Rosternomics
RA

Rob Antony

General manager for the Twins (2016–2016).

Across the full 1-season sample, the measured profile stands out most for drafted-player surplus (99th percentile). The clearest contrast is traded-for surplus (2nd percentile): players acquired by trade have created less surplus value than for most peers. Because the sample covers fewer than five seasons, those comparisons are descriptive rather than stable.

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

0 pennants · 0 playoff appearances · 59–103 (0.364)

Percentile Rankings

vs. execs with toyrs exp.
PoorAverageGreat
Trade Decision Quality
Roster Construction
Depth
3.0
Dead WAR
-4.8
Dead money %
48%
PoorAverageGreat
Talent Creation
Cheap-talent surplus
$32M
Drafted surplus
$34M
Traded-for surplus
$-6M
Int'l surplus
$6M
Results & Efficiency
GM WAR
-1.5
TAB
-6.2
WAB
-20.4
$ / WAR
$3.4M
Net WAR/trade
+0.01

Overview

TeamRoleYear Pay
$M
Rel
Pay
Surp
$M
Surp
WAR
Dead
%
Cheap
$M
Draft
$M
Trd
$M
Int'l
$M
$ /
WAR
WAR Depth Dead
WAR
HG Trade Net/
Trd
FA R5 RFA PPA CPA WAB TAB W-L% POPenWS
Twins GM 2016 59–103 $103 82 -20 -6.0 48% +32 +34 -6 +6 $3.4M 25.7 3.0 -4.8 +4.4 +0.1 +0.01 +3.0 +0.9 +0.11 0.28 0.07 -20.4 -6.2 0.364
Career total (1985+ data) $103 82 -20 -6.0 48% +32 +34 -6 +6 $3.4M 25.7 3.0 -4.8 +4.4 +0.1 +0.01 +3.0 +0.9 +0.11 0.28 0.07 -20.4 -6.2 0.364

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+4.4
Trade+0.1
Free agency+3.0
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.9
Sourcing mix: 39% draft · 57% FA · 5% trade · 0% R5

Trades

Players acquired — 16 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr RFA PPA CPA
Griffin Jax P MIN Draft 2016 4 +3.9 +1.0
Jason Castro C MIN Free agency 2016 3 +3.4 +1.1 5.6% 0.45%
Robbie Grossman OF MIN Free agency 2016 3 +3.0 +1.0 0.2% 0.06%
Adalberto Mejía P MIN Trade 2016 2 +1.3 +0.6 +0.13
Brandon Kintzler P MIN Trade 2016 2 +1.3 +0.6 0.2% 0.05%
Fernando Abad P MIN Trade 2016 1 +0.5 +0.5 0.1% 0.04%
Buddy Boshers P MIN Trade 2016 1 +0.4 +0.4 0.2% 0.05%
Ben Rortvedt C MIN Draft 2016 1 +0.3 +0.3
Sean Poppen P MIN Draft 2016 2 +0.2 +0.1
Logan Schafer OF MIN Free agency 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0% 0.01%
Justin Haley P MIN Trade 2016 -0.0 -0.01
Alex Kirilloff 1B/OF MIN Draft 2016 2 +0.0 +0.0
Byung Ho Park 1B/DH MIN Draft 2016 1 +0.0 +0.0
Drew Rucinski P MIN Free agency 2016 -0.1
Héctor Santiago P MIN Trade 2016 1 -0.2 -0.2 +0.07 0.0% 0.01%
Alan Busenitz P MIN Trade 2016 1 -0.7 -0.7 +0.07

Trade-side columns: RFA is playoff-readiness percentage points added to the future roster foundation. It grades the franchise's entire side of a trade, so the same score repeats for every player acquired in that package. PPA/CPA remain player-level arrival-year probability points.

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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