RRosternomics
BE

Bobby Evans

Born 1969 · Staten Island, NY · age 57

General manager for the Giants (2016–2018).

3 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs1
Record224–262
Win %0.461
-5.5GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±6.5182nd/195 execs
4.7Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)154th/195 execs
-4.9Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)86th/195 execs
44%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)155th/195 execs
$11MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track111th/195 execs
$10MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)67th/195 execs
$1MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade124th/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees107th/195 execs
-37.9TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total168th/195 execs
-36.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)172nd/195 execs
1.40Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)111th/195 execs
-304Roster surplus $M173rd/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Giants GM 2016–2018 3 -36.8 -12.27 -37.9 -90.4 +0.4 -17.7 -0.5 -0.2 1.40 0.461 1 -304
Career total (1985+ data) 3 -36.8 -37.9 -90.4 +0.4 -17.7 -0.5 -0.2 1.40 0.461 1 -304

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+0.4
Trade-17.7
Free agency-0.5
Rule 5 / minor draft-0.2
Sourcing mix: 2% draft · 20% FA · 78% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Bobby Evans's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 43 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Johnny Cueto P SFG Trade 2016 5 +7.6 +1.5 10.0
Evan Longoria 3B SFG Trade 2017 5 +6.8 +1.4 0.0
Jeff Samardzija P SFG Trade 2016 3 +6.7 +2.2 5.6
Will Smith P SFG Trade 2016 3 +3.4 +1.1 1.4
Derek Holland P SFG Free agency 2018 1 +2.0 +2.0 0.1
Eduardo Núñez 3B/SS SFG Trade 2016 2 +1.7 +0.8 2.6
Tony Watson P SFG Free agency 2018 3 +1.6 +0.5 0.1
Andrew McCutchen OF SFG Trade 2018 1 +1.3 +1.3 0.1
Gorkys Hernández OF SFG Trade 2016 3 +1.3 +0.4 0.9
Dereck Rodríguez P SFG Trade 2018 1 +1.0 +1.0
Matt Moore P SFG Trade 2016 2 +0.9 +0.5 1.8
Denard Span OF SFG Free agency 2016 2 +0.9 +0.5 1.4
Mark Melancon P SFG Free agency 2016 3 +0.8 +0.3 0.1
Sam Dyson P SFG Trade 2017 3 +0.6 +0.2 0.0
Alen Hanson 2B/OF SFG Free agency 2018 1 +0.6 +0.6 0.0
Joey Bart C SFG Draft 2018 2 +0.5 +0.2
Shaun Anderson P SFG Trade 2017 1 +0.4 +0.4
Caleb Baragar P SFG Draft 2016 2 +0.3 +0.1
Roberto Gómez P SFG Trade 2017 2 +0.3 +0.1
Albert Suárez P SFG Trade 2016 2 +0.2 +0.1
Chase d'Arnaud 3B/SS SFG Free agency 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Tim Federowicz C SFG Free agency 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Casey Kelly P SFG Free agency 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Bryan Morris P SFG Free agency 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Ramiro Peña 2B/3B/SS SFG Trade 2016 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.3
Neil Ramírez P SFG Trade 2017 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Matt Reynolds P SFG Free agency 2016 -0.0
Rubén Tejada SS SFG Trade 2016 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Abiatal Avelino SS SFG Trade 2018 -0.1
Vin Mazzaro P SFG Free agency 2016 -0.1
Conner Menez P SFG Draft 2016 1 -0.1 -0.1
Pat Venditte P SFG Free agency 2018 -0.1
Travis Bergen P SFG Rule 5 2018 -0.2
Jae-gyun Hwang 3B SFG Draft 2017 -0.2
José Valdez P SFG Free agency 2017 -0.2
Carlos Moncrief OF SFG Trade 2017 -0.3
Drew Stubbs OF SFG Free agency 2017 -0.3
Nick Hundley C SFG Free agency 2017 -0.4
Chris Marrero 1B/OF SFG Free agency 2016 -0.4
Justin Ruggiano OF SFG Free agency 2016 -0.5
Aaron Hill 2B SFG Free agency 2017 -0.6
Gregory Santos P SFG Trade 2017 -0.6
Orlando Calixte OF SFG Free agency 2016 -0.7

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

drag to zoom · double-click to reset