RRosternomics
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Twins MIN

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GM: Rob Antony

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 5 in this regime · payroll 0.82× league · TAB -6.1
-6.1TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-20.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars30th/30
-4.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag16th/30
48%dead money %24th/30
0.364win %30th/30
25.7roster fWAR23rd/30
-20surplus $M (value vs cost)17th/30
$103Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFByron Buxton 92GDanny Santana 40GEddie Rosario 37G
LFRobbie Grossman 75GEddie Rosario 57GDanny Santana 17G
RFMax Kepler 108GMiguel Sanó 38GLogan Schafer 8G
SSEduardo Escobar 71GJorge Polanco 47GDanny Santana 3G
2BBrian Dozier 151GEduardo Escobar 6GJorge Polanco 5G
3BTrevor Plouffe 63GMiguel Sanó 42GEduardo Escobar 23G
1BJoe Mauer 95GKennys Vargas 32GByungHo Park 24G
STARTERSErvin Santana 3.4WARKyle Gibson 1.2WARTyler Duffey 1.2WARPhil Hughes 0.3WARPat Dean 0.1WAR
CKurt Suzuki 99GJuan Centeno 53GJohn Ryan Murphy 25G
DHByungHo Park 36GMiguel Sanó 35GJoe Mauer 33G
BULLPEN★ Brandon Kintzler 17svRyan Pressly 13hTaylor Rogers 9hTrevor May 6hMichael Tonkin 2hBuddy Boshers 2hJT Chargois 2hRyan O'Rourke 0h
CKurt Suzuki 99 · Juan Centeno 53 · John Ryan Murphy 25
1BJoe Mauer 95 · Kennys Vargas 32 · ByungHo Park 24
2BBrian Dozier 151 · Eduardo Escobar 6 · Jorge Polanco 5
3BTrevor Plouffe 63 · Miguel Sanó 42 · Eduardo Escobar 23
SSEduardo Escobar 71 · Jorge Polanco 47 · Danny Santana 3
LFRobbie Grossman 75 · Eddie Rosario 57 · Danny Santana 17
CFByron Buxton 92 · Danny Santana 40 · Eddie Rosario 37
RFMax Kepler 108 · Miguel Sanó 38 · Logan Schafer 8
DHByungHo Park 36 · Miguel Sanó 35 · Joe Mauer 33
SPErvin Santana 3.4 · Kyle Gibson 1.2 · Tyler Duffey 1.2 · Phil Hughes 0.3 · Pat Dean 0.1
BP★ Brandon Kintzler 17 · Ryan Pressly 13 · Taylor Rogers 9 · Trevor May 6 · Michael Tonkin 2 · Buddy Boshers 2 · JT Chargois 2 · Ryan O'Rourke 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2016 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brian Dozier 29 arb 1556.6 3.0 +18.3
Ervin Santana 33 FA-elig 303.4 13.5 -2.4
Max Kepler 23 pre-arb 1132.0 0.4 +6.2
Byron Buxton 22 pre-arb 921.9 0.5 +5.7
Ricky Nolasco↔ ANA 33 FA-elig 211.7 7.9 -2.3
Joe Mauer 33 FA-elig 1341.6 23.0 -17.8
Eduardo Núñez↔ SFG 29 FA-elig 911.3 1.0 +3.2
Kyle Gibson 28 arb 251.2 0.6 +3.4
Tyler Duffey 25 pre-arb 261.2 0.4 +3.6
Eddie Rosario 24 pre-arb 921.0 0.5 +2.7
Ryan Pressly 27 arb 721.0 0.5 +2.7
Robbie Grossman 26 pre-arb 990.9 0.4 +2.4
Jorge Polanco 22 pre-arb 690.8 0.3 +2.3
Taylor Rogers 25 – 570.7 0.4 +1.9
Kennys Vargas 25 pre-arb 470.6 0.2 +1.9
Brandon Kintzler 31 arb 540.6 0.4 +1.7
Buddy Boshers 28 pre-arb 370.6 0.3 +1.7
Fernando Abad↔ BOS 30 FA-elig 390.5 0.9 +0.7
Miguel Sanó 23 pre-arb 1160.4 0.5 +0.8
Trevor Plouffe 30 FA-elig 840.4 7.2 -6.0
Trevor May 26 pre-arb 440.4 0.5 +0.7
Phil Hughes 30 FA-elig 120.3 9.2 -8.2
JT Chargois 25 – 250.3 0.2 +0.7
Eduardo Escobar 27 arb 1050.2 2.1 -1.4
Michael Tonkin 26 arb 650.2 0.5 +0.2
Ryan O'Rourke 28 pre-arb 260.1 0.2 +0.2
Logan Schafer 29 pre-arb 260.1 0.1 +0.2
Pat Dean 27 – 190.1 0.3 +0.0
Héctor Santiago↔ ANA 28 arb 110.1 1.7 -1.4
Glen Perkins 33 FA-elig 20.1 6.3 -6.1
J.R. Graham 26 – 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Tommy Milone 29 arb 190.0 4.5 -4.4
ByungHo Park 29 pre-arb 620.0 2.8 -2.7
Adalberto Mejía 23 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
James Beresford 27 – 10-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Alex Wimmers 27 – 16-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Alex Meyer↔ ANA 26 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Darin Mastroianni 30 – 7-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Kurt Suzuki 32 FA-elig 106-0.1 6.0 -6.4
Pat Light↔ BOS 25 pre-arb 15-0.2 0.2 -0.8
Andrew Albers 30 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.1 -0.8
José Berríos 22 – 14-0.3 0.2 -1.0
Casey Fien↔ LAD 32 FA-elig 14-0.3 0.8 -1.8
Kevin Jepsen↔ TBR 31 FA-elig 33-0.4 3.0 -4.3
Neil Ramírez↔ CHC 27 pre-arb 8-0.5 0.2 -1.7
Oswaldo Arcia↔ MIA 25 arb 32-0.5 0.2 -1.8
John Ryan Murphy 25 arb 26-0.5 0.5 -2.1
Juan Centeno 26 pre-arb 55-0.7 0.4 -2.6
Danny Santana 25 pre-arb 75-0.9 0.5 -3.5

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Robbie Grossman0.9
Taylor Rogers0.7
Brandon Kintzler0.6
Buddy Boshers0.6
Fernando Abad0.5
JT Chargois0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Mike Pelfrey2.4
Aaron Hicks2.0
Torii Hunter0.7
Blaine Boyer0.3
Aaron Thompson0.2
Caleb Thielbar0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$102.9M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Joe Mauer3312.000$23.0MFREE AGENT
Ervin Santana3310.104$13.5MFREE AGENT
Phil Hughes308.113$9.2MFREE AGENT
Ricky Nolasco339.142$7.9MFREE AGENT
Glen Perkins3310.010$6.3MFREE AGENT
Kurt Suzuki328.112$6.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Trevor Plouffe304.162$7.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Milone293.143$4.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jepsen315.163$3.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Dozier293.100$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Escobar273.128$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Santiago284.016$1.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eduardo Núñez294.090$952kARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Abad304.073$855kARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Fien323.143$817kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Ryan Murphy253.000$529kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Kintzler314.026$413kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
ByungHo Park290.000$2.8MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Gibson282.056$588kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Sanó230.095$548kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor May261.051$545kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Rosario240.154$542kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Santana251.111$538kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Pressly272.053$520kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Tonkin261.005$515kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Byron Buxton220.113$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Duffey250.062$421kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Centeno260.105$416kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Rogers250.000$402kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Kepler230.013$388kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robbie Grossman261.094$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Buddy Boshers282.026$319kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Dean27–$261k
Jorge Polanco220.011$258kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oswaldo Arcia252.020$248kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neil Ramírez271.158$233kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Berríos220.000$205kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kennys Vargas252.000$205kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan O'Rourke280.090$194kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Mastroianni302.149$166kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JT Chargois250.000$158kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Light250.054$154kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Albers300.060$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Wimmers270.000$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Schafer292.115$103kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Beresford27–$75k
Alex Meyer261.013$24kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.R. Graham261.000$8kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adalberto Mejía230.000$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 2016; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.