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Astros HOU

2018103–59 (0.636)Made Playoffs
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GM: Jeff Luhnow

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2018, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$175M
Surplus $M
+34
Win %
0.636
TAB
+23.7
WAB
+17.3
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
61.4
Dead money %
19%
Depth Players
11.0
Dead WAR
-1.9

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2018 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RMax Stassi82
LBrian McCann62
RMartín Maldonado⇄41
RTim Federowicz⇄10
REvan Gattis2

1B

RYuli Gurriel109
RTyler White42
BMarwin Gonzalez24
RJ.D. Davis13
LAJ Reed1

2B

RJose Altuve130
BMarwin Gonzalez32
RYuli Gurriel15
LTony Kemp7
RAlex Bregman2

3B

RAlex Bregman136
RJ.D. Davis23
RYuli Gurriel21
BMarwin Gonzalez3

SS

RCarlos Correa109
BMarwin Gonzalez39
RAlex Bregman28
RYuli Gurriel2

LF

BMarwin Gonzalez73
LTony Kemp61
LJosh Reddick43
LDerek Fisher26
LKyle Tucker20
RJ.D. Davis5
RAlex Bregman1
RGeorge Springer1
RJake Marisnick1
RMyles Straw1

CF

RJake Marisnick96
RGeorge Springer80
LTony Kemp32
LDerek Fisher9
RMyles Straw3
BMarwin Gonzalez2
LKyle Tucker1

RF

LJosh Reddick111
RGeorge Springer77
RMyles Straw5
LDerek Fisher3
LKyle Tucker3
LTony Kemp2
RJake Marisnick1
BMarwin Gonzalez1

DH

REvan Gattis110
RTyler White20
RGeorge Springer9
RYuli Gurriel8
RJose Altuve6
LDerek Fisher2
RJake Marisnick2
RCarlos Correa1
LBrian McCann1
BMarwin Gonzalez1
LJosh Reddick1
LTony Kemp1
RMax Stassi1

Starters

RJustin Verlander6.6 WAR
RGerrit Cole5.8 WAR
LDallas Keuchel3.2 WAR
RCharlie Morton2.8 WAR
RLance McCullers Jr.2.4 WAR
RBrad Peacock0.5 WAR
RJosh James0.4 WAR
LFramber Valdez0.0 WAR
RChris Devenski-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

★ RHector Rondon15 sv
RChris Devenski18 h
RWill Harris15 h
RCollin McHugh12 h
RJoe Smith11 h
RBrad Peacock10 h
LTony Sipp10 h
RKen Giles⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2017)

PlayerfWAR
Gerrit Cole5.8
Héctor Rondón1.3
Ryan Pressly1.0
Martín Maldonado0.7
Roberto Osuna0.6
Josh James0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2017)

Player2017 fWAR
Joe Musgrove0.9
Norichika Aoki0.5
Michael Feliz0.4
Francis Martes0.2
Colin Moran0.2
David Paulino0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Astros. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2018; everyone else is shown as a 2018 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Gerrit Cole 2018 +5.8 +116.4 6.8 +109.6 $1.2M 2.50× Free Agent · 2020–2028 · $36.0M AAV
Justin Verlander 2018 +6.6 +132.1 28.0 +104.1 $4.2M 2.50× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $13.0M AAV
Alex Bregman 2018 +7.9 +90.2 0.6 +89.6 $0.1M 1.43× Free Agent · 2026–2030 · $35.0M AAV
Jose Altuve 2018 +5.8 +63.9 9.0 +54.9 $1.6M 1.38× Extension · 2025–2029 · $25.0M AAV
Carlos Correa 2018 +3.7 +39.4 1.0 +38.4 $0.3M 1.32× Free Agent · 2023–2032 · $33.3M AAV
Charlie Morton 2018 +2.8 +44.5 7.0 +37.5 $2.5M 1.96× –
Dallas Keuchel 2018 +3.2 +49.6 13.2 +36.4 $4.2M 1.96× –
George Springer 2018 +3.2 +40.6 12.0 +28.6 $3.8M 1.60× Free Agent · 2021–2026 · $25.0M AAV
Lance McCullers Jr. 2018 +2.4 +28.9 2.5 +26.5 $1.0M 1.49× Extension · 2022–2026 · $17.0M AAV
Max Stassi 2018 +2.9 +23.2 0.6 +22.7 $0.2M 1.00× –
Marwin Gonzalez 2018 +1.8 +17.9 5.1 +12.8 $2.8M 1.22× –
Ryan Pressly↔ 2018 +1.0 +10.7 0.5 +10.2 $0.5M 1.34× –
Josh Reddick 2018 +2.3 +22.8 13.0 +9.8 $5.5M 1.22× –
Tyler White 2018 +1.6 +10.1 0.3 +9.8 $0.2M 0.81× –
Héctor Rondón 2018 +1.3 +13.4 4.0 +9.4 $3.2M 1.34× –
Jake Marisnick 2018 +1.2 +8.1 1.9 +6.2 $1.6M 0.83× –
Tony Kemp 2018 +0.8 +5.5 0.4 +5.1 $0.5M 0.83× –
Brad Peacock 2018 +0.5 +5.8 2.4 +3.4 $4.5M 1.34× –
Will Harris 2018 +1.1 +6.0 2.8 +3.2 $2.5M 0.67× –
Roberto Osuna↔ 2018 +0.6 +6.3 3.2 +3.1 $5.4M 1.34× –
Josh James 2018 +0.4 +3.1 0.1 +3.0 $0.2M 1.02× –
Collin McHugh 2018 +1.3 +7.2 5.0 +2.2 $3.7M 0.67× –
Martín Maldonado↔ 2018 +0.7 +2.7 1.3 +1.4 $2.0M 0.52× –
Myles Straw 2018 +0.2 +1.4 0.0 +1.4 $0.2M 0.83× Pre-arb extension · 2022–2024 · $5.0M AAV
Ken Giles↔ 2018 +0.7 +3.8 2.8 +1.0 $4.0M 0.67× –
Framber Valdez 2018 +0.0 +0.4 0.1 +0.3 $2.5M 1.02× Free Agent · 2029–2029 · $38.3M AAV
James Hoyt 2018 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 0.67× –
Reymin Guduan 2018 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 – 0.67× –
AJ Reed 2018 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.3 – 0.56× –
Yuli Gurriel 2018 +1.9 +12.1 12.4 -0.3 $6.6M 0.81× –
Dean Deetz 2018 -0.1 -0.3 0.3 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Tim Federowicz↔ 2018 -0.2 -0.7 0.1 -0.9 – 0.52× –
Cionel Pérez 2018 -0.2 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Tony Sipp 2018 +0.8 +4.5 6.0 -1.5 $7.2M 0.67× –
Chris Devenski 2018 -0.1 -1.1 0.6 -1.7 – 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Derek Fisher 2018 -0.3 -1.7 0.6 -2.2 – 0.83× –
Kyle Tucker 2018 -0.4 -3.0 0.1 -3.1 – 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2029 · $60.0M AAV
J.D. Davis 2018 -0.6 -2.8 0.6 -3.4 – 0.58× –
Joe Smith 2018 +0.2 +1.0 7.0 -6.0 $37.7M 0.67× –
Evan Gattis 2018 +0.1 +0.4 6.7 -6.3 $100.2M 0.69× –
Brian McCann 2018 +0.3 +1.4 17.0 -15.6 $49.1M 0.52× –
Total—+61.1+762.6175.2+587.4—

Trades

Every graded 2018 deal involving the Astros — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2018 · HOU / PIT
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$165.6M
Gerrit Cole
PIT · Neal Huntington −$165.6M
Joe Musgrove, Michael Feliz, Colin Moran, Jason Martin
HOU came out ahead by $165.6M
2018 · TOR / HOU
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$3.2M
Trent Thornton
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$3.2M
Aledmys Díaz
TOR came out ahead by $3.2M
2018 · ANA / HOU
ANA · Billy Eppler +$44.0M
Patrick Sandoval
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$44.0M
Martín Maldonado
ANA came out ahead by $44.0M
2018 · HOU / CLE
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$0.0M
Tommy DeJuneas
CLE · Chris Antonetti +$0.0M
James Hoyt
Even trade
2018 · HOU / TOR
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$3.2M
Roberto Osuna
TOR · Mark Shapiro −$3.2M
Ken Giles, David Paulino, Hector Perez
HOU came out ahead by $3.2M
2018 · HOU / MIN
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$8.8M
Ryan Pressly
MIN · Derek Falvey −$8.8M
Jorge Alcalá, Gilberto Celestino
HOU came out ahead by $8.8M

Current & Historical Payroll

2018 payroll
$175.4M
2019 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2018, 2018–2024. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2018; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Justin Verlander3512.002$28.0MFREE AGENT
Brian McCann3412.117$17.0MFREE AGENT
Josh Reddick317.050$13.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Altuve286.072$9.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Smith3410.091$7.0MFREE AGENT
Charlie Morton349.009$7.0MFREE AGENT
Tony Sipp348.100$6.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Dallas Keuchel305.089$13.2MFREE AGENT
George Springer283.166$12.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerrit Cole274.111$6.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Gattis315.000$6.7MFREE AGENT
Marwin Gonzalez295.133$5.1MFREE AGENT
Collin McHugh314.084$5.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Rondón305.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Roberto Osuna233.000$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Giles273.113$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Harris334.102$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Peacock303.165$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick273.145$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Maldonado315.156$1.3MFREE AGENT
Ryan Pressly294.039$540kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Federowicz303.022$117kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2018201920202021202220232024
Yuli Gurriel342.000$12.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lance McCullers Jr.242.140$2.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Correa232.119$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Devenski272.000$599kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Bregman241.070$599kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Stassi271.049$557kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Fisher240.075$554kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Davis250.058$550kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Kemp260.132$404kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dean Deetz240.027$340kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler White271.006$278kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cionel Pérez220.000$196kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Tucker210.000$146kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Framber Valdez240.000$120kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh James250.000$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Myles Straw230.000$47kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reymin Guduan260.068$44kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Hoyt311.034$24kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Reed250.110$18kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2018 acquisition stacked onto Astros's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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