RRosternomics

Braves ATL

GM: John Schuerholz

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 14 in this regime · payroll 1.23× league · TAB +7.2
+7.2TAB — talent above budget6th/30
+5.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-5.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
12%dead money %2nd/30
0.556win %7th/30
44.0roster fWAR3rd/30
-13surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$89Mpayroll $M7th/30

2005: made playoffs · 90–72. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFAndruw Jones 159GRyan Langerhans 19G
LFTodd Hollandsworth 98GKelly Johnson 79GRyan Langerhans 54G
RFJeff Francoeur 67GRyan Langerhans 48GRaúl Mondesi 40G
SSRafael Furcal 152GWilson Betemit 25GPete Orr 1G
2BMarcus Giles 149GPete Orr 25GWilson Betemit 1G
3BChipper Jones 101GWilson Betemit 63GAndy Marte 17G
1BAdam LaRoche 125GJulio Franco 62GTodd Hollandsworth 2G
STARTERSJohn Smoltz 5.2WARJohn Thomson 2.2WARTim Hudson 1.8WARMike Hampton 1.4WARJorge Sosa 0.9WAR
CJohnny Estrada 104GBrian McCann 57GBrayan Peña 15G
DHJulio Franco 4GKelly Johnson 1GPete Orr 1G
BULLPEN Chris Reitsma 15svKyle Farnsworth 19hJim Brower 12hJohn Foster 12hBlaine Boyer 9hDan Kolb 6hMacay McBride 6hAdam Bernero 3h
CJohnny Estrada 104 · Brian McCann 57 · Brayan Peña 15
1BAdam LaRoche 125 · Julio Franco 62 · Todd Hollandsworth 2
2BMarcus Giles 149 · Pete Orr 25 · Wilson Betemit 1
3BChipper Jones 101 · Wilson Betemit 63 · Andy Marte 17
SSRafael Furcal 152 · Wilson Betemit 25 · Pete Orr 1
LFTodd Hollandsworth 98 · Kelly Johnson 79 · Ryan Langerhans 54
CFAndruw Jones 159 · Ryan Langerhans 19
RFJeff Francoeur 67 · Ryan Langerhans 48 · Raúl Mondesi 40
DHJulio Franco 4 · Kelly Johnson 1 · Pete Orr 1
SPJohn Smoltz 5.2 · John Thomson 2.2 · Tim Hudson 1.8 · Mike Hampton 1.4 · Jorge Sosa 0.9
BP Chris Reitsma 15 · Kyle Farnsworth 19 · Jim Brower 12 · John Foster 12 · Blaine Boyer 9 · Dan Kolb 6 · Macay McBride 6 · Adam Bernero 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Andruw Jones 28 FA-elig 1607.9 13.0 +1.8
John Smoltz 38 FA-elig 335.2 9.0 +0.9
Marcus Giles 27 arb 1525.2 2.4 +7.4
Chipper Jones Jr. 33 FA-elig 1094.9 16.1 -6.9
Rafael Furcal 27 arb 1544.5 5.6 +2.9
Jeff Francoeur 21 703.0
Ryan Langerhans 25 arb 1282.5 0.3 +4.5
John Thomson 31 FA-elig 172.2 4.2 -0.0
Tim Hudson 29 FA-elig 291.8 6.5 -3.1
Kelly Johnson 23 871.5
Chris Reitsma 27 arb 761.5 1.6 +1.2
Mike Hampton 32 FA-elig 121.4 15.1 -12.4
Wilson Betemit 23 arb 1151.1 0.3 +1.9
Jorge Sosa 27 arb 450.9 0.7 +1.1
Kyle Davies 21 210.8 0.3 +1.2
Horacio Ramirez 25 pre-arb 340.7 0.4 +1.0
Macay McBride 22 230.6
Blaine Boyer 23 430.6 0.3 +0.8
Brian McCann 21 590.5 0.3 +0.7
Brian Jordan 38 FA-elig 760.5 0.6 +0.4
Julio Franco 46 FA-elig 1080.5 1.0 -0.1
Adam Bernero 28 arb 360.4 0.5 +0.2
Pete Orr 26 pre-arb 1120.3 0.3 +0.3
Kyle Farnsworth↔ DET 29 FA-elig 260.3 0.7 -0.1
Chuck James 23 20.2
John Foster 27 620.2
Eddie Pérez 37 FA-elig 160.1 0.6 -0.4
Kevin Gryboski↔ TEX 31 arb 310.1 0.6 -0.5
Johnny Estrada 29 arb 1050.0 0.5 -0.4
Frank Brooks 26 10.0
Seth Greisinger 29 1-0.0
Dan Kolb 30 FA-elig 65-0.1 3.4 -3.5
Anthony Lerew 22 7-0.1
Jay Powell 33 5-0.1
Matt Childers 26 3-0.1
Jorge Vasquez 26 7-0.1
Tom Martin 35 FA-elig 4-0.2 1.9 -2.2
Todd Hollandsworth↔ CHC 32 FA-elig 24-0.2 0.2 -0.6
Joey Devine 21 5-0.3
Jim Brower↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 37-0.4 0.6 -1.3
Raul Mondesi 34 FA-elig 41-0.4 1.0 -1.8
Roman Colon↔ DET 25 pre-arb 23-0.4 0.2 -1.1
Brayan Peña 23 18-0.5 0.3 -1.2
Andy Marte 21 24-1.1
Adam LaRoche 25 pre-arb 141-1.8 0.3 -3.8

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Jeff Francoeur3.0
Ryan Langerhans2.5
Tim Hudson1.8
Kelly Johnson1.5
Jorge Sosa0.9
Kyle Davies0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
J.D. Drew8.6
Jaret Wright4.3
Charles Thomas2.0
Paul Byrd2.0
Eli Marrero1.7
Russ Ortiz1.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$88.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Chipper Jones Jr.3312.000$16.1M$12.3M$12.3M$12.3M$10.0M$14.0M$14.0M
Mike Hampton3212.000$15.1MFREE AGENT$16.0M
Andruw Jones289.000$13.0M$13.5M$14.0MFREE AGENT
John Smoltz3817.000$9.0M$11.0M$8.0M$14.0MFREE AGENT
Tim Hudson296.000$6.5M$6.5M$8.5M$15.5M$15.5M$9.0M$9.0M
John Thomson318.000$4.2M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Dan Kolb306.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Tom Martin358.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Julio Franco4623.000$1.0MFREE AGENT$836k
Raul Mondesi3412.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Kyle Farnsworth296.000$713kFREE AGENT$2.8M
Eddie Pérez3710.000$625kFREE AGENT
Jim Brower326.000$623kFREE AGENT
Brian Jordan3813.000$600k$700kFREE AGENT
Todd Hollandsworth3210.000$165kFREE AGENT
Jay Powell3310.000FREE AGENT
Seth Greisinger297.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Rafael Furcal275.000$5.6MFREE AGENT
Marcus Giles274.000$2.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Reitsma274.000$1.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Sosa273.000$650kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Gryboski313.000$648kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Estrada294.000$460kARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Bernero285.000$450kFREE AGENT
Ryan Langerhans253.000$316kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Betemit234.000$316kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Foster273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Horacio Ramirez252.000$370kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam LaRoche251.000$338kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian McCann210.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blaine Boyer230.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Davies210.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brayan Peña230.000$315kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Orr260.000$300kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roman Colon251.000$209kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Childers26
Jeff Francoeur210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Brooks26
Andy Marte210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelly Johnson230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Vasquez26
Anthony Lerew220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Macay McBride220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Devine210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chuck James230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3