RRosternomics
𝕏

Red Sox BOS

‹ ›

GM: Mike Port

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.64× league · TAB +6.9
+6.9TAB — talent above budget9th/30
+4.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/30
-2.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
27%dead money %12th/30
0.574win %9th/30
47.3roster fWAR5th/30
-27surplus $M (value vs cost)26th/30
$108Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFJohnny Damon 151GTrot Nixon 13GRickey Henderson 4G
LFManny Ramirez 64GCliff Floyd 54GRickey Henderson 49G
RFTrot Nixon 145GCliff Floyd 66GBrian Daubach 13G
SSNomar Garciaparra 154GRey Sanchez 10GFreddy Sanchez 5G
2BRey Sanchez 100GLou Merloni 66GCarlos Baerga 17G
3BShea Hillenbrand 156GLou Merloni 8GShane Andrews 4G
1BTony Clark 85GBrian Daubach 60GLou Merloni 3G
STARTERSPedro Martínez 7.4WARDerek Lowe 4.7WARTim Wakefield 2.7WARCasey Fossum 1.8WARJohn Burkett 1.7WAR
CJason Varitek 127GDoug Mirabelli 50GKevin Brown 2G
DHManny Ramirez 50GBrian Daubach 28GCarlos Baerga 27G
BULLPEN★ Ugueth Urbina 40svAlan Embree 18hBob Howry 15hRich Garces 5hChris Haney 4hWayne Gomes 2hDustin Hermanson 2hWillie Banks 0h
CJason Varitek 127 · Doug Mirabelli 50 · Kevin Brown 2
1BTony Clark 85 · Brian Daubach 60 · Lou Merloni 3
2BRey Sanchez 100 · Lou Merloni 66 · Carlos Baerga 17
3BShea Hillenbrand 156 · Lou Merloni 8 · Shane Andrews 4
SSNomar Garciaparra 154 · Rey Sanchez 10 · Freddy Sanchez 5
LFManny Ramirez 64 · Cliff Floyd 54 · Rickey Henderson 49
CFJohnny Damon 151 · Trot Nixon 13 · Rickey Henderson 4
RFTrot Nixon 145 · Cliff Floyd 66 · Brian Daubach 13
DHManny Ramirez 50 · Brian Daubach 28 · Carlos Baerga 27
SPPedro Martínez 7.4 · Derek Lowe 4.7 · Tim Wakefield 2.7 · Casey Fossum 1.8 · John Burkett 1.7
BP★ Ugueth Urbina 40 · Alan Embree 18 · Bob Howry 15 · Rich Garces 5 · Chris Haney 4 · Wayne Gomes 2 · Dustin Hermanson 2 · Willie Banks 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Pedro Martínez 30 FA-elig 307.4 14.0 -1.4
Manny Ramirez 30 FA-elig 1205.3 15.5 -6.3
Nomar Garciaparra 28 FA-elig 1564.8 9.0 -0.8
Derek Lowe 29 arb 324.7 3.1 +5.0
Johnny Damon 28 FA-elig 1544.3 7.2 +0.2
Trot Nixon 28 FA-elig 1522.7 2.7 +2.0
Tim Wakefield 35 FA-elig 452.7 3.2 +1.4
Jason Varitek 30 arb 1322.3 3.5 +0.5
Shea Hillenbrand 26 pre-arb 1562.2 0.3 +3.5
Casey Fossum 24 pre-arb 431.8 0.2 +2.8
Frank Castillo 33 FA-elig 361.7 2.2 +0.8
John Burkett 37 FA-elig 291.7 5.5 -2.5
Ugueth Urbina 28 FA-elig 611.3 6.7 -4.5
Cliff Floyd↔ MIA 29 FA-elig 471.2 2.1 -0.1
Rey Sanchez 34 FA-elig 1071.1 0.7 +1.2
Lou Merloni 31 arb 840.9 0.3 +1.2
Rolando Arrojo 36 arb 290.8 1.9 -0.6
Doug Mirabelli 31 FA-elig 570.7 0.7 +0.5
Alan Embree↔ SDP 32 FA-elig 320.6 0.2 +0.9
Rickey Henderson 43 FA-elig 720.6 0.3 +0.6
Brian Daubach 30 arb 1370.4 2.3 -1.7
Bob Howry↔ CHW 28 arb 200.2 0.4 +0.0
Benny Agbayani↔ COL 30 arb 130.1 0.1 +0.1
Josh Hancock 24 – 30.1 – –
Juan Diaz 28 – 40.1 – –
Darren Oliver 31 FA-elig 140.1 7.0 -6.9
Dustin Hermanson 29 FA-elig 120.0 5.8 -5.8
Chris Haney 33 – 240.0 – –
Shane Andrews 30 – 70.0 – –
Kevin Brown 29 – 2-0.0 – –
Freddy Sanchez 24 – 12-0.0 – –
Sun-Woo Kim↔ WSN 24 – 15-0.1 – –
Carlos Baerga 33 FA-elig 73-0.1 0.7 -0.8
Wayne Gomes 29 – 20-0.1 – –
Willie Banks 33 FA-elig 29-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Jose Offerman↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 72-0.2 4.8 -5.1
Bryant Nelson 28 – 25-0.2 – –
Rich Garces 31 FA-elig 26-0.4 2.2 -2.9
Tony Clark 30 FA-elig 90-1.5 5.0 -7.5

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Johnny Damon4.3
John Burkett1.7
Cliff Floyd1.2
Rey Sanchez1.1
Alan Embree0.6
Rickey Henderson0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Hideo Nomo3.0
David Cone1.4
Chris Stynes0.8
Carl Everett0.6
Paxton Crawford0.5
Dante Bichette0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$108.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Manny Ramirez309.000$15.5M$20.0M$22.5M$22.0M$18.3M$17.0M$12.4M
Pedro Martínez3010.000$14.0M$15.5M$17.5MFREE AGENT
Nomar Garciaparra286.000$9.0M$11.0M$6.1MFREE AGENT
Johnny Damon287.000$7.2M$7.5M$8.0M$8.2MFREE AGENT
Darren Oliver319.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Ugueth Urbina287.000$6.7MFREE AGENT
Dustin Hermanson297.000$5.8MFREE AGENT
John Burkett3715.000$5.5M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Tony Clark307.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Offerman3312.000$4.8MFREE AGENT
Tim Wakefield3510.000$3.2M$4.0M$4.3M$4.7M$4.0M$4.0M$4.0M
Trot Nixon286.000$2.7M$4.0M$4.5M$7.5M$7.5MFREE AGENT
Frank Castillo3311.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Rich Garces3112.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Cliff Floyd299.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Rey Sanchez3411.000$700kFREE AGENT
Carlos Baerga3312.000$700kFREE AGENT
Doug Mirabelli316.000$650k$805k$825k$1.5M$1.2M$750kFREE AGENT
Willie Banks3311.000$450kFREE AGENT
Rickey Henderson4323.000$350kFREE AGENT
Alan Embree3210.000$235k$3.0M$3.0M$1.9MFREE AGENT
Shane Andrews307.000—FREE AGENT
Kevin Brown296.000—FREE AGENT
Chris Haney3311.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Jason Varitek305.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Derek Lowe295.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Brian Daubach304.000$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Rolando Arrojo364.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Howry284.000$358kARB 3FREE AGENT
Lou Merloni314.000$290kARB 3FREE AGENT
Benny Agbayani304.000$128kARB 3FREE AGENT
Wayne Gomes295.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Shea Hillenbrand261.000$260kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Fossum241.000$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sun-Woo Kim241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Diaz28–—
Josh Hancock240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryant Nelson28–—
Freddy Sanchez240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.