Rosternomics
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Astros HOU

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GM: Jeff Luhnow (since 2012)

2017 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+17.9
WAB — wins above budget
+20.4
TAB — roster Talent above budget
101–61 (0.623)
record · World Series champions
+46M
surplus $M (value/$)
55.8
roster fWAR
$142.5M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jose Altuve 27 FA-elig 153 7.7 4.5 +21.5
Carlos Correa 22 pre-arb 109 4.9 0.5 +16.0
Alex Bregman 23 pre-arb 155 4.7 0.5 +15.3
George Springer 27 arb 140 4.4 3.9 +10.9
Marwin Gonzalez 28 arb 134 4.4 3.7 +11.1
Josh Reddick 30 FA-elig 134 3.8 13.0 -0.2
Brad Peacock 29 FA-elig 34 3.4 0.5 +10.8
Charlie Morton 33 FA-elig 25 3.1 7.0 +3.3
Lance McCullers Jr. 23 pre-arb 22 2.8 0.5 +8.9
Brian McCann 33 FA-elig 97 2.5 17.0 -8.6
Dallas Keuchel 29 arb 23 2.2 9.2 -1.6
Yuli Gurriel 33 pre-arb 139 2.0 14.4 -7.7
Jake Marisnick 26 arb 106 1.9 1.1 +5.5
Ken Giles 26 arb 63 1.8 0.6 +5.5
Chris Devenski 26 pre-arb 62 1.3 0.6 +3.8
Evan Gattis 30 arb 84 1.2 5.2 -1.0
Collin McHugh 30 arb 12 1.1 3.9 -0.3
Justin Verlander↔ DET 34 FA-elig 5 1.0 4.2 -0.7
Joe Musgrove 24 pre-arb 38 0.9 0.5 +2.4
Will Harris 32 arb 46 0.8 2.2 +0.5
Norichika Aoki↔ NYM 35 arb 71 0.5 3.5 -1.8
James Hoyt 30 pre-arb 43 0.5 0.4 +1.3
Michael Feliz 24 pre-arb 46 0.4 0.5 +0.7
Francis Martes 21 – 32 0.2 0.3 +0.5
Colin Moran 24 pre-arb 7 0.2 0.2 +0.5
J.D. Davis 24 – 25 0.2 0.2 +0.5
Max Stassi 26 pre-arb 14 0.2 0.1 +0.5
David Paulino 23 pre-arb 6 0.1 0.5 -0.1
Tyler White 26 pre-arb 22 0.1 0.1 +0.3
Francisco Liriano↔ TOR 33 FA-elig 20 0.0 7.2 -7.1
Dayan Díaz 28 – 10 0.0 0.1 +0.0
Derek Fisher 23 – 53 0.0 0.2 -0.1
Reymin Guduan 25 – 22 0.0 0.2 -0.1
Ashur Tolliver 29 – 3 0.0 0.0 +0.0
Mike Fiers 32 FA-elig 30 -0.0 3.5 -3.6
Jandel Gustave 24 pre-arb 6 -0.1 0.5 -0.7
Tyler Clippard↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 16 -0.1 1.5 -1.7
Cameron Maybin↔ ANA 30 FA-elig 21 -0.1 1.7 -1.9
Teoscar Hernández↔ TOR 24 – 1 -0.1 0.0 -0.3
Luke Gregerson 33 FA-elig 65 -0.1 6.2 -6.6
AJ Reed 24 pre-arb 2 -0.1 0.0 -0.5
Tony Sipp 33 FA-elig 46 -0.2 6.0 -6.7
Jordan Jankowski 28 – 3 -0.2 0.0 -0.8
Juan Centeno 27 pre-arb 22 -0.2 0.2 -0.9
Tony Kemp 25 pre-arb 17 -0.3 0.1 -1.0
Carlos Beltrán 40 FA-elig 129 -1.2 16.0 -20.1

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for HOU
Jeff Bagwell199080.2
Yordan Álvarez201626.7
Mike Scott198221.9
Justin Verlander201719.7
Mike Hampton199319.2
Kevin Bass198217.5
Nolan Ryan198516.2
Moisés Alou199713.5
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Kenny Lofton199142.5
Curt Schilling199236.3
Ben Zobrist200633.1
Ken Caminiti199417.4
Freddy García199815.6
Jed Lowrie201313.0
Ramón Laureano20179.2
Patrick Sandoval20188.9
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.