Rosternomics
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Astros HOU

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GM: David Gottfried (since 2011)

2011 roster — every player, value & surplus

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-21.6
WAB — wins above budget
-11.6
TAB — roster Talent above budget
56–106 (0.346)
record
-20M
surplus $M (value/$)
18.5
roster fWAR
$67.8M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Carlos Lee 35 FA-elig 155 2.9 19.0 -12.0
Clint Barmes 32 FA-elig 123 2.7 3.9 +2.8
Michael Bourn↔ ATL 28 arb 105 2.7 2.9 +3.6
Brian Bogusevic 27 pre-arb 87 2.1 0.4 +4.6
Hunter Pence↔ PHI 28 arb 100 1.9 4.5 +0.3
Bud Norris 26 pre-arb 31 1.8 0.4 +3.9
Brett Myers 30 FA-elig 34 1.7 8.0 -3.7
Wandy Rodriguez 32 FA-elig 30 1.5 7.5 -3.8
Matt Downs 27 pre-arb 106 1.2 0.4 +2.5
J.D. Martinez 23 – 53 1.1 0.4 +2.3
Jason Bourgeois 29 arb 93 1.0 0.4 +2.1
J.A. Happ 28 arb 29 0.9 0.5 +1.8
Mark Melancon 26 pre-arb 71 0.8 0.4 +1.5
Jeff Keppinger↔ SFG 31 FA-elig 43 0.5 1.0 +0.3
Wilton Lopez 27 pre-arb 73 0.5 0.4 +0.8
Angel Sanchez 27 arb 110 0.4 0.4 +0.5
Jordan Lyles 20 – 20 0.4 0.4 +0.5
Jimmy Paredes 22 pre-arb 46 0.4 0.4 +0.5
Carlos Corporán 27 pre-arb 52 0.3 0.4 +0.3
Jose Altuve 21 – 57 0.2 0.2 +0.3
Lucas Harrell↔ CHW 26 – 6 0.2 0.3 +0.2
Nelson Figueroa 37 FA-elig 8 0.2 0.9 -0.5
JB Shuck 24 – 37 0.2 0.4 -0.0
Henry Sosa 25 – 10 0.2 – –
Wesley Wright 26 pre-arb 21 0.1 0.4 -0.2
Jordan Schafer↔ ATL 24 – 30 0.0 0.2 -0.1
Aneury Rodriguez 23 pre-arb 43 -0.0 0.4 -0.5
Sergio Escalona 26 pre-arb 49 -0.0 0.4 -0.5
Juan Abreu 26 – 7 -0.0 0.4 -0.5
Jose G. Valdez 28 – 12 -0.1 – –
David Carpenter 25 – 34 -0.1 0.4 -0.6
Luis Durango 25 – 2 -0.1 – –
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. 27 – 47 -0.1 – –
Robinson Cancel 35 – 2 -0.2 – –
J.R. Towles 27 arb 54 -0.2 0.4 -0.8
Jeff Fulchino↔ SDP 31 arb 36 -0.2 0.4 -1.0
Lance Pendleton↔ NYY 27 – 4 -0.3 – –
Xavier Cedeño 24 – 3 -0.3 – –
Joe Inglett 33 – 20 -0.3 – –
Enerio Del Rosario 25 pre-arb 54 -0.3 0.4 -1.1
Fernando Abad 25 pre-arb 29 -0.4 0.4 -1.5
Brandon Lyon 31 FA-elig 15 -0.5 5.2 -6.6
Jason Michaels 35 FA-elig 89 -0.6 0.9 -2.3
Brett Wallace 24 pre-arb 115 -0.9 0.4 -2.6
Chris Johnson 26 pre-arb 107 -0.9 0.4 -2.6
Bill Hall↔ SFG 31 FA-elig 46 -0.9 2.2 -4.5
Humberto Quintero 31 FA-elig 79 -0.9 1.0 -3.3

47 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 39 of them (83%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for HOU
Jeff Bagwell199080.2
Yordan Álvarez201626.7
Mike Scott198221.9
Justin Verlander201719.7
Mike Hampton199319.2
Kevin Bass198217.5
Nolan Ryan198516.2
Moisés Alou199713.5
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Kenny Lofton199142.5
Curt Schilling199236.3
Ben Zobrist200633.1
Ken Caminiti199417.4
Freddy García199815.6
Jed Lowrie201313.0
Ramón Laureano20179.2
Patrick Sandoval20188.9
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.