RRosternomics
𝕏

Orioles BAL

‹ ›

GM: Roland Hemond

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.67× league · TAB +7.0
+7.0TAB — talent above budget5th/26
-9.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)23rd/26
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars14th/26
-6.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/26
48%dead money %24th/26
0.414win %24th/26
36.2roster fWAR10th/26
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/26
$15Mpayroll $M23rd/26

Roster

CFMike Devereaux 148GBrady Anderson 26GJoe Orsulak 1G
LFJoe Orsulak 85GBrady Anderson 75GDavid Segui 28G
RFDwight Evans 67GJoe Orsulak 67GChito Martinez 53G
SSCal Ripken Jr. 162GJuan Bell 15GTim Hulett Sr. 1G
2BBilly Ripken 103GJuan Bell 77GTim Hulett Sr. 26G
3BLeo Gomez 105GTim Hulett Sr. 39GCraig Worthington 30G
1BRandy Milligan 106GDavid Segui 42GGlenn Davis 36G
STARTERSBob Milacki 2.7WARMike Mussina 1.7WARBen McDonald 1.3WARJose Mesa 0.8WARJeff Ballard 0.6WAR
CChris Hoiles 89GBob Melvin 72GErnie Whitt 20G
DHSam Horn 92GRandy Milligan 20GChris Hoiles 10G
BULLPEN★ Gregg Olson 31svMark Williamson 0hMike Flanagan 0hTodd Frohwirth 0hPaul Kilgus 0hJim Poole 0hKevin Hickey 0hAnthony Telford 0h
CChris Hoiles 89 · Bob Melvin 72 · Ernie Whitt 20
1BRandy Milligan 106 · David Segui 42 · Glenn Davis 36
2BBilly Ripken 103 · Juan Bell 77 · Tim Hulett Sr. 26
3BLeo Gomez 105 · Tim Hulett Sr. 39 · Craig Worthington 30
SSCal Ripken Jr. 162 · Juan Bell 15 · Tim Hulett Sr. 1
LFJoe Orsulak 85 · Brady Anderson 75 · David Segui 28
CFMike Devereaux 148 · Brady Anderson 26 · Joe Orsulak 1
RFDwight Evans 67 · Joe Orsulak 67 · Chito Martinez 53
DHSam Horn 92 · Randy Milligan 20 · Chris Hoiles 10
SPBob Milacki 2.7 · Mike Mussina 1.7 · Ben McDonald 1.3 · Jose Mesa 0.8 · Jeff Ballard 0.6
BP★ Gregg Olson 31 · Mark Williamson 0 · Mike Flanagan 0 · Todd Frohwirth 0 · Paul Kilgus 0 · Jim Poole 0 · Kevin Hickey 0 · Anthony Telford 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1991 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Cal Ripken Jr. 30 FA-elig 16210.6 2.6 +3.7
Mike Devereaux 28 arb 1494.5 0.2 +2.5
Bob Milacki 26 arb 312.7 0.3 +1.3
Todd Frohwirth 28 arb 512.6 0.1 +1.4
Gregg Olson 24 arb 722.2 0.5 +0.8
Leo Gomez 25 pre-arb 1182.1 0.1 +1.2
Randy Milligan 29 arb 1411.9 0.3 +0.8
Mike Mussina 22 pre-arb 121.7 0.1 +0.9
Chris Hoiles 26 pre-arb 1071.7 0.1 +0.9
Chito Martinez 25 – 671.5 – –
Joe Orsulak 29 FA-elig 1431.4 1.1 -0.3
Ben McDonald 23 pre-arb 211.3 0.5 +0.3
Mike Flanagan 39 FA-elig 641.3 0.2 +0.5
Sam Horn 27 arb 1211.3 0.2 +0.6
Brady Anderson 27 arb 1131.0 0.2 +0.4
Jose Mesa 25 arb 240.8 0.1 +0.4
Dwight Evans 39 FA-elig 1010.8 0.8 -0.3
Jim Poole↔ TEX 25 pre-arb 240.7 0.1 +0.3
Jeff Ballard 27 arb 260.6 0.5 -0.1
Roy Smith 29 – 170.4 – –
Jeff Robinson 29 arb 210.4 0.6 -0.3
Anthony Telford 25 – 90.3 – –
Craig Worthington 26 arb 310.2 0.2 -0.1
Glenn Davis 30 FA-elig 490.2 3.3 -3.2
Ernie Whitt 39 – 350.2 – –
Stacy Jones 24 – 40.1 – –
Arthur Rhodes 21 pre-arb 80.1 0.1 -0.0
Francisco de la Rosa 25 – 20.0 – –
Mark Williamson 31 arb 65-0.0 0.7 -0.7
Shane Turner 28 – 4-0.0 – –
Bob Melvin 29 FA-elig 79-0.1 0.7 -0.7
Jeff Tackett 25 – 6-0.1 – –
Jose Bautista 26 arb 5-0.2 0.1 -0.2
Tim Hulett Sr. 31 FA-elig 79-0.2 0.3 -0.4
Kevin Hickey 35 – 19-0.2 – –
Paul Kilgus 29 arb 38-0.4 0.2 -0.4
Billy Ripken 26 arb 104-0.5 0.7 -1.0
Jeff McKnight 28 – 16-0.5 – –
Dave Johnson 31 arb 22-0.7 0.2 -0.6
Luis Mercedes 23 – 19-0.9 – –
Juan Bell 23 pre-arb 100-1.4 0.1 -0.9
David Segui 24 pre-arb 86-1.4 0.1 -0.9

Key additions (new vs 1990)

PlayerfWAR
Todd Frohwirth2.6
Mike Mussina1.7
Chito Martinez1.5
Mike Flanagan1.3
Dwight Evans0.8
Jim Poole0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 1990)

Player1990 fWAR
Mickey Tettleton2.9
Pete Harnisch2.0
John Mitchell0.9
Curt Schilling0.7
Phil Bradley0.5
Brad Komminsk0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

1991 payroll
$15.2M

What the front office was committed to as of 1991, 1991–1997. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Glenn Davis307.000$3.3M$3.4M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Cal Ripken Jr.3010.000$2.6M$2.1M$5.2M$5.5M$6.7M$6.7M$6.8M
Joe Orsulak298.000$1.1M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Dwight Evans3919.000$800kFREE AGENT
Bob Melvin296.000$650kFREE AGENT
Tim Hulett Sr.318.000$328k$420k$400k$550kFREE AGENT
Mike Flanagan3916.000$250k$600kFREE AGENT
Kevin Hickey3510.000—FREE AGENT
Roy Smith297.000—FREE AGENT
Ernie Whitt3915.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Billy Ripken264.000$700kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Williamson314.000$685kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Robinson294.000$575kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregg Olson243.000$505kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Ballard274.000$465kARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Milligan294.000$330kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Milacki263.000$280kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Devereaux284.000$210kARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Worthington263.000$208kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Johnson314.000$200kARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Kilgus294.000$200kARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Horn274.000$175kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brady Anderson273.000$165kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Bautista263.000$138kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Frohwirth284.000$130kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Mesa254.000$107kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1991199219931994199519961997
Ben McDonald232.000$492kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Hoiles262.000$108kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Segui241.000$106kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Bell232.000$103kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Leo Gomez251.000$102kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Mussina220.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arthur Rhodes210.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Poole251.000$87kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco de la Rosa25–—
Stacy Jones24–—
Chito Martinez250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff McKnight282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Mercedes230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Tackett250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Telford251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shane Turner28–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Orioles 1991; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.