0.1 +0.9 5.0 -4.1 $61.7M 1.34× –
Gilberto Celestino 2021 -0.6 -4.3 0.2 -4.4 – 0.83× –
J.A. Happ↔ 2021 -0.0 -0.1 5.1 -5.2 – 1.02× –
Andrew Albers 2021 -0.6 -5.2 0.1 -5.3 – 1.02× –
Andrelton Simmons 2021 +0.9 +4.6 10.5 -5.9 $11.1M 0.61× –
Griffin Jax 2021 -0.8 -6.7 0.3 -7.0 – 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.6M AAV
Miguel Sanó 2021 +0.9 +4.0 11.0 -7.0 $12.3M 0.56× –
Matt Shoemaker 2021 -0.8 -6.2 2.0 -8.2 – 1.02× –
Tzu-Wei Lin 2021 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 – 0.83× –
Total—+28.8+285.1119.1+166.7—

Trades

Every graded 2021 deal involving the Twins — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2021 · MIN / TBR
MIN · Derek Falvey +$164.8M
Drew Strotman, Joe Ryan
TBR · Erik Neander −$164.8M
Calvin Faucher, Nelson Cruz
MIN came out ahead by $164.8M
2021 · MIN / STL
MIN · Derek Falvey +$1.6M
Evan Sisk, John Gant
STL · John Mozeliak −$1.6M
J. A. Happ
MIN came out ahead by $1.6M
2021 · SFG / MIN
SFG · Farhan Zaidi +$11.2M
LaMonte Wade
MIN · Derek Falvey −$11.2M
Shaun Anderson
SFG came out ahead by $11.2M
2021 · LAD / MIN
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$0.8M
Andrew Vasquez
MIN · Derek Falvey −$0.8M
Stevie Berman
LAD came out ahead by $0.8M
2021 · MIN / BOS
MIN · Derek Falvey +$4.0M
Alex Scherff
BOS · Chaim Bloom −$4.0M
Hansel Robles
MIN came out ahead by $4.0M
2021 · TOR / MIN
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$5.6M
José Berríos
MIN · Derek Falvey −$5.6M
Simeon Woods Richardson, Austin Martin
TOR came out ahead by $5.6M

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$118.9M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Josh Donaldson358.158$21.8MFREE AGENT
Andrelton Simmons318.122$10.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Pineda328.165$10.0MFREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz4013.082$7.9MFREE AGENT
J.A. Happ3812.047$5.1MFREE AGENT
Alex Colomé326.118$5.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Shoemaker346.166$2.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Vincent347.033$74kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Miguel Sanó285.066$11.0MFREE AGENT
Max Kepler284.152$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Rogers304.145$6.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Byron Buxton274.160$5.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Polanco274.024$4.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
José Berríos274.044$3.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kenta Maeda335.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Tyler Duffey304.074$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mitch Garver303.045$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hansel Robles305.119$1.2MFREE AGENT
John Gant284.004$754kARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gordon254.097$405kARB 3FREE AGENT
JT Riddle293.118$100kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Barraclough314.020$89kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (35)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Randy Dobnak261.036$700kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Caleb Thielbar342.131$650kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Arraez241.121$611kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Cave282.072$598kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Alcala251.005$576kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Garlick290.163$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Kirilloff230.000$503kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Jeffers240.108$501kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Devin Smeltzer251.028$482kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willians Astudillo291.158$475kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Refsnyder302.091$432kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Farrell301.137$432kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bailey Ober250.000$371kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Larnach240.000$313kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Coulombe312.079$307kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Rortvedt230.000$304kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Rooker260.067$301kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Griffin Jax260.000$279kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Minaya302.050$261kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Law302.126$236kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gilberto Celestino222.057$166kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lewis Thorpe250.137$153kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Barnes250.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Stashak271.070$121kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ralph Garza Jr.270.000$102kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Albers350.160$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Ryan250.000$98kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jovani Morán240.000$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Waddell270.067$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Beau Burrows240.061$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Gibaut270.138$34kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar García240.145$30kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shaun Anderson261.091$25kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tzu-Wei Lin272.041$18kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Blankenhorn240.008$5kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2021 acquisition stacked onto Twins's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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