RRosternomics

Dodgers LAD

GM: Kevin Malone

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 5 in this regime · payroll 1.62× league · TAB -0.0
-0.0TAB — talent above budget14th/30
-2.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/30
-3.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
20%dead money %9th/30
0.531win %10th/30
40.2roster fWAR8th/30
-31surplus $M (value vs cost)27th/30
$88Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFTom Goodwin 136GDevon White 40GF.P. Santangelo 27G
LFGary Sheffield 139GF.P. Santangelo 26GBruce Aven 26G
RFShawn Green 161GGerónimo Berroa 2GShawn Gilbert 2G
SSAlex Cora 101GKevin Elster 55GJeff Branson 7G
2BMark Grudzielanek 148GAlex Cora 8GF.P. Santangelo 7G
3BAdrian Beltré 138GDave Hansen 16GKevin Elster 8G
1BEric Karros 153GDave Hansen 16GJim Leyritz 9G
STARTERSKevin Brown 6.4WARChan Ho Park 4.5WARDarren Dreifort 2.0WARIsmael Valdez 0.6WARCarlos Perez 0.1WAR
CTodd Hundley 84GChad Kreuter 78GPaul Lo Duca 20G
DHDave Hansen 5GGary Sheffield 2GTodd Hundley 1G
BULLPEN Jeff Shaw 27svTerry Adams 15hMike Fetters 11hMatt Herges 4hAntonio Osuna 4hAl Reyes 3hOnan Masaoka 0hTrever Miller 0h
CTodd Hundley 84 · Chad Kreuter 78 · Paul Lo Duca 20
1BEric Karros 153 · Dave Hansen 16 · Jim Leyritz 9
2BMark Grudzielanek 148 · Alex Cora 8 · F.P. Santangelo 7
3BAdrian Beltré 138 · Dave Hansen 16 · Kevin Elster 8
SSAlex Cora 101 · Kevin Elster 55 · Jeff Branson 7
LFGary Sheffield 139 · F.P. Santangelo 26 · Bruce Aven 26
CFTom Goodwin 136 · Devon White 40 · F.P. Santangelo 27
RFShawn Green 161 · Gerónimo Berroa 2 · Shawn Gilbert 2
DHDave Hansen 5 · Gary Sheffield 2 · Todd Hundley 1
SPKevin Brown 6.4 · Chan Ho Park 4.5 · Darren Dreifort 2.0 · Ismael Valdez 0.6 · Carlos Perez 0.1
BP Jeff Shaw 27 · Terry Adams 15 · Mike Fetters 11 · Matt Herges 4 · Antonio Osuna 4 · Al Reyes 3 · Onan Masaoka 0 · Trever Miller 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2000 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Gary Sheffield 31 FA-elig 1416.6 9.9 -0.6
Kevin Brown 35 FA-elig 336.4 15.7 -6.6
Chan Ho Park 27 FA-elig 344.5 3.9 +2.5
Adrian Beltré 21 pre-arb 1383.9 1.0 +4.5
Shawn Green 27 FA-elig 1623.2 9.4 -4.9
Todd Hundley 31 FA-elig 902.6 6.1 -2.4
Chad Kreuter 35 FA-elig 802.6 0.5 +3.1
Darren Dreifort 28 FA-elig 322.0 3.7 -0.9
Eric Karros 32 FA-elig 1551.5 5.4 -3.2
Matt Herges 30 pre-arb 591.4 0.2 +1.8
Mark Grudzielanek 30 arb 1481.4 3.0 -1.0
Dave Hansen 31 FA-elig 1021.4 0.5 +1.5
Todd Hollandsworth↔ COL 27 arb 811.0 0.9 +0.5
Terry Adams 27 arb 660.8 1.4 -0.3
Tom Goodwin↔ COL 31 FA-elig 560.6 1.3 -0.4
Antonio Osuna 27 arb 460.6 0.2 +0.6
Ismael Valdez↔ CHC 26 FA-elig 90.6 2.3 -1.5
Jeff Shaw 33 FA-elig 600.5 5.4 -4.6
Paul Lo Duca 28 340.5
Chris Donnels 34 270.4
Kevin Elster 35 FA-elig 800.3 0.3 +0.2
Bruce Aven↔ PIT 28 arb 90.2 0.0 +0.3
Onan Masaoka 22 pre-arb 290.2 0.2 +0.1
Al Reyes↔ BAL 30 arb 60.2 0.2 +0.1
Luke Prokopec 22 60.1
Carlos Perez 29 arb 320.1 5.3 -5.2
Hiram Bocachica 24 80.1
Geronimo Berroa 35 240.1
Jamie Arnold↔ CHC 26 2-0.0
Adam Melhuse↔ COL 28 1-0.0
Mike Judd 25 1-0.0
Mike Fetters 35 FA-elig 51-0.0 0.6 -0.6
Trever Miller↔ PHI 27 arb 2-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Alan Mills↔ BAL 33 FA-elig 18-0.1 1.0 -1.1
Shawn Gilbert 35 15-0.1
Gregg Olson 33 FA-elig 13-0.1 1.2 -1.4
Eric Gagne 24 20-0.1
Jeff Branson 33 18-0.1
Mike Metcalfe 27 4-0.2
Jeff Williams 28 7-0.2
Jose Vizcaino↔ NYY 32 FA-elig 40-0.2 1.2 -1.5
Devon White 37 FA-elig 47-0.3 4.0 -4.5
Alex Cora 24 109-0.3
F.P. Santangelo 32 arb 81-0.4 0.8 -1.3
Jim Leyritz↔ NYY 36 FA-elig 41-0.6 0.6 -1.5
Orel Hershiser 41 FA-elig 10-0.6 2.0 -2.9

Key additions (new vs 1999)

PlayerfWAR
Shawn Green3.2
Chad Kreuter2.6
Terry Adams0.8
Tom Goodwin0.6
Chris Donnels0.4
Kevin Elster0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1999)

Player1999 fWAR
Raul Mondesi2.0
Eric Young Sr.1.8
Craig Counsell0.4
Mike Maddux0.4
Angel Pena0.3
Dave Mlicki0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2000 payroll
$88.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2000, 2000–2006. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Kevin Brown3514.000$15.7M$15.7M$15.7M$15.7MFREE AGENT
Gary Sheffield3112.000$9.9M$9.9MFREE AGENT
Shawn Green277.000$9.4M$12.2M$13.4M$15.7M$16.7MFREE AGENT
Todd Hundley3110.000$6.1MFREE AGENT$6.5M
Jeff Shaw3310.000$5.4M$6.4MFREE AGENT
Eric Karros329.000$5.4M$7.5M$6.9MFREE AGENT
Devon White3715.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park276.000$3.9M$9.9MFREE AGENT
Darren Dreifort286.000$3.7M$9.4MFREE AGENT$12.4M$12.4M
Ismael Valdez266.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Orel Hershiser4117.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Tom Goodwin319.000$1.3M$3.4MFREE AGENT
Gregg Olson3312.000$1.2M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jose Vizcaino3211.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Alan Mills3310.000$988kFREE AGENT
Jim Leyritz3610.000$631kFREE AGENT
Mike Fetters3511.000$550k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Chad Kreuter3512.000$500k$900k$1.1MFREE AGENT
Dave Hansen3110.000$475k$625k$675kFREE AGENT
Kevin Elster3514.000$300kFREE AGENT
Geronimo Berroa3511.000FREE AGENT
Jeff Branson338.000FREE AGENT
Chris Donnels349.000$300kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Carlos Perez295.000$5.3MFREE AGENT
Mark Grudzielanek305.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Terry Adams275.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Todd Hollandsworth275.000$857kFREE AGENT
F.P. Santangelo325.000$750kFREE AGENT
Antonio Osuna275.000$250kFREE AGENT
Al Reyes305.000$196kFREE AGENT
Bruce Aven283.000$36kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trever Miller274.000$35kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Judd253.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2000200120022003200420052006
Adrian Beltré212.000$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Onan Masaoka221.000$230kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Herges301.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Gilbert35
Alex Cora242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Lo Duca282.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Metcalfe27
Jamie Arnold26
Hiram Bocachica240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Gagne241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Prokopec220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Williams28
Adam Melhuse280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Dodgers 2000; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3