RRosternomics
𝕏

Tigers DET

‹ ›

GM: Sam Menzin

Overview

REBUILD → steady
cheap & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 0.92× league · TAB -20.1
-20.1TAB — talent above budget29th/30
-14.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)28th/30
1.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars29th/30
-6.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/30
56%dead money %26th/30
0.407win %25th/30
13.1roster fWAR28th/30
-84surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$132Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFRiley Greene 93GDerek Hill 30GAkil Baddoo 16G
LFAkil Baddoo 50GWilli Castro 27GVictor Reyes 19G
RFVictor Reyes 63GWilli Castro 40GAustin Meadows 18G
SSJavier Báez 133GHarold Castro 19GWilli Castro 16G
2BJonathan Schoop 129GWilli Castro 16GHarold Castro 14G
3BJeimer Candelario 117GHarold Castro 25GKody Clemens 17G
1BSpencer Torkelson 109GHarold Castro 50GKody Clemens 13G
STARTERSTarik Skubal 2.9WARMatt Manning 1.0WAREduardo Rodriguez 0.6WARJoey Wentz 0.5WARAlex Faedo 0.3WAR
CTucker Barnhart 92GEric Haase 84GDustin Garneau 7G
DHMiguel Cabrera 109GKerry Carpenter 12GEric Haase 12G
BULLPEN★ Gregory Soto 30svAlex Lange 21hAndrew Chafin 19hJoe Jiménez 11hJason Foley 6hWill Vest 4hDaniel Norris 2hWily Peralta 2h
CTucker Barnhart 92 · Eric Haase 84 · Dustin Garneau 7
1BSpencer Torkelson 109 · Harold Castro 50 · Kody Clemens 13
2BJonathan Schoop 129 · Willi Castro 16 · Harold Castro 14
3BJeimer Candelario 117 · Harold Castro 25 · Kody Clemens 17
SSJavier Báez 133 · Harold Castro 19 · Willi Castro 16
LFAkil Baddoo 50 · Willi Castro 27 · Victor Reyes 19
CFRiley Greene 93 · Derek Hill 30 · Akil Baddoo 16
RFVictor Reyes 63 · Willi Castro 40 · Austin Meadows 18
DHMiguel Cabrera 109 · Kerry Carpenter 12 · Eric Haase 12
SPTarik Skubal 2.9 · Matt Manning 1.0 · Eduardo Rodriguez 0.6 · Joey Wentz 0.5 · Alex Faedo 0.3
BP★ Gregory Soto 30 · Alex Lange 21 · Andrew Chafin 19 · Joe Jiménez 11 · Jason Foley 6 · Will Vest 4 · Daniel Norris 2 · Wily Peralta 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tarik Skubal 25 pre-arb 212.9 0.7 +9.8
Javier Báez 29 FA-elig 1442.0 20.0 -12.8
Joe Jiménez 27 arb 621.4 1.8 +3.4
Jonathan Schoop 30 FA-elig 1311.3 7.5 -2.8
Eric Haase 29 pre-arb 1101.2 0.7 +3.6
Matt Manning 24 pre-arb 131.0 0.7 +3.1
Riley Greene 21 – 931.0 0.4 +3.4
Andrew Chafin 32 FA-elig 640.9 6.5 -3.1
Willi Castro 25 pre-arb 1120.8 0.7 +2.4
Jason Foley 26 pre-arb 600.8 0.6 +2.4
Alex Lange 26 pre-arb 710.7 0.7 +2.0
Michael Fulmer↔ MIN 29 FA-elig 410.7 3.0 -0.4
Eduardo Rodriguez 29 FA-elig 170.6 14.0 -11.7
Gregory Soto 27 pre-arb 640.6 0.7 +1.3
Joey Wentz 24 – 70.5 0.1 +1.9
Kerry Carpenter 24 – 310.5 0.2 +1.6
Will Vest 27 pre-arb 590.4 0.7 +0.9
Alex Faedo 26 – 120.3 0.2 +1.1
Tucker Barnhart 31 FA-elig 940.3 7.5 -6.5
Rony García 24 pre-arb 160.2 0.7 +0.1
Ryan Kreidler 24 – 260.2 0.1 +0.5
Derek Hill 26 – 310.1 0.3 +0.2
Beau Brieske 24 – 150.1 0.6 -0.2
José Cisnero 33 arb 280.1 1.9 -1.5
Casey Mize 25 pre-arb 20.1 0.7 -0.4
Luis F. Castillo 27 – 30.1 – –
Drew Hutchison 31 FA-elig 280.1 0.7 -0.4
Drew Carlton 26 pre-arb 50.1 0.1 +0.2
Dustin Garneau 34 FA-elig 80.0 1.2 -1.0
Miguel Díaz 27 pre-arb 30.0 0.8 -0.7
Jeimer Candelario 28 FA-elig 1240.0 5.8 -5.7
Wily Peralta 33 FA-elig 280.0 0.1 -0.0
Victor Reyes 27 arb 92-0.0 1.4 -1.4
Daniel Norris↔ CHC 29 FA-elig 14-0.0 0.6 -0.8
Bryan Garcia 27 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Tyler Alexander 27 pre-arb 27-0.1 0.7 -1.0
Daz Cameron 25 pre-arb 21-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Josh Lester 27 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Angel De Jesus 25 – 8-0.1 – –
Derek Law↔ CIN 31 – 2-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Zack Short 27 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Brendon Davis 24 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Austin Meadows 27 arb 36-0.2 4.0 -4.6
Garrett Hill 26 – 17-0.2 0.3 -1.0
Robbie Grossman↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 83-0.2 3.2 -4.1
Akil Baddoo 23 pre-arb 73-0.2 0.5 -1.4
Kody Clemens 26 – 57-0.2 0.4 -1.3
Harold Castro 28 arb 120-0.3 1.3 -2.3
Jacob Barnes↔ NYY 32 FA-elig 22-0.3 0.7 -1.8
Michael Pineda 33 FA-elig 11-0.4 5.8 -7.4
Spencer Torkelson 22 – 110-0.8 0.5 -3.6
Elvin Rodríguez 24 – 7-1.0 0.1 -3.8
Miguel Cabrera 39 FA-elig 112-1.3 32.0 -36.8

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Javier Báez2.0
Riley Greene1.0
Andrew Chafin0.9
Eduardo Rodriguez0.6
Joey Wentz0.5
Kerry Carpenter0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Matthew Boyd1.5
Niko Goodrum1.0
Derek Holland0.3
José Ureña0.3
Grayson Greiner0.1
Miguel Del Pozo0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$131.6M
2023 guaranteed
$22.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Miguel Cabrera3918.101$32.0MFREE AGENT
Javier Báez296.089$20.0M$22.0M$25.0M$25.1M$24.0M$24.0MFREE AGENT
Eduardo Rodriguez296.130$14.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop308.027$7.5MFREE AGENT
Tucker Barnhart317.075$7.5MFREE AGENT
Andrew Chafin327.020$6.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Pineda3311.000$5.8MFREE AGENT
Robbie Grossman327.060$3.2MFREE AGENT
Daniel Norris296.073$598kFREE AGENT
Wily Peralta3310.000$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Jeimer Candelario284.038$5.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Meadows273.074$4.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Fulmer295.157$3.0MFREE AGENT
José Cisnero334.020$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Jiménez274.061$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Reyes273.075$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Garneau343.015$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Hutchison314.130$700kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Barnes324.157$670kARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Law313.035$82kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Harold Castro282.141$1.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Díaz272.125$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregory Soto272.102$722kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Alexander272.058$717kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Mize251.111$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tarik Skubal251.114$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Haase291.072$710kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Manning240.098$705kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Lange260.112$704kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Vest270.108$696kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rony García241.142$662kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willi Castro252.017$662kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Beau Brieske240.000$625kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Foley260.033$622kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Torkelson220.000$523kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Akil Baddoo231.000$476kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kody Clemens260.000$423kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Greene210.000$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Hill260.000$312kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Hill261.010$259kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kerry Carpenter240.000$215kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daz Cameron250.148$188kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Faedo260.000$188kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvin Rodríguez240.000$138kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Kreidler240.000$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Wentz240.000$104kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Carlton260.015$58kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Short270.088$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Garcia271.148$23kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendon Davis24–$19k
Josh Lester270.000$15kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis F. Castillo27–—
Angel De Jesus25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Tigers 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.