RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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GM: Kim Ng

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.4× league · TAB +1.8
+1.8TAB — talent above budget12th/30
-2.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars25th/30
-7.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
41%dead money %22nd/30
0.414win %25th/30
24.6roster fWAR23rd/30
+24surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/30
$50Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFMagneuris Sierra 54GLewis Brinson 33GBryan De La Cruz 24G
LFLewis Brinson 51GJesús Sánchez 21GJorge Alfaro 21G
RFGarrett Cooper 41GJesús Sánchez 41GBryan De La Cruz 23G
SSMiguel Rojas 128GJazz Chisholm Jr. 37GJosé Devers 5G
2BJazz Chisholm Jr. 91GIsan Díaz 35GJoe Panik 27G
3BBrian Anderson 65GJon Berti 46GIsan Díaz 37G
1BJesús Aguilar 113GLewin Díaz 32GGarrett Cooper 19G
STARTERSTrevor Rogers 4.0WARSandy Alcantara 4.0WARPablo López 2.2WARZach Thompson 1.3WARBraxton Garrett 0.3WAR
CJorge Alfaro 61GSandy León 60GAlex Jackson 43G
DHJesús Aguilar 4GNick Fortes 3GGarrett Cooper 2G
BULLPEN★ Dylan Floro 15svRichard Bleier 20hAnthony Bass 19hAnthony Bender 12hZach Pop 3hSteven Okert 2hPaul Campbell 0hSean Guenther 0h
CJorge Alfaro 61 · Sandy León 60 · Alex Jackson 43
1BJesús Aguilar 113 · Lewin Díaz 32 · Garrett Cooper 19
2BJazz Chisholm Jr. 91 · Isan Díaz 35 · Joe Panik 27
3BBrian Anderson 65 · Jon Berti 46 · Isan Díaz 37
SSMiguel Rojas 128 · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 37 · José Devers 5
LFLewis Brinson 51 · Jesús Sánchez 21 · Jorge Alfaro 21
CFMagneuris Sierra 54 · Lewis Brinson 33 · Bryan De La Cruz 24
RFGarrett Cooper 41 · Jesús Sánchez 41 · Bryan De La Cruz 23
DHJesús Aguilar 4 · Nick Fortes 3 · Garrett Cooper 2
SPTrevor Rogers 4.0 · Sandy Alcantara 4.0 · Pablo López 2.2 · Zach Thompson 1.3 · Braxton Garrett 0.3
BP★ Dylan Floro 15 · Richard Bleier 20 · Anthony Bass 19 · Anthony Bender 12 · Zach Pop 3 · Steven Okert 2 · Paul Campbell 0 · Sean Guenther 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2021 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Trevor Rogers 23 pre-arb 264.0 0.6 +12.5
Sandy Alcantara 25 pre-arb 334.0 0.6 +12.3
Starling Marte↔ OAK 32 FA-elig 643.2 6.7 +3.6
Pablo López 25 pre-arb 212.2 0.6 +6.4
Miguel Rojas 32 FA-elig 1321.9 5.0 +1.3
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 23 – 1241.8 – –
Dylan Floro 30 arb 681.5 1.0 +4.0
Zach Thompson 27 – 271.3 0.4 +3.9
Jesús Aguilar 31 FA-elig 1311.3 4.3 -0.0
Adam Duvall↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 911.1 1.9 +1.7
Brian Anderson 28 arb 671.0 3.8 -0.4
Richard Bleier 34 arb 681.0 1.4 +1.9
Anthony Bender 26 – 611.0 0.5 +2.8
Jesús Sánchez 23 pre-arb 641.0 0.4 +2.7
Garrett Cooper 30 arb 710.8 1.8 +0.9
Bryan De La Cruz 24 – 580.8 0.2 +2.4
John Curtiss↔ MIL 28 – 380.5 0.3 +1.3
Adam Cimber↔ TOR 30 arb 330.5 0.4 +1.1
Corey Dickerson↔ TOR 32 FA-elig 630.4 5.1 -3.8
Braxton Garrett 23 pre-arb 80.3 0.1 +0.9
Zach Pop 24 – 500.3 0.6 +0.3
Jon Berti 31 pre-arb 850.2 0.6 +0.2
Deven Marrero 30 pre-arb 100.2 0.1 +0.5
Jesús Luzardo↔ OAK 23 pre-arb 120.2 0.1 +0.5
Nick Fortes 24 – 140.2 0.0 +0.5
Lewin Díaz 24 pre-arb 400.1 0.2 +0.3
Yimi García↔ HOU 30 FA-elig 390.1 1.2 -0.7
Steven Okert 29 pre-arb 340.1 0.3 +0.1
Jorge Alfaro 28 arb 920.1 2.0 -1.6
Austin Pruitt↔ HOU 31 pre-arb 40.1 0.3 +0.0
Jordan Holloway 25 pre-arb 130.1 0.3 +0.0
Sean Guenther 25 – 140.1 0.2 +0.1
Bryan Mitchell 30 arb 20.1 0.0 +0.2
Payton Henry 24 – 50.1 0.0 +0.2
Andrew Bellatti 29 pre-arb 30.0 0.0 +0.1
Ross Detwiler↔ SDP 35 FA-elig 460.0 0.7 -0.6
Monte Harrison 25 pre-arb 90.0 0.0 +0.1
Brian Miller 25 – 50.0 0.0 +0.1
Daniel Castano 26 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Luis Marté 27 – 4-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jorge Guzmán 25 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Cody Poteet 26 – 8-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Preston Guilmet 33 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Elieser Hernández 26 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Taylor Williams↔ SDP 29 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Shawn Morimando 28 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.0 -0.4
José Devers 21 – 21-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Eddy Alvarez 31 pre-arb 24-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Paul Campbell 25 – 16-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Alex Jackson↔ ATL 25 pre-arb 42-0.2 0.3 -0.9
Luís Madero 24 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Magneuris Sierra 25 pre-arb 123-0.3 0.6 -1.4
Nick Neidert 24 pre-arb 8-0.3 0.2 -1.1
Lewis Brinson 27 pre-arb 89-0.3 0.4 -1.4
Edward Cabrera 23 – 7-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Anthony Bass 33 FA-elig 70-0.3 1.0 -2.1
Chad Wallach 29 – 23-0.4 0.2 -1.3
David Hess↔ TBR 27 – 14-0.8 0.1 -2.7
Sandy León 32 FA-elig 84-0.9 1.2 -4.3
Joe Panik↔ TOR 30 FA-elig 53-1.1 1.0 -4.5
Isan Díaz 25 pre-arb 89-1.1 0.4 -4.0

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Dylan Floro1.5
Zach Thompson1.3
Adam Duvall1.1
Anthony Bender1.0
Bryan De La Cruz0.8
John Curtiss0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Sixto Sánchez1.0
Francisco Cervelli0.3
James Hoyt0.3
Mike Morin0.1
Pat Venditte0.1
Brian Navarreto0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$50.0M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Starling Marte327.162$6.7MCLUBFREE AGENT
Corey Dickerson327.101$5.1MFREE AGENT
Miguel Rojas326.043$5.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Duvall327.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Sandy León326.144$1.2MFREE AGENT
Joe Panik306.100$1.0MFREE AGENT
Anthony Bass336.010$1.0MFREE AGENT
Ross Detwiler358.011$738kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Jesús Aguilar314.082$4.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Anderson283.031$3.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Alfaro283.083$2.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Cooper303.053$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richard Bleier344.074$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Yimi García305.149$1.2MFREE AGENT
Dylan Floro303.053$975kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edward Cabrera234.147$120kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Mitchell303.054$18kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (44)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Sandy Alcantara252.100$630kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Berti311.168$608kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo López252.093$595kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elieser Hernández262.118$579kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Magneuris Sierra251.138$571kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Pop240.000$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Rogers230.094$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Guzmán250.022$472kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Bender260.000$466kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Devers210.000$457kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Poteet260.000$432kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Cimber302.139$424kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lewis Brinson272.115$423kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesús Sánchez230.033$402kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Thompson270.000$368kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isan Díaz250.131$353kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Curtiss281.045$346kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Okert291.012$294kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Castano260.086$291kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Jackson250.076$282kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Williams292.034$264kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Pruitt312.125$263kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Holloway251.000$255kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan De La Cruz240.000$199kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Guenther250.000$178kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Wallach292.090$169kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Neidert241.000$163kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lewin Díaz240.053$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hess271.146$123kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesús Luzardo231.021$122kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Campbell250.000$101kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddy Alvarez310.075$80kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luís Madero240.038$71kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Deven Marrero302.024$71kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braxton Garrett230.006$67kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Marté27–$52k
Payton Henry240.000$49kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Fortes240.000$49kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Monte Harrison250.105$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Morimando280.033$28kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Preston Guilmet330.110$21kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Bellatti290.072$18kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Miller25–$18k
Jazz Chisholm Jr.231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2021; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.