RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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GM: Kim Ng

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.55× league · TAB -3.6
-3.6TAB — talent above budget18th/30
-5.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars19th/30
-6.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
65%dead money %28th/30
0.426win %22nd/30
23.3roster fWAR23rd/30
-4surplus $M (value vs cost)11th/30
$79Mpayroll $M26th/30

Roster

CFJesús Sánchez 78GBryan De La Cruz 42GJJ Bleday 38G
LFJorge Soler 57GBryan De La Cruz 39GLuke Williams 26G
RFAvisaíl García 86GBryan De La Cruz 41GBrian Anderson 36G
SSMiguel Rojas 136GJoey Wendle 34GJon Berti 10G
2BJazz Chisholm Jr. 60GJon Berti 47GJoey Wendle 33G
3BBrian Anderson 48GJoey Wendle 43GJon Berti 37G
1BGarrett Cooper 59GLewin Díaz 56GMiguel Rojas 10G
STARTERSSandy Alcantara 5.9WARPablo López 3.0WARJesús Luzardo 2.3WARBraxton Garrett 1.5WARTrevor Rogers 0.9WAR
CJacob Stallings 110GNick Fortes 59GPayton Henry 15G
DHGarrett Cooper 56GJorge Soler 14GNick Fortes 13G
BULLPEN★ Tanner Scott 20svSteven Okert 19hRichard Bleier 7hDylan Floro 6hCole Sulser 5hHuascar Brazobán 4hAnthony Bender 3hTommy Nance 2h
CJacob Stallings 110 · Nick Fortes 59 · Payton Henry 15
1BGarrett Cooper 59 · Lewin Díaz 56 · Miguel Rojas 10
2BJazz Chisholm Jr. 60 · Jon Berti 47 · Joey Wendle 33
3BBrian Anderson 48 · Joey Wendle 43 · Jon Berti 37
SSMiguel Rojas 136 · Joey Wendle 34 · Jon Berti 10
LFJorge Soler 57 · Bryan De La Cruz 39 · Luke Williams 26
CFJesús Sánchez 78 · Bryan De La Cruz 42 · JJ Bleday 38
RFAvisaíl García 86 · Bryan De La Cruz 41 · Brian Anderson 36
DHGarrett Cooper 56 · Jorge Soler 14 · Nick Fortes 13
SPSandy Alcantara 5.9 · Pablo López 3.0 · Jesús Luzardo 2.3 · Braxton Garrett 1.5 · Trevor Rogers 0.9
BP★ Tanner Scott 20 · Steven Okert 19 · Richard Bleier 7 · Dylan Floro 6 · Cole Sulser 5 · Huascar Brazobán 4 · Anthony Bender 3 · Tommy Nance 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Sandy Alcantara 26 arb 325.9 3.8 +17.9
Pablo López 26 arb 323.0 2.5 +8.5
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 24 – 602.5 – –
Jesús Luzardo 24 pre-arb 182.3 0.7 +7.6
Jon Berti 32 arb 1022.2 1.2 +6.7
Braxton Garrett 24 pre-arb 171.5 0.4 +5.2
Anthony Bass↔ TOR 34 FA-elig 461.4 1.9 +3.3
Nick Fortes 25 pre-arb 721.3 0.5 +4.1
Garrett Cooper 31 arb 1191.2 2.5 +1.9
Miguel Rojas 33 FA-elig 1401.1 5.0 -1.0
Joey Wendle 32 FA-elig 1011.1 4.5 -0.7
Trevor Rogers 24 pre-arb 230.9 0.7 +2.5
Dylan Floro 31 FA-elig 560.7 3.0 -0.3
Charles Leblanc 26 – 480.6 0.3 +2.1
Jesús Sánchez 24 pre-arb 980.5 0.5 +1.4
Richard Bleier 35 FA-elig 550.5 2.2 -0.4
Bryan De La Cruz 25 – 1150.5 0.6 +1.1
Tanner Scott 27 arb 670.5 1.1 +0.6
Jorge Soler 30 FA-elig 720.4 12.0 -10.6
Edward Cabrera 24 pre-arb 140.4 0.5 +0.9
Zach Pop↔ TOR 25 – 180.3 0.1 +1.0
Tommy Nance 31 pre-arb 350.3 0.5 +0.5
Jeff Brigham 30 pre-arb 160.2 0.2 +0.7
Joe Dunand 26 – 30.2 – –
Brian Anderson 29 arb 980.2 4.5 -3.7
Jake Fishman 27 – 70.1 0.1 +0.4
Daniel Castano 27 pre-arb 100.1 0.5 -0.1
Luke Williams↔ SFG 25 pre-arb 710.1 0.4 -0.1
Huascar Brazobán 32 – 270.0 0.3 -0.2
Aneurys Zabala 25 – 20.0 0.0 +0.1
Nick Neidert 25 pre-arb 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Jordan Holloway 26 pre-arb 10.0 0.3 -0.2
Steven Okert 30 pre-arb 60-0.0 0.7 -0.8
Shawn Armstrong↔ TBR 31 FA-elig 7-0.0 0.1 -0.3
Payton Henry 25 pre-arb 15-0.0 0.2 -0.4
Max Meyer 23 – 2-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Jordan Groshans 22 – 17-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Cody Poteet 27 pre-arb 12-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Billy Hamilton↔ MIN 31 – 20-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Erik González 30 FA-elig 16-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Jerar Encarnacion 24 – 23-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Cole Sulser 32 pre-arb 39-0.1 0.6 -1.1
Anthony Bender 27 pre-arb 22-0.1 0.7 -1.1
Jimmy Yacabonis↔ TBR 30 – 9-0.1 0.1 -0.6
A.J. Ladwig 29 – 1-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Jacob Stallings 32 FA-elig 114-0.2 2.5 -3.3
Louis Head↔ BAL 32 – 23-0.2 0.4 -1.3
JJ Bleday 24 – 65-0.3 0.3 -1.4
Peyton Burdick 25 – 32-0.3 0.2 -1.3
Andrew Nardi 23 – 13-0.4 0.2 -1.7
Bryan Hoeing 25 – 8-0.5 0.1 -1.9
Jesús Aguilar↔ BAL 32 FA-elig 113-0.5 6.4 -8.2
Willians Astudillo 30 pre-arb 21-0.6 0.1 -2.2
Lewin Díaz 25 pre-arb 58-0.7 0.3 -2.8
Elieser Hernández 27 arb 20-0.8 1.3 -4.4
Avisaíl García 31 FA-elig 98-1.0 12.0 -15.7

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Joey Wendle1.1
Charles Leblanc0.6
Tanner Scott0.5
Jorge Soler0.4
Tommy Nance0.3
Jeff Brigham0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Starling Marte3.2
Zach Thompson1.3
Adam Duvall1.1
John Curtiss0.5
Adam Cimber0.5
Corey Dickerson0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$78.9M
2023 guaranteed
$6.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Avisaíl García318.167$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jorge Soler306.143$12.0MFREE AGENT
Miguel Rojas337.043$5.0MVESTFREE AGENT
Sandy Alcantara263.100$3.8M$6.3M$9.3M$17.3M$17.3M$21.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Anthony Bass347.010$1.9MFREE AGENT
Billy Hamilton318.028$378kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Jesús Aguilar325.082$6.4MFREE AGENT
Joey Wendle324.088$4.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Anderson294.031$4.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Floro314.053$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Cooper314.053$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Stallings323.149$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo López263.093$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richard Bleier355.074$2.2MFREE AGENT
Elieser Hernández273.118$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scott273.059$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik González304.139$100kARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Armstrong313.129$98kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (38)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Jon Berti322.168$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Rogers241.093$722kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesús Luzardo241.165$715kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Bender270.153$713kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Okert301.109$709kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Poteet270.145$704kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cole Sulser322.028$645kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan De La Cruz251.000$644kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Nance310.070$515kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Fortes250.017$504kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesús Sánchez240.103$491kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Castano271.009$488kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edward Cabrera240.040$485kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Louis Head320.074$449kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braxton Garrett240.045$431kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Williams250.118$416kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Meyer230.000$312kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lewin Díaz250.104$292kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Holloway261.087$285kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JJ Bleday240.000$282kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Huascar Brazobán320.000$281kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Leblanc260.000$262kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Payton Henry250.017$208kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Brigham302.126$208kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Nardi230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peyton Burdick250.000$177kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerar Encarnacion240.000$173kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willians Astudillo302.141$142kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Yacabonis301.027$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Fishman27–$104k
Bryan Hoeing250.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Pop251.000$96kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Groshans22–$85k
Aneurys Zabala25–$35k
Nick Neidert251.058$15kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Ladwig29–$8k
Joe Dunand26–—
Jazz Chisholm Jr.242.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.