Rosternomics

Reds CIN

199373–89 (0.451)
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GM: Jim Bowden

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 1993, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$42M
Win %
0.451
TAB
-10.7
WAB
-12.6
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
27.0
Dead money %
25%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-9.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

1993 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RJoe Oliver133
RDan Wilson35
RBrian Dorsett18

1B

LHal Morris98
RJoe Oliver12
RJuan Samuel6
BJack Daugherty3
RBrian Dorsett3
RTim Costo2
LJeff Branson1

2B

RJuan Samuel70
BBip Roberts64
LJeff Branson45
RJacob Brumfield4
RBrian Koelling3

3B

RChris Sabo148
LJeff Branson14
LWillie Greene5
RJuan Samuel4
BBip Roberts3
RTim Costo2

SS

RBarry Larkin99
LJeff Branson59
BKeith Kessinger11
LWillie Greene10
RBrian Koelling2
BBip Roberts1

LF

RKevin Mitchell85
RJacob Brumfield24
BThomas Howard23
BCecil Espy18
RCesar Hernandez17
LGary Varsho13
BBip Roberts11
BJack Daugherty11
RGreg Tubbs11
RTim Costo11
RRandy Milligan9
LTommy Gregg3
LKeith Hughes2
RJuan Samuel2
RKeith Gordon2

CF

RRoberto Kelly77
RJacob Brumfield68
BThomas Howard15
RGreg Tubbs14
RCesar Hernandez7
RReggie Sanders4
BBip Roberts1

RF

RReggie Sanders135
RTim Costo16
LGary Varsho9
BJack Daugherty6
RJacob Brumfield5
RKevin Mitchell2
RGreg Tubbs2
BCecil Espy1
RJoe Oliver1
RJuan Samuel1
LTommy Gregg1

DH

Starters

RJose Rijo8.0 WAR
RTim Belcher2.5 WAR
RTim Pugh1.5 WAR
LTom Browning1.5 WAR
LJohn Smiley1.0 WAR
RLarry Luebbers0.7 WAR
RJohn Roper0.5 WAR
LRoss Powell0.3 WAR
RBobby Ayala-0.7 WAR

Bullpen

RRob Dibble19 sv
RJeff Reardon0 h
RJerry Spradlin0 h
LGreg Cadaret0 h
LKevin Wickander0 h
RScott Service0 h
RJohnny Ruffin0 h
RMilt Hill0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 1992)

PlayerfWAR
Kevin Mitchell2.9
Roberto Kelly2.2
Randy Milligan1.2
John Smiley1.0
Jeff Reardon0.8
Larry Luebbers0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 1992)

Player1992 fWAR
Greg Swindell4.4
Paul O'Neill1.8
Norm Charlton1.5
Chris Hammond1.4
Dave Martinez0.9
Darnell Coles0.7

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 1993; everyone else is shown as a 1993 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Jose Rijo 1993 +8.0 +160.7 4.1 +156.6 $0.5M 2.50×
Kevin Mitchell 1993 +2.9 +36.8 3.8 +33.1 $1.3M 1.60×
Reggie Sanders 1993 +2.5 +32.4 0.3 +32.1 $0.1M 1.60×
Barry Larkin 1993 +3.5 +37.3 5.8 +31.5 $1.6M 1.32×
Tim Belcher 1993 +2.5 +29.6 2.5 +27.1 $1.0M 1.49×
Roberto Kelly 1993 +2.2 +21.8 3.1 +18.6 $1.4M 1.22×
Tim Pugh 1993 +1.5 +18.3 0.1 +18.2 $0.1M 1.49×
Tom Browning 1993 +1.5 +18.3 2.2 +16.0 $1.5M 1.49×
Jeff Reardon 1993 +0.8 +8.4 0.5 +7.9 $0.6M 1.34×
Randy Milligan 1993 +1.2 +8.0 0.5 +7.5 $0.4M 0.83×
John Smiley 1993 +1.0 +8.5 3.5 +5.0 $3.3M 1.02×
Hal Morris 1993 +1.3 +5.8 1.3 +4.5 $1.0M 0.56×
Joe Oliver 1993 +1.2 +5.0 1.2 +3.8 $1.0M 0.52×
Chris Sabo 1993 +1.4 +6.4 3.1 +3.3 $2.2M 0.58×
Thomas Howard 1993 +0.5 +3.3 0.1 +3.2 $0.2M 0.83×
Jacob Brumfield 1993 +0.3 +2.2 0.1 +2.1 $0.4M 0.83×
Steve Foster 1993 +0.4 +2.2 0.1 +2.0 $0.3M 0.67×
Ross Powell 1993 +0.3 +1.8 0.1 +1.7 $0.3M 0.67×
Johnny Ruffin 1993 +0.3 +1.5 0.1 +1.4 $0.4M 0.67×
Scott Service 1993 +0.3 +1.6 0.1 +1.4 $0.4M 0.67×
Cecil Espy 1993 +0.1 +0.8 0.4 +0.4 $3.4M 0.83×
Dwayne Henry 1993 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.67×
Tommy Gregg 1993 -0.2 -1.1 0.4 -1.5 0.83×
Greg Cadaret 1993 -0.2 -1.3 0.9 -2.2 0.67×
Cesar Hernandez 1993 -0.4 -2.5 0.1 -2.6 0.83×
Tim Costo 1993 -0.4 -2.5 0.1 -2.6 0.83×
Gary Varsho 1993 -0.4 -2.4 0.4 -2.8 0.83×
Dan Wilson 1993 -0.7 -2.8 0.1 -2.9 0.52×
Kevin Wickander 1993 -0.6 -3.0 0.1 -3.1 0.67×
Bobby Ayala 1993 -0.7 -4.0 0.1 -4.1 0.67×
Bip Roberts 1993 -0.2 -0.8 3.9 -4.7 0.56×
Juan Samuel 1993 -1.1 -5.0 0.7 -5.7 0.56×
Jeff Branson 1993 -1.5 -7.2 0.2 -7.3 0.61×
Rob Dibble 1993 -1.1 -11.7 2.5 -14.2 1.34×
Bill Landrum 1993 +0.4 +1.9 0.67×
Brian Dorsett 1993 +0.2 +0.8 0.52×
Brian Koelling 1993 -0.3 -1.5 0.56×
Chris Bushing 1993 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Greg Tubbs 1993 -0.2 -1.0 0.83×
Jack Daugherty 1993 -0.3 -1.8 0.83×
Jeff Kaiser 1993 +0.0 +0.3 0.67×
Jerry Spradlin 1993 +0.3 +1.8 0.67×
John Roper 1993 +0.5 +3.7 1.02×
Keith Gordon 1993 -0.1 -0.5 0.83×
Keith Hughes 1993 -0.1 -0.6 0.83×
Keith Kessinger 1993 +0.1 +0.3 0.61×
Larry Luebbers 1993 +0.7 +6.0 1.02×
Mike Anderson 1993 -0.2 -1.2 0.67×
Milt Hill 1993 -0.1 -0.4 0.67×
Scott Ruskin 1993 -0.3 -1.6 0.67×
Willie Greene 1993 -0.1 -0.5 0.61×
Total+26.6+371.642.5+323.5

Trades

Every graded 1993 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 9 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

1993 payroll
$42.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 1993, 1993–1999. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Barry Larkin297.000$5.8M$4.4M$5.9M$5.7M$5.3M$5.3M$5.3M
Jose Rijo289.000$4.1M$4.0M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Bip Roberts297.000$3.9MFREE AGENT
Kevin Mitchell319.000$3.8M$3.8MFREE AGENT$656k
John Smiley287.000$3.5M$5.0M$5.0M$5.0M$2.9MFREE AGENT
Roberto Kelly286.000$3.1M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Tim Belcher316.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Tom Browning339.000$2.2M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Greg Cadaret316.000$861kFREE AGENT
Juan Samuel3210.000$700kFREE AGENT
Randy Milligan316.000$517kFREE AGENT
Jeff Reardon3714.000$500kFREE AGENT
Cecil Espy3010.000$400kFREE AGENT
Tommy Gregg296.000$375kFREE AGENT
Dwayne Henry319.000$40kFREE AGENT
Jack Daugherty326.000FREE AGENT
Brian Dorsett326.000$170kFREE AGENT
Keith Hughes296.000FREE AGENT
Jeff Kaiser328.000FREE AGENT
Bill Landrum357.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Chris Sabo315.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Rob Dibble295.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Hal Morris285.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Joe Oliver274.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Varsho325.000$400kFREE AGENT
Thomas Howard283.000$110kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Wickander284.000$109kARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Service265.000$106kFREE AGENT
Scott Ruskin303.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc1993199419951996199719981999
Reggie Sanders252.000$275kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Branson261.000$158kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Foster262.000$135kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesar Hernandez261.000$120kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Brumfield281.000$118kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Pugh261.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Ayala231.000$112kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Costo241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Ruffin210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Powell250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Wilson241.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Anderson26
Chris Bushing25
Keith Gordon24
Willie Greene211.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milt Hill272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Kessinger26
Brian Koelling24
Larry Luebbers230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Roper21
Jerry Spradlin260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Tubbs30

Graphs

How each 1993 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.