RRosternomics

Reds CIN

GM: Bob Quinn

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.11× league · TAB +5.9
+5.9TAB — talent above budget9th/26
+6.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)11th/26
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/26
-3.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag5th/26
9%dead money %1st/26
0.556win %6th/26
41.4roster fWAR6th/26
-5surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/26
$33Mpayroll $M9th/26

Roster

CFDave Martinez 105GReggie Sanders 77GBip Roberts 16G
LFBip Roberts 69GGlenn Braggs 56GReggie Sanders 53G
RFPaul O'Neill 143GGlenn Braggs 29GDave Martinez 6G
SSBarry Larkin 140GFreddie Benavides 34GGary Green 6G
2BBill Doran 104GBip Roberts 42GFreddie Benavides 37G
3BChris Sabo 93GBip Roberts 36GWillie Greene 25G
1BHal Morris 109GBill Doran 25GDave Martinez 21G
STARTERSJose Rijo 5.3WARGreg Swindell 4.4WARTim Belcher 2.9WARChris Hammond 1.4WARTom Browning 1.0WAR
CJoe Oliver 141GTroy Afenir 15GRick Wrona 10G
BULLPEN Norm Charlton 26svRob Dibble 0hDwayne Henry 0hScott Ruskin 0hScott Bankhead 0hSteve Foster 0hMilt Hill 0hTony Menendez 0h
CJoe Oliver 141 · Troy Afenir 15 · Rick Wrona 10
1BHal Morris 109 · Bill Doran 25 · Dave Martinez 21
2BBill Doran 104 · Bip Roberts 42 · Freddie Benavides 37
3BChris Sabo 93 · Bip Roberts 36 · Willie Greene 25
SSBarry Larkin 140 · Freddie Benavides 34 · Gary Green 6
LFBip Roberts 69 · Glenn Braggs 56 · Reggie Sanders 53
CFDave Martinez 105 · Reggie Sanders 77 · Bip Roberts 16
RFPaul O'Neill 143 · Glenn Braggs 29 · Dave Martinez 6
SPJose Rijo 5.3 · Greg Swindell 4.4 · Tim Belcher 2.9 · Chris Hammond 1.4 · Tom Browning 1.0
BP Norm Charlton 26 · Rob Dibble 0 · Dwayne Henry 0 · Scott Ruskin 0 · Scott Bankhead 0 · Steve Foster 0 · Milt Hill 0 · Tony Menendez 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1992 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jose Rijo 27 FA-elig 335.3 3.5 +0.6
Barry Larkin 28 FA-elig 1405.3 4.3 -0.2
Bip Roberts 28 FA-elig 1474.8 1.6 +2.2
Greg Swindell 27 314.4
Tim Belcher 30 arb 352.9 2.1 +0.1
Reggie Sanders 24 pre-arb 1162.8 0.1 +2.0
Rob Dibble 28 arb 632.5 1.4 +0.5
Joe Oliver 26 arb 1432.1 0.3 +1.4
Paul O'Neill 29 FA-elig 1481.8 2.8 -1.4
Norm Charlton 29 arb 641.5 1.2 -0.0
Chris Hammond 26 pre-arb 301.4 0.1 +1.0
Chris Sabo 30 arb 961.1 2.8 -1.9
Hal Morris 27 arb 1151.1 0.4 +0.4
Tom Browning 32 FA-elig 161.0 3.2 -2.5
Dave Martinez 27 FA-elig 1350.9 1.3 -0.6
Darnell Coles 30 550.7
Bill Doran 34 FA-elig 1320.7 2.8 -2.3
Glenn Braggs 29 FA-elig 920.7 1.0 -0.5
Tim Pugh 25 70.6
Scott Bankhead 28 FA-elig 540.6 0.8 -0.4
Dwayne Henry 30 FA-elig 600.6 0.4 +0.1
Steve Foster 25 pre-arb 310.5 0.1 +0.3
Bobby Ayala 22 50.4
Dan Wilson 23 120.4
Milt Hill 26 pre-arb 140.1 0.1 -0.0
Willie Greene 20 290.1
Scott Bradley↔ SEA 32 FA-elig 50.1 0.6 -0.5
Troy Afenir 28 arb 160.1 0.1 -0.1
Geronimo Berroa 27 130.0
Tony Menendez 27 30.0
Scott Ruskin 29 pre-arb 57-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Gary Green 30 8-0.0
Cesar Hernandez 25 34-0.1
Tim Costo 23 12-0.2
Keith Brown 28 2-0.2
Jacob Brumfield 27 pre-arb 24-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Freddie Benavides 26 pre-arb 74-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Jeff Branson 25 72-0.2
Jeff Reed 29 FA-elig 15-0.3 0.8 -1.0
Rick Wrona 28 11-0.3
Billy Hatcher↔ BOS 31 FA-elig 43-0.5 0.6 -1.0
Tom Bolton↔ BOS 30 arb 16-0.8 0.2 -0.8

Key additions (new vs 1991)

PlayerfWAR
Bip Roberts4.8
Greg Swindell4.4
Tim Belcher2.9
Dave Martinez0.9
Darnell Coles0.7
Tim Pugh0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 1991)

Player1991 fWAR
Eric Davis1.4
Randy Myers1.4
Carmelo Martinez0.6
Ted Power0.4
Scott Scudder0.3
Mo Sanford0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1992 payroll
$33.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 1992, 1992–1998. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Barry Larkin286.000$4.3M$5.8M$4.4M$5.9M$5.7M$5.3M$5.3M
Jose Rijo278.000$3.5M$4.1M$4.0M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Tom Browning328.000$3.2M$2.2M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Bill Doran3410.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Paul O'Neill297.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Bip Roberts286.000$1.6M$3.9MFREE AGENT
Dave Martinez276.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Glenn Braggs296.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Bankhead286.000$800kFREE AGENT
Jeff Reed298.000$750kFREE AGENT
Scott Bradley328.000$598kFREE AGENT
Billy Hatcher318.000$583kFREE AGENT
Dwayne Henry308.000$380k$410kFREE AGENT
Darnell Coles309.000FREE AGENT
Gary Green306.000FREE AGENT
Greg Swindell276.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Chris Sabo304.000$2.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Belcher305.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Rob Dibble284.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Norm Charlton294.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Hal Morris274.000$430kARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Oliver263.000$260kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Bolton305.000$227kFREE AGENT
Troy Afenir285.000$130kFREE AGENT
Geronimo Berroa273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Brown284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Wrona284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1992199319941995199619971998
Scott Ruskin292.000$235kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hammond262.000$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddie Benavides261.000$120kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milt Hill261.000$117kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Foster251.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Brumfield270.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Sanders241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Ayala220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Branson250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Costo230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Greene200.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Hernandez250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Menendez27
Tim Pugh250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Wilson230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Reds 1992; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3