RRosternomics
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Nationals WSN

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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.85× league · TAB -24.1
-24.1TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-24.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)30th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-9.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag26th/30
63%dead money %27th/30
0.340win %30th/30
8.1roster fWAR30th/30
-93surplus $M (value vs cost)29th/30
$121Mpayroll $M20th/30

Roster

CFVictor Robles 128GLane Thomas 56GAlex Call 6G
LFYadiel Hernandez 79GLane Thomas 73GAlex Call 28G
RFLane Thomas 43GJoey Meneses 22GJoshua Palacios 12G
SSCJ Abrams 75GLuis García Jr. 59GAlcides Escobar 37G
2BCésar Hernández 126GLuis García Jr. 33GIldemaro Vargas 4G
3BMaikel Franco 99GIldemaro Vargas 43GCésar Hernández 9G
1BJoey Meneses 40GLuke Voit 37GMaikel Franco 4G
STARTERSPatrick Corbin 0.7WARErick Fedde 0.3WARJoan Adon 0.1WARAníbal Sánchez -0.2WARPaolo Espino -0.2WAR
CKeibert Ruiz 106GRiley Adams 44GTres Barrera 19G
DHNelson Cruz 123GLuke Voit 96GYadiel Hernandez 10G
BULLPEN★ Tanner Rainey 12svKyle Finnegan 14hCarl Edwards Jr. 13hVíctor Arano 7hSteve Cishek 6hErasmo Ramírez 5hJake McGee 4hAndrés Machado 3h
CKeibert Ruiz 106 · Riley Adams 44 · Tres Barrera 19
1BJoey Meneses 40 · Luke Voit 37 · Maikel Franco 4
2BCésar Hernández 126 · Luis García Jr. 33 · Ildemaro Vargas 4
3BMaikel Franco 99 · Ildemaro Vargas 43 · César Hernández 9
SSCJ Abrams 75 · Luis García Jr. 59 · Alcides Escobar 37
LFYadiel Hernandez 79 · Lane Thomas 73 · Alex Call 28
CFVictor Robles 128 · Lane Thomas 56 · Alex Call 6
RFLane Thomas 43 · Joey Meneses 22 · Joshua Palacios 12
DHNelson Cruz 123 · Luke Voit 96 · Yadiel Hernandez 10
SPPatrick Corbin 0.7 · Erick Fedde 0.3 · Joan Adon 0.1 · Aníbal Sánchez -0.2 · Paolo Espino -0.2
BP★ Tanner Rainey 12 · Kyle Finnegan 14 · Carl Edwards Jr. 13 · Víctor Arano 7 · Steve Cishek 6 · Erasmo Ramírez 5 · Jake McGee 4 · Andrés Machado 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2022 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Josh Bell↔ SDP 29 FA-elig 1032.8 6.6 +3.5
Juan Soto↔ SDP 23 arb 1012.5 11.3 -2.1
Joey Meneses 30 – 561.7 0.7 +5.7
Keibert Ruiz 23 pre-arb 1121.5 0.7 +4.9
Ildemaro Vargas↔ CHC 30 arb 531.4 0.1 +5.1
Lane Thomas 26 pre-arb 1461.4 0.7 +4.3
Hunter Harvey 27 pre-arb 381.0 0.7 +3.0
Patrick Corbin 32 FA-elig 310.7 23.4 -20.8
Kyle Finnegan 30 pre-arb 660.6 0.7 +1.4
César Hernández 32 FA-elig 1470.5 4.0 -2.3
Alex Call↔ CLE 27 – 350.4 0.1 +1.4
Victor Robles 25 arb 1320.4 1.6 -0.1
Erasmo Ramírez 32 FA-elig 600.3 0.1 +1.1
Víctor Arano 27 pre-arb 430.3 0.9 +0.2
Erick Fedde 29 arb 270.3 2.1 -1.1
Sean Doolittle 35 FA-elig 60.3 1.5 -0.5
Tanner Rainey 29 arb 290.2 0.9 -0.0
Luis García Jr. 22 – 930.2 – –
Yadiel Hernandez 34 pre-arb 940.2 0.7 +0.0
Carl Edwards Jr. 30 – 570.1 – –
Jordan Weems 29 pre-arb 320.1 0.3 +0.0
Joan Adon 23 pre-arb 140.1 0.3 -0.0
Cade Cavalli 23 – 10.1 0.2 +0.1
Mason Thompson 24 pre-arb 240.0 0.5 -0.4
Stephen Strasburg 33 FA-elig 10.0 35.0 -35.0
Jake McGee↔ MIL 35 FA-elig 12-0.0 0.9 -0.9
Evan Lee 25 – 4-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Patrick Murphy 27 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Austin Voth↔ BAL 30 arb 19-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Luke Voit↔ SDP 31 arb 53-0.1 2.1 -2.5
Aaron Sanchez↔ MIN 29 FA-elig 7-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Reed Garrett 29 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.2 -0.7
Jackson Tetreault 26 – 4-0.1 0.4 -0.9
Tyler Clippard 37 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.1 -0.6
Andrés Machado 29 pre-arb 51-0.1 0.6 -1.1
Paolo Espino 35 pre-arb 42-0.2 0.7 -1.3
Francisco Pérez 24 pre-arb 10-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Sam Clay↔ NYM 29 – 6-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Israel Pineda 22 – 4-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Joshua Palacios 26 pre-arb 29-0.2 0.2 -1.1
Aníbal Sánchez 38 FA-elig 14-0.2 2.0 -2.9
CJ Abrams↔ SDP 21 – 44-0.2 0.1 -1.0
Josh Rogers 27 – 16-0.3 0.4 -1.6
Steve Cishek 36 FA-elig 69-0.3 1.8 -3.0
Alcides Escobar 35 FA-elig 42-0.3 1.0 -2.2
Dee Strange-Gordon 34 – 23-0.4 0.3 -1.9
Tres Barrera 27 pre-arb 19-0.4 0.3 -1.9
Maikel Franco 29 FA-elig 103-0.4 0.7 -2.3
Tommy Romero↔ TBR 24 – 1-0.4 0.0 -1.6
Nelson Cruz 41 FA-elig 124-0.5 12.0 -13.7
Cory Abbott 26 pre-arb 16-0.5 0.3 -2.1
Lucius Fox 24 pre-arb 10-0.6 0.1 -2.2
Ehire Adrianza↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 31-0.7 1.3 -3.7
Josiah Gray 24 pre-arb 28-0.7 0.7 -3.4
Riley Adams 26 pre-arb 48-1.0 0.5 -4.0

Key additions (new vs 2021)

PlayerfWAR
Joey Meneses1.7
Ildemaro Vargas1.4
Hunter Harvey1.0
César Hernández0.5
Alex Call0.4
Erasmo Ramírez0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2021)

Player2021 fWAR
Trea Turner4.4
Max Scherzer2.1
Josh Harrison2.1
Yan Gomes2.0
Kyle Schwarber1.6
Daniel Hudson1.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2022 payroll
$121.2M
2023 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2022, 2022–2028. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2022; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Stephen Strasburg3311.118$35.0MFREE AGENT
Patrick Corbin329.105$23.4MFREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz4114.082$12.0MFREE AGENT
César Hernández327.154$4.0MFREE AGENT
Aníbal Sánchez3815.083$2.0MFREE AGENT
Steve Cishek3610.143$1.8MFREE AGENT
Sean Doolittle359.122$1.5MFREE AGENT
Ehire Adrianza327.131$1.3MFREE AGENT
Alcides Escobar3514.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jake McGee3512.000$857kFREE AGENT
Maikel Franco298.000$700kFREE AGENT
Dee Strange-Gordon349.154$321kFREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez327.059$100kFREE AGENT
Tyler Clippard3715.000$100kFREE AGENT
Carl Edwards Jr.307.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Juan Soto233.134$11.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Bell295.053$6.6MFREE AGENT
Erick Fedde293.099$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Voit313.169$2.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Robles253.033$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Sanchez295.069$61kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (34)

PlayerAgeSvc2022202320242025202620272028
Víctor Arano272.020$900kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Rainey292.127$860kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Finnegan302.000$726kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lane Thomas262.014$724kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paolo Espino351.075$716kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yadiel Hernandez341.028$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josiah Gray240.075$704kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keibert Ruiz230.064$701kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Meneses300.000$700kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Harvey272.047$662kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Machado290.120$553kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Thompson240.080$518kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Adams260.092$491kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Lee25–$485k
Jackson Tetreault26–$435k
Josh Rogers271.143$415kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Voth302.127$405kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tres Barrera270.084$335kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Weems291.031$288kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joan Adon230.001$273kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Abbott260.017$258kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joshua Palacios260.024$224kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reed Garrett290.053$204kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cade Cavalli230.000$153kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Call270.000$149kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
CJ Abrams210.000$143kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucius Fox240.003$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisco Pérez240.027$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Israel Pineda220.000$100kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ildemaro Vargas302.097$84kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Murphy271.002$82kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Clay290.161$56kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Romero24–$9k
Luis García Jr.222.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Nationals 2022; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.