RRosternomics
SM

Sam Menzin

General manager for the Tigers (2022–2022).

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record66–96
Win %0.407
-3.9GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.8164th/195 execs
1.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)194th/195 execs
-6.2Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)151st/195 execs
56%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)187th/195 execs
$15MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track99th/195 execs
$12MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)53rd/195 execs
$-2MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade184th/195 execs
$5MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees18th/195 execs
-20.1TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total143rd/195 execs
-14.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)132nd/195 execs
0.01Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)189th/195 execs
-84Roster surplus $M124th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Tigers GM 2022–2022 1 -14.9 -14.88 -20.1 -22.8 +19.5 -0.5 -4.0 +0.1 0.01 0.407 -84
Career total (1985+ data) 1 -14.9 -20.1 -22.8 +19.5 -0.5 -4.0 +0.1 0.01 0.407 -84

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+19.5
Trade-0.5
Free agency-4.0
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.1
Sourcing mix: 91% draft · 9% FA · 0% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Sam Menzin's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 24 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Riley Greene OF DET Draft 2022 5 +12.9 +2.6
Kerry Carpenter DH/OF DET Draft 2022 4 +6.1 +1.5
Eduardo Rodríguez P DET Trade 2022 2 +3.7 +1.9 0.0
Javier Báez SS DET Trade 2022 3 +3.3 +1.1 0.0
Spencer Torkelson 1B DET Draft 2022 3 +2.8 +0.9
Matt Boyd P DET Free agency 2022 6 +0.9 +0.2
Andrew Chafin P DET Free agency 2022 2 +0.9 +0.5 0.0
Beau Brieske P DET Draft 2022 3 +0.6 +0.2
Miguel Díaz P DET Free agency 2022 2 +0.4 +0.2 0.0
Alex Faedo P DET Draft 2022 2 +0.4 +0.2
Tucker Barnhart C DET Trade 2022 1 +0.3 +0.3 0.0
Sawyer Gipson-Long P DET Trade 2022 1 +0.2 +0.2
Luis Castillo P DET Draft 2022 1 +0.1 +0.1
Joey Wentz P DET Draft 2022 1 -0.0 -0.0
Brendon Davis 3B/OF DET Draft 2022 -0.1
Ángel De Jesús P DET Draft 2022 -0.1
Josh Lester 1B/DH DET Draft 2022 -0.1
Kody Clemens 1B DET Draft 2022 -0.2
Austin Meadows DH/OF DET Trade 2022 -0.2
Michael Pineda P DET Free agency 2022 -0.4
Justyn-Henry Malloy DH/OF DET Trade 2022 1 -0.5 -0.5
Garrett Hill P DET Draft 2022 -0.7
Ryan Kreidler 3B/SS DET Draft 2022 1 -0.9 -0.9
Elvin Rodríguez P DET Draft 2022 -1.0

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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