RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Tony Reagins

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.28× league · TAB -9.5
-9.5TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-5.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/30
-6.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/30
40%dead money %21st/30
0.494win %17th/30
27.8roster fWAR21st/30
-50surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/30
$117Mpayroll $M7th/30

Roster

CFTorii Hunter 98GPeter Bourjos 51GReggie Willits 29G
LFJuan Rivera 83GReggie Willits 44GBobby Abreu 41G
RFBobby Abreu 93GTorii Hunter 46GJuan Rivera 25G
SSErick Aybar 135GBrandon Wood 22GMaicer Izturis 7G
2BHowie Kendrick 143GMaicer Izturis 22GAlberto Callaspo 12G
3BAlberto Callaspo 130GBrandon Wood 56GKevin Frandsen 43G
1BMike Napoli 70GKendrys Morales 51GHowie Kendrick 15G
STARTERSJered Weaver 5.9WARJoel Pineiro 2.1WARErvin Santana 2.1WARDan Haren 1.8WARTrevor Bell 1.2WAR
CJeff Mathis 67GMike Napoli 66GBobby Wilson 38G
DHHideki Matsui 120GBobby Abreu 17GTorii Hunter 9G
BULLPEN Fernando Rodney 14svKevin Jepsen 27hJordan Walden 6hFrancisco Rodriguez 2hJason Bulger 2hScot Shields 1hMichael Kohn 1hBrian Stokes 0h
CJeff Mathis 67 · Mike Napoli 66 · Bobby Wilson 38
1BMike Napoli 70 · Kendrys Morales 51 · Howie Kendrick 15
2BHowie Kendrick 143 · Maicer Izturis 22 · Alberto Callaspo 12
3BAlberto Callaspo 130 · Brandon Wood 56 · Kevin Frandsen 43
SSErick Aybar 135 · Brandon Wood 22 · Maicer Izturis 7
LFJuan Rivera 83 · Reggie Willits 44 · Bobby Abreu 41
CFTorii Hunter 98 · Peter Bourjos 51 · Reggie Willits 29
RFBobby Abreu 93 · Torii Hunter 46 · Juan Rivera 25
DHHideki Matsui 120 · Bobby Abreu 17 · Torii Hunter 9
SPJered Weaver 5.9 · Joel Pineiro 2.1 · Ervin Santana 2.1 · Dan Haren 1.8 · Trevor Bell 1.2
BP Fernando Rodney 14 · Kevin Jepsen 27 · Jordan Walden 6 · Francisco Rodriguez 2 · Jason Bulger 2 · Scot Shields 1 · Michael Kohn 1 · Brian Stokes 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jered Weaver 27 arb 345.9 4.3 +9.6
Torii Hunter 34 FA-elig 1523.2 18.5 -11.0
Bobby Abreu 36 FA-elig 1542.4 9.0 -3.5
Mike Napoli 28 arb 1402.2 3.6 +1.7
Joel Pineiro 31 FA-elig 232.1 8.0 -3.0
Ervin Santana 27 arb 332.1 6.0 -1.1
Peter Bourjos 23 511.8 0.4 +3.9
Dan Haren↔ ARI 29 FA-elig 141.8 3.1 +1.2
Howie Kendrick 26 arb 1581.7 1.8 +2.3
Kendrys Morales 27 arb 511.6 1.2 +2.6
Hideki Matsui 36 FA-elig 1451.5 6.0 -2.5
Trevor Bell 23 251.2
Erick Aybar 26 arb 1381.1 2.0 +0.6
Maicer Izturis 29 FA-elig 611.1 2.8 -0.3
Kevin Jepsen 25 pre-arb 681.0 0.4 +1.9
Bobby Wilson 27 pre-arb 400.8 0.4 +1.4
Joe Saunders↔ ARI 29 arb 200.7 2.2 -0.7
Reggie Willits 29 arb 970.6 0.6 +0.8
Juan Rivera 31 FA-elig 1240.4 4.2 -3.2
Jordan Walden 22 160.4 0.1 +0.8
Michael Kohn 24 240.3
Ryan Budde 30 arb 60.2 0.4 +0.1
Fernando Rodney 33 FA-elig 720.2 5.5 -5.1
Bobby Cassevah 24 160.1
Rich Thompson 25 130.1
Alberto Callaspo↔ KCR 27 arb 580.0 0.2 -0.1
Sean O'Sullivan↔ KCR 22 50.0
Matt Palmer 31 pre-arb 140.0 0.4 -0.4
Rafael Rodriguez↔ ARI 25 1-0.0
Brian Fuentes↔ MIN 34 FA-elig 39-0.0 7.3 -7.4
Terry Evans 28 arb 1-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Jason Bulger 31 arb 25-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Paul McAnulty 29 9-0.1
Hank Conger 22 13-0.2
Andrew Romine 24 5-0.2
Francisco Rodriguez 27 43-0.2 11.5 -12.0
Mark Trumbo 24 8-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Cory Aldridge 31 5-0.2
Michael Ryan 32 22-0.2
Jeff Mathis 27 arb 68-0.3 1.3 -2.0
Brian Stokes 30 arb 16-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Scot Shields 34 FA-elig 43-0.5 5.3 -6.6
Kevin Frandsen 28 54-0.6
Robb Quinlan 33 23-0.6
Scott Kazmir 26 FA-elig 28-1.0 8.0 -10.5
Brandon Wood 25 arb 81-1.7 0.4 -4.4

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Joel Pineiro2.1
Peter Bourjos1.8
Dan Haren1.8
Hideki Matsui1.5
Jordan Walden0.4
Michael Kohn0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Chone Figgins6.6
John Lackey3.2
Darren Oliver1.2
Vladimir Guerrero0.5
Shane Loux0.5
Nick Adenhart0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$116.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Torii Hunter3413.000$18.5M$18.5M$18.0MFREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu3614.000$9.0M$9.0M$8.3MFREE AGENT
Scott Kazmir266.000$8.0M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Joel Pineiro3110.000$8.0M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Fuentes349.000$7.3MFREE AGENT
Hideki Matsui367.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Fernando Rodney338.000$5.5M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Scot Shields349.000$5.3MFREE AGENT
Juan Rivera319.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
Dan Haren297.000$3.1M$12.8M$12.8MFREE AGENT
Maicer Izturis296.000$2.8M$3.3M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Michael Ryan328.000FREE AGENT
Robb Quinlan337.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Ervin Santana275.000$6.0MFREE AGENT
Jered Weaver274.000$4.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Napoli284.000$3.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Saunders295.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Erick Aybar264.000$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Howie Kendrick264.000$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Mathis275.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Kendrys Morales274.000$1.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Willits294.000$625kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Stokes304.000$435kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Bulger315.000$418kFREE AGENT
Brandon Wood253.000$410kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Evans283.000$405kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Budde303.000$402kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Callaspo274.000$183kARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul McAnulty295.000FREE AGENT
Kevin Frandsen284.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Thompson253.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Francisco Rodriguez27$11.5M
Matt Palmer312.000$420kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jepsen252.000$415kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Wilson272.000$402kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Bourjos230.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Trumbo240.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Walden220.000$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Aldridge31
Rafael Rodriguez251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Cassevah240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Bell230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean O'Sullivan221.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Romine240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hank Conger220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Kohn240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3