RRosternomics
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Tigers DET

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GM: Al Avila

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.69× league · TAB -8.9
-8.9TAB — talent above budget26th/30
-0.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-5.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/30
64%dead money %28th/30
0.475win %18th/30
20.7roster fWAR26th/30
-20surplus $M (value vs cost)18th/30
$87Mpayroll $M22nd/30

Roster

CFAkil Baddoo 66GDerek Hill 45GJaCoby Jones 30G
LFRobbie Grossman 82GAkil Baddoo 56GEric Haase 22G
RFRobbie Grossman 73GVictor Reyes 43GNomar Mazara 41G
SSNiko Goodrum 66GZack Short 52GHarold Castro 43G
2BWilli Castro 91GJonathan Schoop 38GHarold Castro 33G
3BJeimer Candelario 142GHarold Castro 12GIsaac Paredes 8G
1BJonathan Schoop 114GMiguel Cabrera 44GHarold Castro 15G
STARTERSSpencer Turnbull 1.5WARMatthew Boyd 1.5WARCasey Mize 1.3WARTyler Alexander 1.0WARMatt Manning 0.8WAR
CEric Haase 66GJake Rogers 37GGrayson Greiner 31G
DHMiguel Cabrera 83GJonathan Schoop 15GEric Haase 11G
BULLPEN★ Gregory Soto 18svJosé Cisnero 18hKyle Funkhouser 9hMichael Fulmer 9hJoe Jiménez 5hDerek Holland 4hBryan Garcia 3hBuck Farmer 2h
CEric Haase 66 · Jake Rogers 37 · Grayson Greiner 31
1BJonathan Schoop 114 · Miguel Cabrera 44 · Harold Castro 15
2BWilli Castro 91 · Jonathan Schoop 38 · Harold Castro 33
3BJeimer Candelario 142 · Harold Castro 12 · Isaac Paredes 8
SSNiko Goodrum 66 · Zack Short 52 · Harold Castro 43
LFRobbie Grossman 82 · Akil Baddoo 56 · Eric Haase 22
CFAkil Baddoo 66 · Derek Hill 45 · JaCoby Jones 30
RFRobbie Grossman 73 · Victor Reyes 43 · Nomar Mazara 41
DHMiguel Cabrera 83 · Jonathan Schoop 15 · Eric Haase 11
SPSpencer Turnbull 1.5 · Matthew Boyd 1.5 · Casey Mize 1.3 · Tyler Alexander 1.0 · Matt Manning 0.8
BP★ Gregory Soto 18 · José Cisnero 18 · Kyle Funkhouser 9 · Michael Fulmer 9 · Joe Jiménez 5 · Derek Holland 4 · Bryan Garcia 3 · Buck Farmer 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2021 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jeimer Candelario 27 arb 1493.9 2.9 +9.7
Robbie Grossman 31 FA-elig 1562.6 5.0 +3.3
Jonathan Schoop 29 FA-elig 1562.2 4.5 +2.5
Akil Baddoo 22 – 1241.7 0.6 +5.0
Michael Fulmer 28 arb 521.5 3.1 +1.8
Spencer Turnbull 28 pre-arb 91.5 0.6 +4.3
Matthew Boyd 30 FA-elig 151.5 6.5 -1.7
Casey Mize 24 pre-arb 301.3 0.6 +3.6
Eric Haase 28 pre-arb 981.0 0.4 +2.9
Niko Goodrum 29 arb 901.0 2.1 +1.2
Tyler Alexander 26 pre-arb 411.0 0.6 +2.5
Jake Rogers 26 pre-arb 380.9 0.5 +2.6
Matt Manning 23 – 180.8 0.3 +2.3
Derek Hill 25 pre-arb 490.7 0.3 +2.0
Wily Peralta 32 FA-elig 190.7 1.5 +0.7
Tarik Skubal 24 pre-arb 310.6 0.6 +1.4
José Cisnero 32 FA-elig 670.5 1.0 +0.8
Dustin Garneau 33 FA-elig 200.5 0.1 +1.5
Gregory Soto 26 pre-arb 620.4 0.6 +0.7
Daniel Norris↔ MIL 28 FA-elig 380.3 2.4 -1.2
Derek Holland 34 FA-elig 390.3 0.9 +0.1
José Ureña 29 FA-elig 260.3 3.2 -2.2
Kyle Funkhouser 27 pre-arb 570.3 0.5 +0.5
Victor Reyes 26 pre-arb 760.3 0.5 +0.4
Drew Hutchison 30 FA-elig 90.1 0.1 +0.3
Willi Castro 24 pre-arb 1250.1 0.6 -0.2
Grayson Greiner 28 pre-arb 310.1 0.4 -0.0
Miguel Del Pozo 28 – 50.1 0.1 +0.2
Ian Krol 30 arb 180.1 0.2 +0.0
Alex Lange 25 – 360.1 0.3 -0.1
Erasmo Ramírez 31 FA-elig 170.0 0.8 -0.7
Beau Burrows↔ MIN 24 – 10.0 0.0 +0.0
Julio Teheran 30 FA-elig 1-0.0 3.0 -3.1
Daz Cameron 24 pre-arb 35-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Isaac Paredes 22 pre-arb 23-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Jason Foley 25 – 11-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Drew Carlton 25 – 4-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Rony García 23 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.4 -0.9
Jacob Robson 26 – 4-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Joe Jiménez 26 arb 52-0.2 1.5 -2.1
Nomar Mazara 26 arb 50-0.2 1.8 -2.5
Renato Núñez 27 arb 14-0.2 0.6 -1.3
Miguel Cabrera 38 FA-elig 130-0.5 30.0 -31.5
Wilson Ramos↔ CLE 33 FA-elig 35-0.5 1.6 -3.3
Harold Castro 27 pre-arb 106-0.5 0.6 -2.3
Buck Farmer 30 FA-elig 36-0.5 1.9 -3.6
JaCoby Jones 29 arb 36-0.7 2.6 -5.0
Zack Short 26 – 61-0.8 0.3 -2.9
Bryan Garcia 26 pre-arb 39-0.9 0.4 -3.4

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Robbie Grossman2.6
Akil Baddoo1.7
Jake Rogers0.9
Matt Manning0.8
Wily Peralta0.7
Dustin Garneau0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
C.J. Cron0.4
Jordan Zimmermann0.2
John Schreiber0.1
Cameron Maybin0.1
Carson Fulmer0.0
Jordy Mercer-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$86.8M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Miguel Cabrera3817.101$30.0MFREE AGENT
Robbie Grossman316.060$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop297.027$4.5MFREE AGENT
Julio Teheran308.062$3.0MFREE AGENT
Buck Farmer307.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos3310.047$1.6MFREE AGENT
Derek Holland3411.105$925kFREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez319.000$800kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Matthew Boyd304.136$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ureña295.040$3.2MFREE AGENT
Michael Fulmer284.157$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeimer Candelario273.038$2.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JaCoby Jones293.125$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Norris285.073$2.4MFREE AGENT
Niko Goodrum293.031$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nomar Mazara265.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Wily Peralta325.166$1.5MFREE AGENT
Joe Jiménez263.077$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Cisnero323.020$970kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Renato Núñez275.000$570kFREE AGENT
Zack Short263.070$267kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Krol303.162$221kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Hutchison304.130$100kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Spencer Turnbull282.020$587kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Harold Castro271.141$582kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregory Soto261.102$580kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Alexander261.058$579kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tarik Skubal240.114$574kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Mize240.111$574kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Akil Baddoo220.000$570kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willi Castro240.170$560kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Reyes262.084$511kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Funkhouser270.136$460kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Rogers260.062$457kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Haase280.099$442kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rony García231.000$436kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grayson Greiner282.083$370kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Garcia261.029$369kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Hill250.072$337kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Manning230.000$304kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daz Cameron240.053$291kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Lange250.000$273kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isaac Paredes220.117$190kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Del Pozo28–$126k
Dustin Garneau332.140$100kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Foley250.000$95kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Carlton250.000$46kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Robson26–$18k
Beau Burrows240.061$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Tigers 2021; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.