RRosternomics
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Reds CIN

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GM: Bob Quinn

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.05× league · TAB +5.0
+5.0TAB — talent above budget6th/26
-8.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)21st/26
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/26
-5.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag16th/26
13%dead money %1st/26
0.457win %21st/26
39.8roster fWAR4th/26
+1surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/26
$24Mpayroll $M9th/26

Roster

CFEric Davis 76GHerm Winningham 56GBilly Hatcher 53G
LFBilly Hatcher 83GGlenn Braggs 55GChris Jones 18G
RFPaul O'Neill 150GGlenn Braggs 26GChris Jones 9G
SSBarry Larkin 119GMariano Duncan 32GFreddie Benavides 20G
2BBill Doran 88GMariano Duncan 62GLuis Quinones 33G
3BChris Sabo 151GLuis Quinones 19G
1BHal Morris 128GCarmelo Martinez 76GBill Doran 4G
STARTERSJose Rijo 6.3WARChris Hammond 1.9WARTom Browning 1.8WARNorm Charlton 1.7WARRandy Myers 1.4WAR
CJoe Oliver 90GJeff Reed 89GGlenn Sutko 9G
BULLPEN★ Rob Dibble 31svTed Power 0hDon Carman 0hMilt Hill 0hTim Layana 0hGino Minutelli 0hKeith Brown 0hSteve Foster 0h
CJoe Oliver 90 · Jeff Reed 89 · Glenn Sutko 9
1BHal Morris 128 · Carmelo Martinez 76 · Bill Doran 4
2BBill Doran 88 · Mariano Duncan 62 · Luis Quinones 33
3BChris Sabo 151 · Luis Quinones 19
SSBarry Larkin 119 · Mariano Duncan 32 · Freddie Benavides 20
LFBilly Hatcher 83 · Glenn Braggs 55 · Chris Jones 18
CFEric Davis 76 · Herm Winningham 56 · Billy Hatcher 53
RFPaul O'Neill 150 · Glenn Braggs 26 · Chris Jones 9
SPJose Rijo 6.3 · Chris Hammond 1.9 · Tom Browning 1.8 · Norm Charlton 1.7 · Randy Myers 1.4
BP★ Rob Dibble 31 · Ted Power 0 · Don Carman 0 · Milt Hill 0 · Tim Layana 0 · Gino Minutelli 0 · Keith Brown 0 · Steve Foster 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1991 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jose Rijo 26 FA-elig 316.3 2.3 +1.4
Barry Larkin 27 arb 1236.0 2.1 +1.5
Chris Sabo 29 arb 1535.4 1.3 +2.0
Paul O'Neill 28 FA-elig 1525.3 1.0 +2.2
Hal Morris 26 arb 1364.0 0.2 +2.2
Rob Dibble 27 arb 673.4 0.5 +1.5
Chris Hammond 25 pre-arb 201.9 0.1 +1.0
Tom Browning 31 FA-elig 361.8 2.4 -1.4
Norm Charlton 28 arb 411.7 0.6 +0.4
Glenn Braggs 28 arb 851.5 0.8 +0.1
Eric Davis 29 FA-elig 891.4 3.6 -2.8
Randy Myers 28 FA-elig 581.4 2.0 -1.2
Bill Doran 33 FA-elig 1111.3 2.8 -2.1
Jeff Reed 28 FA-elig 910.9 0.6 -0.0
Carmelo Martinez↔ KCR 30 FA-elig 530.6 0.5 -0.1
Milt Hill 25 – 220.6 – –
Ted Power 36 FA-elig 680.4 0.5 -0.2
Scott Scudder 23 – 270.3 – –
Mo Sanford 24 – 50.3 – –
Chris Jones 25 – 520.2 – –
Steve Foster 24 – 110.1 – –
Tim Layana 27 pre-arb 230.1 0.1 -0.1
Keith Brown 27 – 110.0 – –
Reggie Jefferson↔ CLE 22 pre-arb 50.0 0.0 +0.0
Kip Gross 26 pre-arb 29-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Glenn Sutko 23 – 10-0.1 – –
Herm Winningham 29 FA-elig 98-0.1 0.4 -0.5
Terry Lee 29 – 3-0.1 – –
Luis Quinones 29 FA-elig 97-0.2 0.3 -0.4
Joe Oliver 25 pre-arb 94-0.2 0.2 -0.3
Mariano Duncan 28 FA-elig 100-0.2 0.9 -1.0
Stan Jefferson 28 – 13-0.2 – –
Jack Armstrong 26 arb 27-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Freddie Benavides 25 – 24-0.2 – –
Billy Hatcher 30 – 138-0.4 – –
Donnie Scott 29 – 10-0.4 – –
Gino Minutelli 27 pre-arb 16-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Reggie Sanders 23 – 9-0.6 – –
Don Carman 31 – 28-0.9 – –
Todd Benzinger↔ KCR 28 arb 51-0.9 0.3 -0.8

Key additions (new vs 1990)

PlayerfWAR
Carmelo Martinez0.6
Milt Hill0.6
Ted Power0.4
Mo Sanford0.3
Chris Jones0.2
Steve Foster0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1990)

Player1990 fWAR
Danny Jackson1.4
Rick Mahler0.7
Ron Robinson0.2
Alex Trevino0.1
Paul Noce0.1
Ron Oester-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1991 payroll
$24.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 1991, 1991–1997. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Eric Davis297.000$3.6MFREE AGENT$750k
Bill Doran339.000$2.8M$2.8MFREE AGENT
Tom Browning317.000$2.4M$3.2M$2.2M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Jose Rijo267.000$2.3M$3.5M$4.1M$4.0M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Randy Myers286.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Paul O'Neill286.000$975k$2.8MFREE AGENT
Mariano Duncan286.000$925kFREE AGENT$321k
Jeff Reed287.000$600k$750kFREE AGENT
Ted Power3610.000$500kFREE AGENT
Carmelo Martinez308.000$454kFREE AGENT
Herm Winningham297.000$438kFREE AGENT
Luis Quinones298.000$300kFREE AGENT
Don Carman318.000—FREE AGENT
Billy Hatcher307.000—$1.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Barry Larkin275.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Chris Sabo293.000$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Braggs285.000$825kFREE AGENT
Norm Charlton283.000$625kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Dibble273.000$475kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Benzinger284.000$279kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Armstrong263.000$215kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hal Morris263.000$180kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Brown273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stan Jefferson285.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Joe Oliver252.000$186kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Layana271.000$140kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kip Gross261.000$108kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hammond251.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gino Minutelli271.000$100kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Jefferson220.000$16kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddie Benavides250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Foster240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milt Hill250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Jones250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Lee291.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Sanders230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mo Sanford24–—
Donnie Scott29–—
Scott Scudder232.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Sutko23–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Reds 1991; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.