RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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GM: Alex Anthopoulos

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.28× league · TAB +14.2
+14.2TAB — talent above budget5th/30
+15.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)5th/30
11.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars3rd/30
-5.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag15th/30
31%dead money %17th/30
0.623win %3rd/30
51.4roster fWAR5th/30
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/30
$182Mpayroll $M8th/30

2022: made playoffs · 101–61. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFMichael Harris II 114GAdam Duvall 44GGuillermo Heredia 6G
LFRobbie Grossman 69GEddie Rosario 54GMarcell Ozuna 52G
RFRonald Acuña Jr. 92GRobbie Grossman 59GGuillermo Heredia 23G
SSDansby Swanson 161GEhire Adrianza 3GVaughn Grissom 2G
2BOzzie Albies 64GOrlando Arcia 50GVaughn Grissom 40G
3BAustin Riley 159GEhire Adrianza 19GOrlando Arcia 4G
1BMatt Olson 162GAustin Riley 1G
STARTERSMax Fried 4.9WARSpencer Strider 4.9WARKyle Wright 2.8WARCharlie Morton 1.4WARIan Anderson 0.9WAR
CTravis d'Arnaud 99GWilliam Contreras 60GManny Piña 5G
DHMarcell Ozuna 72GWilliam Contreras 34GRonald Acuña Jr. 27G
BULLPEN★ Kenley Jansen 41svA.J. Minter 34hCollin McHugh 17hRaisel Iglesias 15hJesse Chavez 10hDylan Lee 9hTyler Matzek 8hJackson Stephens 2h
CTravis d'Arnaud 99 · William Contreras 60 · Manny Piña 5
1BMatt Olson 162 · Austin Riley 1
2BOzzie Albies 64 · Orlando Arcia 50 · Vaughn Grissom 40
3BAustin Riley 159 · Ehire Adrianza 19 · Orlando Arcia 4
SSDansby Swanson 161 · Ehire Adrianza 3 · Vaughn Grissom 2
LFRobbie Grossman 69 · Eddie Rosario 54 · Marcell Ozuna 52
CFMichael Harris II 114 · Adam Duvall 44 · Guillermo Heredia 6
RFRonald Acuña Jr. 92 · Robbie Grossman 59 · Guillermo Heredia 23
DHMarcell Ozuna 72 · William Contreras 34 · Ronald Acuña Jr. 27
SPMax Fried 4.9 · Spencer Strider 4.9 · Kyle Wright 2.8 · Charlie Morton 1.4 · Ian Anderson 0.9
BP★ Kenley Jansen 41 · A.J. Minter 34 · Collin McHugh 17 · Raisel Iglesias 15 · Jesse Chavez 10 · Dylan Lee 9 · Tyler Matzek 8 · Jackson Stephens 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Dansby Swanson 28 FA-elig 1626.6 10.0 +14.3
Austin Riley 25 arb 1595.9 4.0 +17.5
Max Fried 28 arb 304.9 6.8 +11.1
Spencer Strider 23 pre-arb 314.9 0.7 +17.1
Michael Harris II 21 pre-arb 1144.7 0.7 +16.7
Travis d'Arnaud 33 FA-elig 1073.9 8.0 +6.4
Matt Olson 28 FA-elig 1623.1 15.0 -3.5
Kyle Wright 26 pre-arb 302.8 0.7 +9.6
Ronald Acuña Jr. 24 arb 1192.4 15.0 -6.3
A.J. Minter 28 arb 752.0 2.2 +5.3
William Contreras 24 pre-arb 972.0 0.7 +6.8
Charlie Morton 38 FA-elig 311.4 20.0 -14.8
Collin McHugh 35 FA-elig 581.4 4.0 +1.0
Dylan Lee 27 pre-arb 461.1 0.5 +3.6
Ozzie Albies 25 arb 641.1 5.0 -1.1
Kenley Jansen 34 FA-elig 651.1 16.0 -12.2
Raisel Iglesias↔ ANA 32 FA-elig 280.9 4.2 -0.9
Ian Anderson 24 pre-arb 220.9 0.5 +2.7
Jesse Chavez↔ ANA 38 FA-elig 460.9 0.5 +2.6
Adam Duvall 33 FA-elig 860.8 9.3 -6.2
Vaughn Grissom 21 – 410.8 0.2 +2.5
Bryce Elder 23 – 100.8 0.2 +2.6
Orlando Arcia 27 FA-elig 680.7 1.6 +0.8
Jackson Stephens 28 pre-arb 390.4 0.7 +0.7
Robbie Grossman↔ DET 32 FA-elig 460.3 1.8 -0.9
Chadwick Tromp 27 pre-arb 10.2 0.2 +0.5
Tyler Thornburg↔ MIN 33 – 90.1 0.2 +0.4
Phil Gosselin↔ ANA 33 FA-elig 120.1 0.0 +0.4
Ehire Adrianza↔ WSN 32 FA-elig 60.1 0.2 +0.0
Tucker Davidson↔ ANA 26 – 40.1 0.1 +0.1
Jake Odorizzi↔ HOU 32 FA-elig 100.0 3.6 -3.5
Jay Jackson 34 pre-arb 20.0 1.5 -1.3
Darren O'Day 39 FA-elig 280.0 1.0 -0.9
Danny Young↔ SEA 28 – 10.0 0.0 +0.1
William Woods 23 – 20.0 0.0 +0.0
Freddy Tarnok 23 – 10.0 0.0 +0.1
Rylan Bannon↔ BAL 26 – 10.0 0.0 -0.0
Kyle Muller 24 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Sean Newcomb↔ CHC 29 arb 3-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Silvino Bracho 29 arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Manny Piña 35 FA-elig 5-0.1 3.5 -4.0
Tyler Matzek 31 FA-elig 42-0.2 1.4 -2.0
Huascar Ynoa 24 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Jesus Cruz 27 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Kirby Yates 35 FA-elig 9-0.2 1.0 -1.7
Mike Ford↔ ANA 29 arb 5-0.2 0.0 -0.8
Alex Dickerson 32 FA-elig 13-0.3 1.0 -2.2
Marcell Ozuna 31 FA-elig 124-0.3 16.0 -17.2
Guillermo Heredia 31 FA-elig 74-0.4 1.0 -2.3
Robinson Canó↔ NYM 39 FA-elig 9-0.4 5.4 -6.8
Travis Demeritte 27 pre-arb 26-0.5 0.1 -2.0
Will Smith↔ HOU 32 FA-elig 41-0.5 8.2 -10.1
Eddie Rosario 30 FA-elig 80-1.3 9.0 -13.6

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Michael Harris II4.7
Matt Olson3.1
Collin McHugh1.4
Kenley Jansen1.1
Raisel Iglesias0.9
Vaughn Grissom0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Freddie Freeman4.7
Jorge Soler1.2
Chris Martin0.5
Joc Pederson0.4
Jonathan Lucroy0.1
Drew Smyly0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$182.2M
2023 guaranteed
$28.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Charlie Morton3813.010$20.0MFREE AGENT
Kenley Jansen3411.072$16.0MFREE AGENT
Marcell Ozuna318.124$16.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Olson284.103$15.0M$21.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M
Eddie Rosario306.120$9.0MFREE AGENT
Will Smith3210.000$8.2MFREE AGENT
Travis d'Arnaud338.044$8.0MFREE AGENT
Robinson Canó3917.000$5.4MFREE AGENT
Ozzie Albies254.062$5.0M$7.0M$7.0M$7.0M$7.0MCLUB$7.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Raisel Iglesias326.154$4.2MFREE AGENT
Collin McHugh357.085$4.0MFREE AGENT
Jake Odorizzi328.042$3.6MFREE AGENT
Manny Piña3511.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
Robbie Grossman327.060$1.8MFREE AGENT
Kirby Yates357.021$1.0MFREE AGENT
Darren O'Day3913.103$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez3814.000$537kFREE AGENT
Ehire Adrianza327.131$243kFREE AGENT
Tyler Thornburg336.115$159kFREE AGENT
Phil Gosselin339.000$35kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Ronald Acuña Jr.244.000$15.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Dansby Swanson285.047$10.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Duvall335.151$9.3MFREE AGENT
Max Fried283.148$6.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Minter283.154$2.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Arcia274.114$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Matzek313.019$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Dickerson325.120$1.0MFREE AGENT
Guillermo Heredia314.112$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Newcomb293.121$135kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Silvino Bracho293.082$46kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Austin Riley252.138$4.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Jackson340.170$1.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Wright261.062$720kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Strider230.003$710kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Harris II210.000$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Stephens281.000$681kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
William Contreras240.112$667kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Lee270.007$527kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Anderson241.094$484kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chadwick Tromp271.031$227kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vaughn Grissom210.000$215kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Elder230.000$151kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Demeritte270.152$146kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Huascar Ynoa241.160$107kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Cruz270.006$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tucker Davidson260.130$83kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
William Woods23–$35k
Mike Ford291.117$27kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Young280.000$26kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Muller240.035$12kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Tarnok230.000$8kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rylan Bannon260.000$7kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.