RRosternomics

Rockies COL

GM: Daniel O'Dowd

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.81× league · TAB -3.9
-3.9TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-5.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars25th/30
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag11th/30
34%dead money %11th/30
0.457win %21st/30
27.8roster fWAR21st/30
-7surplus $M (value vs cost)14th/30
$71Mpayroll $M18th/30

Roster

CFWilly Taveras 124GScott Podsednik 36GRyan Spilborghs 17G
LFMatt Holliday 139GRyan Spilborghs 22GScott Podsednik 10G
RFBrad Hawpe 133GRyan Spilborghs 22GSeth Smith 14G
SSTroy Tulowitzki 101GOmar Quintanilla 39GClint Barmes 36G
2BClint Barmes 61GJeff Baker 49GOmar Quintanilla 40G
3BGarrett Atkins 94GIan Stewart 65GClint Barmes 13G
1BTodd Helton 81GGarrett Atkins 61GJeff Baker 22G
STARTERSAaron Cook 5.1WARUbaldo Jiménez 3.5WARJorge De La Rosa 2.2WARJeff Francis 1.3WARGlendon Rusch 1.0WAR
CChris Iannetta 100GYorvit Torrealba 67GAdam Melhuse 10G
DHRyan Spilborghs 4GJeff Baker 3GScott Podsednik 2G
BULLPEN Brian Fuentes 30svTaylor Buchholz 21hManny Corpas 19hJason Grilli 5hMatt Herges 4hRyan Speier 3hLuis Vizcaino 1hMicah Bowie 0h
CChris Iannetta 100 · Yorvit Torrealba 67 · Adam Melhuse 10
1BTodd Helton 81 · Garrett Atkins 61 · Jeff Baker 22
2BClint Barmes 61 · Jeff Baker 49 · Omar Quintanilla 40
3BGarrett Atkins 94 · Ian Stewart 65 · Clint Barmes 13
SSTroy Tulowitzki 101 · Omar Quintanilla 39 · Clint Barmes 36
LFMatt Holliday 139 · Ryan Spilborghs 22 · Scott Podsednik 10
CFWilly Taveras 124 · Scott Podsednik 36 · Ryan Spilborghs 17
RFBrad Hawpe 133 · Ryan Spilborghs 22 · Seth Smith 14
DHRyan Spilborghs 4 · Jeff Baker 3 · Scott Podsednik 2
SPAaron Cook 5.1 · Ubaldo Jiménez 3.5 · Jorge De La Rosa 2.2 · Jeff Francis 1.3 · Glendon Rusch 1.0
BP Brian Fuentes 30 · Taylor Buchholz 21 · Manny Corpas 19 · Jason Grilli 5 · Matt Herges 4 · Ryan Speier 3 · Luis Vizcaino 1 · Micah Bowie 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2008 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Matt Holliday 28 arb 1395.9 9.5 +3.9
Aaron Cook 29 FA-elig 375.1 5.1 +6.4
Ubaldo Jiménez 24 pre-arb 343.5 0.4 +7.5
Brian Fuentes 32 FA-elig 672.5 5.0 +0.7
Jorge De La Rosa 27 282.2 1.0 +4.0
Clint Barmes 29 arb 1071.7 0.4 +3.5
Taylor Buchholz 26 pre-arb 631.3 0.4 +2.6
Jeff Francis 27 arb 251.3 3.0 -0.0
Ian Stewart 23 811.0
Glendon Rusch↔ SDP 33 FA-elig 241.0 0.6 +1.7
Jason Grilli↔ DET 31 FA-elig 510.9 0.4 +1.8
Yorvit Torrealba 29 FA-elig 700.9 3.0 -0.9
Manny Corpas 25 pre-arb 760.8 0.8 +1.1
Ryan Spilborghs 28 arb 890.7 0.4 +1.3
Chris Iannetta 25 pre-arb 1040.6 0.4 +1.1
Todd Helton 34 FA-elig 830.6 16.6 -15.3
Matt Herges 38 FA-elig 580.5 2.0 -0.9
Troy Tulowitzki 23 pre-arb 1010.5 0.8 +0.3
Jeff Baker 27 arb 1040.5 0.4 +0.6
Ryan Speier 28 430.4
Garrett Atkins 28 arb 1550.1 4.4 -4.1
Livan Hernandez↔ MIN 33 FA-elig 80.1 1.3 -1.1
Alberto Arias↔ HOU 24 120.0
Jose Capellan 27 10.0
Edwin Bellorin 26 30.0
Joe Koshansky 26 180.0
Juan Morillo 24 10.0
Micah Bowie 33 FA-elig 100.0 0.7 -0.6
Luis Vizcaino 33 FA-elig 43-0.0 3.5 -3.5
Seth Smith 25 67-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Franklin Morales 22 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Adam Melhuse↔ TEX 36 FA-elig 7-0.0 0.3 -0.5
Doug Bernier 28 2-0.1
Valerio De Los Santos 35 2-0.1
Cedrick Bowers 30 5-0.1
Jason Hirsh 26 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Mark Redman 34 FA-elig 10-0.2 1.0 -1.3
Jonathan Herrera 23 28-0.2
Cory Sullivan 28 18-0.2
Kip Wells↔ KCR 31 FA-elig 15-0.2 1.9 -2.3
Omar Quintanilla 26 81-0.2
Steven Register 25 10-0.2
Willy Taveras 26 arb 133-0.2 2.0 -2.5
Josh Newman↔ KCR 26 8-0.3
Dexter Fowler 22 13-0.3
Scott Podsednik 32 FA-elig 93-0.4 0.8 -1.6
Jayson Nix 25 pre-arb 22-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Greg Reynolds 22 14-0.5
Brad Hawpe 29 arb 138-0.7 3.9 -5.6

Key additions (new vs 2007)

PlayerfWAR
Jorge De La Rosa2.2
Glendon Rusch1.0
Jason Grilli0.9
Livan Hernandez0.1
Jose Capellan0.0
Micah Bowie0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2007)

Player2007 fWAR
Kazuo Matsui2.7
Josh Fogg1.0
Rodrigo Lopez0.7
Jorge Julio0.6
Jeremy Affeldt0.4
Zach McClellan0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2008 payroll
$71.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2008, 2008–2014. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Todd Helton3411.000$16.6M$16.6M$17.8M$20.3M$4.9M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Cook296.000$5.1M$9.4M$9.6M$9.9MFREE AGENT
Brian Fuentes327.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Luis Vizcaino339.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba297.000$3.0M$3.8MFREE AGENT$1.0M
Matt Herges389.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Kip Wells319.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez3312.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Mark Redman349.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Podsednik327.000$750kFREE AGENT
Micah Bowie339.000$650kFREE AGENT
Glendon Rusch3311.000$567k$750kFREE AGENT
Jason Grilli318.000$357k$462kFREE AGENT
Adam Melhuse368.000$350kFREE AGENT
Valerio De Los Santos3510.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Matt Holliday284.000$9.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Atkins285.000$4.4MFREE AGENT
Brad Hawpe294.000$3.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Francis274.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Willy Taveras264.000$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge De La Rosa274.000$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Clint Barmes295.000$405kFREE AGENT
Jeff Baker273.000$403kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Spilborghs283.000$396kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Sullivan283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Capellan274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Speier283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Quintanilla263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2008200920102011201220132014
Manny Corpas252.000$775kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Troy Tulowitzki232.000$750kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Buchholz262.000$399kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta252.000$396kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Hirsh262.000$396kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ubaldo Jiménez242.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franklin Morales221.000$391kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Smith251.000$390kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jayson Nix250.000$390kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cedrick Bowers30
Edwin Bellorin26
Juan Morillo24
Doug Bernier280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dexter Fowler220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Reynolds22
Ian Stewart231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Newman26
Joe Koshansky26
Steven Register25
Alberto Arias241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Herrera230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2008; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3