RRosternomics
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Tigers DET

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President of baseball ops: Scott Harris

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 5 in this regime · payroll 0.81× league · TAB -5.7
-5.7TAB — talent above budget20th/30
-1.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/30
-6.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag23rd/30
51%dead money %23rd/30
0.481win %19th/30
25.8roster fWAR24th/30
-21surplus $M (value vs cost)17th/30
$124Mpayroll $M20th/30

Roster

CFRiley Greene 79GParker Meadows 36GMatt Vierling 31G
LFAkil Baddoo 96GMatt Vierling 41GEric Haase 23G
RFKerry Carpenter 80GMatt Vierling 58GZach McKinstry 38G
SSJavier Báez 130GZack Short 33GZach McKinstry 23G
2BAndy Ibáñez 77GZack Short 53GZach McKinstry 47G
3BNick Maton 53GZach McKinstry 52GMatt Vierling 35G
1BSpencer Torkelson 154GTyler Nevin 8GAndy Ibáñez 4G
STARTERSTarik Skubal 3.3WAREduardo Rodriguez 3.1WARReese Olson 1.5WARMatthew Boyd 0.9WARMatt Manning 0.7WAR
CJake Rogers 99GCarson Kelly 47G
DHMiguel Cabrera 96GKerry Carpenter 27GNick Maton 13G
BULLPEN★ Alex Lange 26svJason Foley 28hJosé Cisnero 14hTyler Holton 14hWill Vest 11hAndrew Vasquez 2hMason Englert 2hBrendan White 1h
CJake Rogers 99 · Carson Kelly 47
1BSpencer Torkelson 154 · Tyler Nevin 8 · Andy Ibáñez 4
2BAndy Ibáñez 77 · Zack Short 53 · Zach McKinstry 47
3BNick Maton 53 · Zach McKinstry 52 · Matt Vierling 35
SSJavier Báez 130 · Zack Short 33 · Zach McKinstry 23
LFAkil Baddoo 96 · Matt Vierling 41 · Eric Haase 23
CFRiley Greene 79 · Parker Meadows 36 · Matt Vierling 31
RFKerry Carpenter 80 · Matt Vierling 58 · Zach McKinstry 38
DHMiguel Cabrera 96 · Kerry Carpenter 27 · Nick Maton 13
SPTarik Skubal 3.3 · Eduardo Rodriguez 3.1 · Reese Olson 1.5 · Matthew Boyd 0.9 · Matt Manning 0.7
BP★ Alex Lange 26 · Jason Foley 28 · José Cisnero 14 · Tyler Holton 14 · Will Vest 11 · Andrew Vasquez 2 · Mason Englert 2 · Brendan White 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2023 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Tarik Skubal 26 pre-arb 153.3 0.7 +12.4
Eduardo Rodriguez 30 FA-elig 263.1 14.0 -1.8
Jake Rogers 28 arb 1072.5 0.7 +9.3
Riley Greene 22 pre-arb 992.3 0.7 +8.2
Kerry Carpenter 25 pre-arb 1181.9 0.7 +6.7
Michael Lorenzen↔ PHI 31 FA-elig 181.7 5.3 +1.6
Matt Vierling 26 pre-arb 1341.7 0.7 +5.9
Andy Ibáñez 30 pre-arb 1141.6 0.6 +5.8
Jason Foley 27 pre-arb 701.6 0.7 +5.4
Reese Olson 23 – 211.5 0.5 +5.6
Spencer Torkelson 23 pre-arb 1591.3 0.7 +4.6
Will Vest 28 pre-arb 481.2 0.6 +4.0
Zach McKinstry 28 arb 1481.1 0.7 +3.5
Tyler Holton 27 pre-arb 591.0 0.7 +3.3
Parker Meadows 23 – 370.9 0.2 +3.5
Matthew Boyd 32 FA-elig 150.9 10.0 -6.4
Javier Báez 30 FA-elig 1360.7 22.0 -19.3
Akil Baddoo 24 pre-arb 1120.7 0.7 +2.0
Matt Manning 25 pre-arb 150.7 0.7 +1.9
Sawyer Gipson-Long 25 – 40.5 0.1 +1.9
Alex Faedo 27 pre-arb 150.5 0.5 +1.5
Miguel Díaz 28 pre-arb 120.4 0.1 +1.5
Jake Marisnick↔ CHW 32 FA-elig 330.3 0.6 +0.7
Beau Brieske 25 pre-arb 250.3 0.7 +0.3
Chasen Shreve↔ CIN 32 FA-elig 470.2 1.2 -0.2
Brendan White 24 – 330.2 0.4 +0.5
Tyler Alexander 28 arb 250.1 1.9 -1.4
Trey Wingenter 29 arb 170.1 1.0 -0.8
Carson Kelly↔ ARI 28 FA-elig 190.0 1.6 -1.5
José Cisnero 34 FA-elig 630.0 2.3 -2.2
Braden Bristo↔ TBR 28 – 20.0 0.0 +0.0
Nick Solak↔ ATL 28 pre-arb 10.0 0.0 -0.0
Brenan Hanifee 25 – 3-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Alex Lange 27 pre-arb 67-0.0 0.7 -0.8
Spencer Turnbull 30 arb 7-0.0 2.1 -2.3
Andrew Vasquez↔ PHI 29 arb 12-0.0 0.2 -0.4
Austin Meadows 28 arb 6-0.1 4.3 -4.6
Zach Logue 27 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Zack Short 28 pre-arb 112-0.1 0.6 -1.0
Anthony Misiewicz↔ ARI 28 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Isan Díaz↔ SFG 27 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Ryan Kreidler 25 pre-arb 11-0.2 0.7 -1.4
Andre Lipcius 25 – 13-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Jonathan Schoop 31 FA-elig 55-0.3 7.5 -8.7
Tyler Nevin 26 pre-arb 41-0.5 0.3 -2.3
Garrett Hill 27 pre-arb 9-0.5 0.7 -2.8
Joey Wentz 25 pre-arb 25-0.5 0.7 -2.9
Mason Englert 23 – 31-0.7 0.7 -3.3
Miguel Cabrera 40 FA-elig 98-0.7 32.0 -34.8
Eric Haase↔ CLE 30 arb 86-1.1 0.7 -4.9
Nick Maton 26 pre-arb 93-1.1 0.7 -5.1

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Jake Rogers2.5
Michael Lorenzen1.7
Matt Vierling1.7
Andy Ibáñez1.6
Reese Olson1.5
Zach McKinstry1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Joe Jiménez1.4
Andrew Chafin0.9
Willi Castro0.8
Michael Fulmer0.7
Gregory Soto0.6
Tucker Barnhart0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$123.7M
2024 guaranteed
$25.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Miguel Cabrera4019.101$32.0MFREE AGENT
Javier Báez307.089$22.0M$25.0M$25.1M$24.0M$24.0MFREE AGENT
Eduardo Rodriguez307.070$14.0MFREE AGENT
Matthew Boyd326.136$10.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop3110.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Lorenzen317.159$5.3MFREE AGENT
Chasen Shreve329.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jake Marisnick328.083$622kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Austin Meadows284.074$4.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
José Cisnero345.020$2.3MFREE AGENT
Spencer Turnbull304.020$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Alexander283.058$1.9MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Kelly284.161$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Trey Wingenter293.053$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (37)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Tarik Skubal262.114$744kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach McKinstry281.099$734kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Manning251.098$729kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Greene220.110$728kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Vierling261.026$727kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Maton261.034$727kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Foley271.026$726kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Lange271.112$726kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Rogers282.040$726kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Beau Brieske250.166$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kerry Carpenter250.057$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Wentz250.030$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Torkelson230.137$723kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Hill270.082$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Kreidler250.035$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Englert230.000$720kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Haase302.072$715kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Akil Baddoo241.119$683kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Holton270.047$654kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Vest281.108$631kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Short280.102$608kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Ibáñez301.014$604kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reese Olson230.000$468kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Faedo270.051$453kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brendan White240.000$352kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Nevin260.133$307kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Vasquez290.139$207kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Parker Meadows230.000$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Díaz282.132$116kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andre Lipcius25–$116k
Sawyer Gipson-Long250.000$74kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Logue270.083$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brenan Hanifee250.000$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Misiewicz282.108$14kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isan Díaz272.131$8kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braden Bristo28–$8k
Nick Solak282.126$6kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Tigers 2023; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.