RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Daniel O'Dowd

Overview

WINDOW ↘ cooling
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.88× league · TAB +6.9
+6.9TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+11.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)2nd/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars9th/30
-2.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
26%dead money %6th/30
0.568win %6th/30
39.5roster fWAR9th/30
+15surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/30
$80Mpayroll $M17th/30

2009: made playoffs · 92–70. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFDexter Fowler 127GCarlos González 43GRyan Spilborghs 16G
LFSeth Smith 86GRyan Spilborghs 65GCarlos González 47G
RFBrad Hawpe 141GRyan Spilborghs 37GCarlos González 8G
SSTroy Tulowitzki 151GClint Barmes 16GOmar Quintanilla 13G
2BClint Barmes 139GOmar Quintanilla 25GIan Stewart 21G
3BIan Stewart 121GGarrett Atkins 78GOmar Quintanilla 10G
1BTodd Helton 149GJason Giambi 63GGarrett Atkins 28G
STARTERSUbaldo Jiménez 5.7WARJason Marquis 3.3WARJason Hammel 3.2WARJorge De La Rosa 3.0WARAaron Cook 1.5WAR
CChris Iannetta 89GYorvit Torrealba 64GPaul Phillips 15G
DHGarrett Atkins 5GSeth Smith 3GBrad Hawpe 1G
BULLPEN Huston Street 35svRafael Betancourt 20hJoe Beimel 13hMatt Daley 12hFranklin Morales 7hManny Corpas 7hAlan Embree 6hJuan Rincon 1h
CChris Iannetta 89 · Yorvit Torrealba 64 · Paul Phillips 15
1BTodd Helton 149 · Jason Giambi 63 · Garrett Atkins 28
2BClint Barmes 139 · Omar Quintanilla 25 · Ian Stewart 21
3BIan Stewart 121 · Garrett Atkins 78 · Omar Quintanilla 10
SSTroy Tulowitzki 151 · Clint Barmes 16 · Omar Quintanilla 13
LFSeth Smith 86 · Ryan Spilborghs 65 · Carlos González 47
CFDexter Fowler 127 · Carlos González 43 · Ryan Spilborghs 16
RFBrad Hawpe 141 · Ryan Spilborghs 37 · Carlos González 8
DHGarrett Atkins 5 · Seth Smith 3 · Brad Hawpe 1
SPUbaldo Jiménez 5.7 · Jason Marquis 3.3 · Jason Hammel 3.2 · Jorge De La Rosa 3.0 · Aaron Cook 1.5
BP Huston Street 35 · Rafael Betancourt 20 · Joe Beimel 13 · Matt Daley 12 · Franklin Morales 7 · Manny Corpas 7 · Alan Embree 6 · Juan Rincon 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2009 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ubaldo Jiménez 25 arb 335.7 0.8 +12.9
Troy Tulowitzki 24 arb 1515.3 1.0 +11.7
Jason Marquis 30 FA-elig 383.3 9.9 -2.1
Jason Hammel 26 arb 343.2 0.4 +7.2
Jorge De La Rosa 28 arb 333.0 2.0 +5.2
Seth Smith 26 pre-arb 1332.8 0.4 +6.2
Todd Helton 35 FA-elig 1512.6 16.6 -10.4
Carlos González 23 pre-arb 892.0 0.4 +4.3
Clint Barmes 30 FA-elig 1541.6 1.6 +2.2
Aaron Cook 30 FA-elig 281.5 9.4 -5.7
Chris Iannetta 26 arb 931.5 0.4 +3.1
Huston Street 25 arb 641.4 4.5 -1.0
Ian Stewart 24 pre-arb 1471.2 0.4 +2.4
Brad Hawpe 30 arb 1451.2 5.5 -2.7
Rafael Betancourt↔ CLE 34 FA-elig 321.1 1.8 +0.8
Matt Daley 27 pre-arb 570.8 0.4 +1.4
Yorvit Torrealba 30 FA-elig 640.7 3.8 -2.1
Dexter Fowler 23 pre-arb 1350.7 0.4 +1.2
Franklin Morales 23 pre-arb 400.5 0.4 +0.7
Manny Corpas 26 arb 350.4 0.8 +0.2
Paul Phillips 32 arb 170.4 0.4 +0.4
Jason Giambi↔ OAK 38 FA-elig 190.3 0.9 -0.2
Glendon Rusch 34 FA-elig 110.2 0.8 -0.4
Randy Flores 33 270.1
Ryan Spilborghs 29 arb 1330.1 0.4 -0.1
Jose Contreras↔ CHW 37 FA-elig 70.1 2.5 -2.2
Joe Beimel↔ WSN 32 FA-elig 260.1 0.7 -0.5
Esmil Rogers 23 pre-arb 10.1 0.4 -0.2
Jason Grilli↔ TEX 32 FA-elig 220.1 0.3 -0.2
Matt Murton 27 290.0
Juan Rincon↔ DET 30 FA-elig 260.0 0.6 -0.6
Ryan Speier 29 arb 5-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Matt Herges↔ CLE 39 9-0.0
Jhoulys Chacín 21 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Joel Peralta 33 27-0.0 0.6 -0.7
Adam Eaton↔ BAL 31 4-0.0
Edwin Bellorin 27 2-0.1
Mike McCoy 28 12-0.1
Matt Belisle 29 24-0.1 0.8 -1.0
Josh Fogg 32 24-0.1
Alan Embree 39 FA-elig 36-0.2 2.0 -2.4
Eric Young Jr. 24 pre-arb 30-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Omar Quintanilla 27 arb 58-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Jeff Baker↔ CHC 28 arb 12-0.3 0.1 -0.9
Garrett Atkins 29 FA-elig 126-1.0 7.0 -9.4

Key additions (new vs 2008)

PlayerfWAR
Jason Marquis3.3
Jason Hammel3.2
Carlos González2.0
Huston Street1.4
Rafael Betancourt1.1
Matt Daley0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2008)

Player2008 fWAR
Matt Holliday5.9
Brian Fuentes2.5
Taylor Buchholz1.3
Jeff Francis1.3
Livan Hernandez0.1
Alberto Arias0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2009 payroll
$80.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2009, 2009–2015. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Todd Helton3512.000$16.6M$17.8M$20.3M$4.9M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Marquis309.000$9.9MFREE AGENT
Aaron Cook307.000$9.4M$9.6M$9.9MFREE AGENT
Garrett Atkins296.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba308.000$3.8MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Jose Contreras376.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Alan Embree3917.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Rafael Betancourt346.000$1.8M$3.8M$3.8M$4.0M$4.2MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Clint Barmes306.000$1.6M$3.3MFREE AGENT
Jason Giambi3814.000$931k$1.8M$1.0M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Belisle296.000$800k$850k$2.4M$3.8M$4.1M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Glendon Rusch3412.000$750kFREE AGENT
Joe Beimel328.000$732k$850kFREE AGENT
Juan Rincon308.000$591kFREE AGENT
Jason Grilli329.000$338kFREE AGENT
Josh Fogg328.000FREE AGENT
Matt Herges3910.000FREE AGENT
Adam Eaton319.000FREE AGENT
Randy Flores337.000$527kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Brad Hawpe305.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Huston Street254.000$4.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge De La Rosa285.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Troy Tulowitzki243.000$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Corpas263.000$750kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez253.000$750kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Peralta334.000$640kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Hammel263.000$422kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Phillips325.000$415kFREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta263.000$415kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Spilborghs294.000$415kARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Quintanilla274.000$408kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Speier294.000$407kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Baker284.000$61kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Murton274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2009201020112012201320142015
Ian Stewart242.000$404kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos González231.000$403kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Smith262.000$403kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franklin Morales232.000$402kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dexter Fowler231.000$401kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Young Jr.240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Daley270.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín210.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Esmil Rogers230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edwin Bellorin27
Mike McCoy280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2009; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3