Rosternomics

Astros HOU

201255–107 (0.340)
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GM: Jeff Luhnow

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2012, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$44M
Win %
0.340
TAB
-8.3
WAB
-16.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
16.0
Dead money %
52%
Depth Players
2.0
Dead WAR
-6.4

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2012 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

LJason Castro79
RChris Snyder72
BCarlos Corporán24

1B

LBrett Wallace58
RMatt Downs25
LScott Moore19
RChris Johnson6
RBrandon Laird4
RChris Snyder1

2B

RJose Altuve147
RTyler Greene23
BMarwin Gonzalez6
LScott Moore6
RBrian Bixler5
BJimmy Paredes5
RMatt Downs3

3B

RMatt Dominguez31
LScott Moore28
RMatt Downs18
BMarwin Gonzalez14
RBrandon Laird8
LBrett Wallace8
RBrian Bixler4

SS

BJed Lowrie93
BMarwin Gonzalez47
RTyler Greene16
RBrian Bixler6
RMatt Downs1

LF

RJ.D. Martinez100
RJustin Maxwell38
LFernando Martinez31
RSteve Pearce12
LTravis Buck11
RBrian Bixler3
LScott Moore2
RMatt Downs2
RBrandon Barnes1
LBrian Bogusevic1
BJimmy Paredes1

CF

LJordan Schafer87
RJustin Maxwell59
RBrandon Barnes32
LBrian Bogusevic20

RF

LBrian Bogusevic104
RJustin Maxwell20
BJimmy Paredes15
LScott Moore15
RMatt Downs11
LTravis Buck10
RSteve Pearce10
RBrian Bixler9
LFernando Martinez6
RBrandon Barnes5
RChris Johnson1
RWesley Wright1

DH

RJ.D. Martinez5
RCarlos Lee1

Starters

RLucas Harrell2.7 WAR
LWandy Rodriguez1.6 WAR
RBud Norris1.5 WAR
RJordan Lyles1.0 WAR
LJ.A. Happ0.7 WAR
REdgar Gonzalez0.3 WAR
LFernando Abad0.2 WAR
RAneury Rodriguez-0.0 WAR
RKyle Weiland-0.3 WAR
LDallas Keuchel-0.6 WAR
RArmando Galarraga-0.7 WAR

Bullpen

RWilton Lopez10 sv
LWesley Wright19 h
RFernando Rodriguez13 h
LXavier Cedeno6 h
RRhiner Cruz0 h
RBrandon Lyon0 h
RBrett Myers0 h
RDavid Carpenter0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Jed Lowrie2.4
Justin Maxwell1.9
Scott Moore0.7
Mickey Storey0.5
Tyler Greene0.4
Jason Castro0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Clint Barmes2.7
Michael Bourn2.7
Hunter Pence1.9
Jason Bourgeois1.0
Mark Melancon0.8
Jeff Keppinger0.5

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Astros. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2012; everyone else is shown as a 2012 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Lucas Harrell 2012 +2.7 +41.6 0.5 +41.1 $0.2M 1.96×
Jed Lowrie 2012 +2.4 +17.5 1.1 +16.4 $0.5M 0.89×
Wilton Lopez 2012 +1.3 +14.0 0.5 +13.4 $0.4M 1.34×
Wandy Rodriguez 2012 +1.6 +19.5 6.2 +13.3 $3.8M 1.49×
Jose Altuve 2012 +2.0 +12.7 0.5 +12.3 $0.2M 0.82× Extension · 2025–2029 · $25.0M AAV
Bud Norris 2012 +1.5 +11.9 0.5 +11.4 $0.3M 1.02×
Jordan Lyles 2012 +1.0 +7.7 0.5 +7.3 $0.5M 1.02×
J.A. Happ 2012 +0.7 +5.3 1.6 +3.7 $2.5M 1.02×
Carlos Corporán 2012 +0.9 +3.9 0.5 +3.4 $0.5M 0.52×
Chris Johnson 2012 +0.7 +2.9 0.3 +2.6 $0.5M 0.56×
Scott Moore 2012 +0.7 +3.0 0.5 +2.5 $0.7M 0.58×
Mickey Storey 2012 +0.5 +2.6 0.5 +2.1 $1.0M 0.67×
Wesley Wright 2012 +0.5 +2.5 0.5 +2.0 $1.1M 0.67×
Edgar Gonzalez 2012 +0.3 +2.1 0.5 +1.6 $1.9M 1.02×
Tyler Greene 2012 +0.4 +1.7 0.2 +1.6 $0.4M 0.56×
Xavier Cedeño 2012 +0.3 +1.9 0.5 +1.4 $1.4M 0.67×
Hector Ambriz 2012 +0.3 +1.7 0.5 +1.2 $1.5M 0.67×
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. 2012 +0.3 +1.5 0.5 +1.0 $1.8M 0.67×
Jason Castro 2012 +0.4 +1.5 0.5 +1.0 $1.4M 0.52×
Matt Dominguez 2012 +0.3 +1.4 0.5 +0.9 $1.6M 0.58×
Fernando Martinez 2012 +0.2 +1.0 0.5 +0.5 $3.2M 0.83×
Chris Snyder 2012 +0.3 +1.2 0.8 +0.4 $2.6M 0.52×
Fernando Abad 2012 +0.2 +0.8 0.5 +0.4 $3.1M 0.67×
Brandon Laird 2012 +0.1 +0.2 0.5 -0.2 $9.2M 0.58×
Travis Buck 2012 +0.0 +0.3 0.6 -0.2 $11.6M 0.83×
Enerio Del Rosario 2012 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.3 $17.1M 0.67×
Brandon Barnes 2012 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.4 $47.0M 0.83×
David Carpenter 2012 -0.0 -0.1 0.4 -0.6 0.67×
Brandon Lyon 2012 +0.4 +2.1 3.0 -0.9 $7.8M 0.67×
Brett Wallace 2012 -0.1 -0.6 0.5 -1.1 0.56×
Ben Francisco 2012 -0.1 -1.0 0.6 -1.6 0.83×
Matt Downs 2012 -0.4 -1.6 0.5 -2.1 0.56×
J.D. Martinez 2012 -0.3 -2.0 0.5 -2.5 0.83×
Rhiner Cruz 2012 -0.4 -2.1 0.5 -2.6 0.67×
Kyle Weiland 2012 -0.3 -2.7 0.5 -3.1 1.02×
Marwin Gonzalez 2012 -0.6 -2.8 0.5 -3.3 0.61×
Jordan Schafer 2012 -0.4 -2.9 0.5 -3.4 0.83×
Brian Bogusevic 2012 -0.5 -3.1 0.5 -3.6 0.83×
Carlos Lee 2012 +0.8 +4.3 8.4 -4.1 $10.7M 0.69×
Francisco Cordero 2012 -0.4 -4.0 0.6 -4.5 1.34×
Brett Myers 2012 -0.0 -0.0 5.5 -5.5 0.67×
Dallas Keuchel 2012 -0.6 -5.2 0.5 -5.6 1.02×
Jimmy Paredes 2012 -0.8 -5.4 0.5 -5.9 0.83×
Aneury Rodriguez 2012 -0.0 -0.2 1.02×
Armando Galarraga 2012 -0.7 -5.5 1.02×
Brian Bixler 2012 -0.0 -0.3 0.83×
C.J. Fick 2012 -0.5 -2.5 0.67×
Jose G. Valdez 2012 +0.0 +0.1 0.67×
Justin Maxwell 2012 +1.9 +18.5 1.22×
Steve Pearce 2012 -0.2 -1.1 0.83×
Total+16.4+142.544.3+90.0

Trades

Every graded 2012 deal involving the Astros — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 10 total.

2012 · ARI / HOU
ARI · Kevin Towers +$7.2M
Chris Johnson
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$7.2M
Bobby Borchering, Marc Krauss
ARI came out ahead by $7.2M
2012 · HOU / CHW
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$31.2M
Blair Walters, Matt Heidenreich, Chris Devenski
CHW · Kenny Williams −$31.2M
Brett Myers
HOU came out ahead by $31.2M
2012 · HOU / LAD
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$0.0M
John Ely
LAD · Ned Colletti +$0.0M
Rob Rasmussen
Even trade
2012 · MIA / HOU
MIA · Larry Beinfest +$36.0M
Justin Ruggiano
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$36.0M
Jobduan Morales
MIA came out ahead by $36.0M
2012 · HOU / TBR
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$3.2M
Theron Geith
TBR · Andrew Friedman −$3.2M
Ben Francisco
HOU came out ahead by $3.2M
2012 · TOR / HOU
TOR · Alex Anthopoulos +$77.6M
J. A. Happ, David Carpenter, Brandon Lyon
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$77.6M
Ben Francisco, Francisco Cordero, Asher Wojciechowski, Carlos Pérez, David Rollins, Joe Musgrove, Kevin Comer
TOR came out ahead by $77.6M
2012 · HOU / KCR
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$4.8M
Kevin Chapman, D'Andre Toney
KCR · Dayton Moore −$4.8M
Jason Bourgeois, Humberto Quintero
HOU came out ahead by $4.8M
2012 · MIA / HOU
MIA · Larry Beinfest +$1.6M
Carlos Lee
HOU · Jeff Luhnow −$1.6M
Matt Dominguez, Rob Rasmussen
MIA came out ahead by $1.6M
2012 · HOU / COL
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$4.0M
Alex White, Alex Gillingham
COL · Daniel O'Dowd −$4.0M
Wilton López, Jose Monzon
HOU came out ahead by $4.0M
2012 · HOU / PIT
HOU · Jeff Luhnow +$28.8M
Colton Cain, Robbie Grossman, Rudy Owens
PIT · Neal Huntington −$28.8M
Wandy Rodríguez
HOU came out ahead by $28.8M

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$43.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Carlos Lee3612.150$8.4MFREE AGENT
Wandy Rodriguez336.105$6.2MFREE AGENT
Brett Myers319.068$5.5MFREE AGENT
Brandon Lyon329.142$3.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Snyder317.047$750kFREE AGENT
Francisco Cordero3712.046$574kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
J.A. Happ293.047$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jed Lowrie283.111$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Francisco304.049$581kARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Buck283.048$580kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Gonzalez293.148$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bixler294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Armando Galarraga303.148ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Pearce295.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (36)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Wilton Lopez282.038$516kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wesley Wright272.105$512kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bud Norris272.068$511kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Rodriguez Jr.280.142$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Schafer251.121$489kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Downs282.094$488kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Castro251.104$486kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Abad260.147$485kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bogusevic280.146$483kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Martinez240.061$483kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Altuve220.072$483kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Laird240.037$482kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Harrell272.083$482kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Weiland250.040$482kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Moore281.071$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Corporán280.126$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Martinez231.073$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mickey Storey260.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Ambriz281.000$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rhiner Cruz251.000$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Cedeño250.018$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enerio Del Rosario262.000$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Barnes260.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Wallace251.043$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Lyles210.080$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Dominguez222.062$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marwin Gonzalez230.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Paredes232.059$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dallas Keuchel240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Carpenter260.092$442kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Johnson271.144$335kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Greene281.097$162kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aneury Rodriguez242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose G. Valdez29
Justin Maxwell281.066Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
C.J. Fick26

Graphs

How each 2012 acquisition stacked onto Astros's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.