RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Bill Bavasi

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.82× league · TAB -6.7
-6.7TAB — talent above budget22nd/28
-8.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/28
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars21st/28
-5.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/28
24%dead money %12th/28
0.435win %25th/28
24.9roster fWAR24th/28
-6surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/28
$27Mpayroll $M19th/28

Roster

CFJim Edmonds 111GDarin Erstad 36GOrlando Palmeiro 17G
LFGarret Anderson 140GDarin Erstad 11GRex Hudler 8G
RFTim Salmon 153GOrlando Palmeiro 8GGarret Anderson 6G
SSGary Disarcina 150GRandy Velarde 7GDick Schofield 7G
2BRandy Velarde 114GRex Hudler 53GRobert Eenhoorn 12G
3BGeorge Arias 83GJack Howell 43GRandy Velarde 27G
1BJ.T. Snow 154GRex Hudler 7GChris Pritchett 5G
STARTERSChuck Finley 5.0WARMark Langston 1.7WARJason Grimsley 0.9WARShawn Boskie 0.7WARJason Dickson 0.4WAR
CJorge Fabregas 89GTodd Greene 26GChris Turner 3G
DHChili Davis 142GRex Hudler 5GTim Wallach 4G
BULLPEN Troy Percival 36svMike James 0hChuck McElroy 0hMike Holtz 0hMark Holzemer 0hMark Eichhorn 0hBrad Pennington 0hShad Williams 0h
CJorge Fabregas 89 · Todd Greene 26 · Chris Turner 3
1BJ.T. Snow 154 · Rex Hudler 7 · Chris Pritchett 5
2BRandy Velarde 114 · Rex Hudler 53 · Robert Eenhoorn 12
3BGeorge Arias 83 · Jack Howell 43 · Randy Velarde 27
SSGary Disarcina 150 · Randy Velarde 7 · Dick Schofield 7
LFGarret Anderson 140 · Darin Erstad 11 · Rex Hudler 8
CFJim Edmonds 111 · Darin Erstad 36 · Orlando Palmeiro 17
RFTim Salmon 153 · Orlando Palmeiro 8 · Garret Anderson 6
DHChili Davis 142 · Rex Hudler 5 · Tim Wallach 4
SPChuck Finley 5.0 · Mark Langston 1.7 · Jason Grimsley 0.9 · Shawn Boskie 0.7 · Jason Dickson 0.4
BP Troy Percival 36 · Mike James 0 · Chuck McElroy 0 · Mike Holtz 0 · Mark Holzemer 0 · Mark Eichhorn 0 · Brad Pennington 0 · Shad Williams 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1996 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jim Edmonds 26 arb 1145.0 0.6 +3.6
Chuck Finley 33 FA-elig 355.0 3.1 +1.1
Rex Hudler 35 FA-elig 922.6 0.4 +1.8
Chili Davis 36 FA-elig 1452.4 3.8 -1.8
Troy Percival 26 pre-arb 622.3 0.4 +1.6
Tim Salmon 27 arb 1561.9 2.5 -0.9
Randy Velarde 33 FA-elig 1361.8 0.8 +0.7
Mark Langston 35 FA-elig 181.7 5.0 -3.6
Jason Grimsley 28 FA-elig 350.9 0.4 +0.4
Don Slaught↔ CHW 37 FA-elig 620.8 0.3 +0.4
Chuck McElroy↔ CIN 28 FA-elig 400.8 0.6 +0.0
Shawn Boskie 29 FA-elig 370.7 0.5 +0.1
Mike James 28 pre-arb 690.6 0.1 +0.4
Darin Erstad 22 570.5
Gary Disarcina 28 FA-elig 1500.5 1.6 -1.2
Garret Anderson 24 pre-arb 1500.5 0.2 +0.2
Mike Holtz 23 pre-arb 300.5 0.1 +0.3
Mark Eichhorn 35 FA-elig 240.4 0.2 +0.1
Jason Dickson 23 pre-arb 70.4 0.1 +0.2
Orlando Palmeiro 27 pre-arb 500.3 0.1 +0.2
Ryan Hancock 24 110.3
Lee Smith↔ CIN 38 FA-elig 110.2 0.4 -0.2
Robert Eenhoorn↔ NYY 28 pre-arb 60.1 0.0 +0.1
Pep Harris 23 pre-arb 110.1 0.1 -0.0
Chris Turner 27 40.1
Phil Leftwich 27 20.1
Robert Ellis 25 30.1
Jack Howell 34 FA-elig 660.0 0.3 -0.3
Jim Abbott 28 FA-elig 270.0 2.2 -2.2
Ben Van Ryn 24 1-0.0
Dick Schofield 33 FA-elig 13-0.0 0.2 -0.3
George Arias 24 pre-arb 84-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Ken Edenfield 29 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Darrell May↔ PIT 24 5-0.1
Scott Sanderson 39 FA-elig 5-0.2 0.2 -0.3
Kyle Abbott 28 3-0.2
Todd Frohwirth 33 4-0.2
Brad Pennington↔ BOS 27 arb 8-0.2 0.1 -0.2
Jeff Schmidt 25 9-0.2
Jorge Fabregas 26 pre-arb 90-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Tim Wallach↔ LAD 38 FA-elig 57-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Damion Easley↔ DET 26 arb 28-0.3 0.2 -0.4
Mike Aldrete↔ NYY 35 FA-elig 31-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Shad Williams 25 13-0.3
Chris Pritchett 26 5-0.3
Mark Holzemer 26 arb 25-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Todd Greene 25 pre-arb 29-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Pat Borders↔ CHW 33 FA-elig 19-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Greg Gohr↔ DET 28 arb 15-0.4 0.1 -0.4
Dennis Springer 31 pre-arb 20-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Rich Monteleone 33 FA-elig 12-0.4 0.1 -0.4
J.T. Snow 28 arb 155-0.7 0.7 -1.3

Key additions (new vs 1995)

PlayerfWAR
Randy Velarde1.8
Jason Grimsley0.9
Don Slaught0.8
Chuck McElroy0.8
Darin Erstad0.5
Mike Holtz0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1995)

Player1995 fWAR
Tony Phillips3.7
Bob Patterson0.7
Greg Myers0.6
John Habyan0.5
Mike Harkey0.2
Mike Bielecki0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1996 payroll
$26.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 1996, 1996–2002. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Mark Langston3512.000$5.0M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Chili Davis3615.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Chuck Finley3310.000$3.1M$4.0M$5.0M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Jim Abbott287.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Gary Disarcina287.000$1.6M$2.7M$2.8M$3.1M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Randy Velarde339.000$800k$800k$850k$974kFREE AGENT
Chuck McElroy287.000$628k$646kFREE AGENT
Shawn Boskie296.000$450kFREE AGENT
Lee Smith3816.000$428kFREE AGENT
Jason Grimsley287.000$425kFREE AGENT
Rex Hudler3512.000$400kFREE AGENT
Jack Howell3411.000$300k$400kFREE AGENT
Don Slaught3714.000$286kFREE AGENT
Dick Schofield3313.000$250kFREE AGENT
Tim Wallach3816.000$224kFREE AGENT
Scott Sanderson3918.000$200kFREE AGENT
Mark Eichhorn3514.000$170kFREE AGENT
Rich Monteleone339.000$135kFREE AGENT
Mike Aldrete3510.000$123kFREE AGENT
Pat Borders338.000$94kFREE AGENT
Todd Frohwirth339.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Tim Salmon274.000$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
J.T. Snow284.000$725kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Edmonds263.000$625kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Damion Easley264.000$174kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Holzemer263.000$118kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Gohr283.000$94kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Pennington273.000$58kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Abbott285.000FREE AGENT
Phil Leftwich273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Turner273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Troy Percival261.000$355kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garret Anderson242.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Fabregas262.000$175kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dennis Springer311.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike James281.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Palmeiro271.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ken Edenfield291.000$112kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Arias240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pep Harris230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Dickson230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Greene250.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Holtz230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Eenhoorn282.000$40kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Ellis25
Darin Erstad220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Hancock24
Darrell May241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Pritchett260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Schmidt25
Ben Van Ryn240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shad Williams25

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 1996; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3